Tracking Our Next Round Of Snow

Good Sunday everyone. I know I promised you guys another update yesterday, but your friendly weatherdude had to just chill out and cool the jets for a few hours. It’s been a busy few weeks as this pattern has really ramped up with snow and cold and that’s what we have coming up as we say hello to 2013.

We have a very cold Sunday taking shape with high temps in the upper 20s to low 30s. Breezy conditions will make it feel even colder. A few snow flurries or snow showers will hang tough across the east early today. The clouds try to break up a bit for many areas during the afternoon.

A cold front works in from the northwest on Monday as moisture increases from the Gulf of Mexico. This will cause light snow to break out for much of the state during the afternoon and evening hours. That action would then continue into the first day of 2013. Here’s a look at the juice coming from the GFS Ensembles…


That is likely to lay down a swath of accumulating snow from west to east across the state. How much is still in question and there’s also the question of a mix for the south. I think the models are doing the same thing they did this last time and are a shade too warm with the temps. For areas that are straight snow… a couple of inches would be a good bet.

Some of the models have been hinting at another system working just to our south by the end of next week…GFS 3 We will have to see about that one, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

This active and wintry pattern shows no real signs of letting up through the first few weeks of January. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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101 Responses to Tracking Our Next Round Of Snow

  1. MarkLex says:

    Thanks Chris! At the very least the metro is slightly above normal for snowfall season to date 😀

    I also noticed the NWS temps each day through the end of extended are not warm at all.

    Bubba – I’m very sorry about the river 🙁


    I hope we finally get a little snow with this next one. My little one has been looking out the window every morning ready to get the sled in operation

  3. BubbaG says:

    Luv ya’ CB, but seems money in the bank the fence is over the general middle horizontal of the state again. This will likely mean south of 64 and especially south of the Kentucky river will probably get the snow shaft again. Unless we see a clipper, rinse and repeat for winter.

    Perhaps more stupidity (yes) than boldness, but I am sensing the trend holding fast so bring on spring 🙂 If for anything else, bring it on so the Cats can exact revenge during the NCAA tournament 🙂

    • TONEY says:

      now that is a laugh for a sunday morning…..about the cats getting revenge in the ncaa tourney………the way kentucky is playing, there will be no tourney this season for the wildcats…..maybe nit…..has a team after winning it all the previous year ever failed to make the tourney the next season……all you stat keepers out there, do your home work…..thanks for reading…..oh, by the way bubba, you r great with the weather but poor with your basketball predicitons….make it a great day.

      • Eastern Hill Rat says:

        Actually several years ago North Carolina won the NCAA tournament and then went to the NIT the next year.

      • BubbaG says:


        If they do not pick their average of free throws up and stay consistent on the line, there is a big chance of that. Hence my question in the last CB post on when was the last to win it all and then not make the tournament.

        No snow and no tournament…… At least with Billy and Tubby we had some over performing clippers and with Tubby, big snow and the Championship (same year).

        That was our last big snow too.

      • Bjenks says:

        1978 – Kentucky
        1979 – Michigan State and Runner up Indiana State
        1983 – NC State
        1986 – Louisville
        1988 – Kansas
        2007 – Florida and Runner up Ohio State
        2000 – North Carolian

        Kentucky will make the dance this year!

      • Todd says:

        Clearly you no nothing about basketball, we took a top 5 ranked team to the wire and if we hadn,t missed 15 free throws we win, the cats will be in the sweet 16 atleast, chart that in your stat book 😉

        • Todd says:

          This is for toney

          • TONEY says:

            for some reason my comment did not get put on the 1st time so here goes a second time so if it repeats i do s apologize……this is meant for todd……..if, if, if, if a frog had wings it wouldn’t hit is rear end every time it jumped… throws is part of the game of basket ball……who messed in your cheerios today? i do believe our good friend bubbaG got this conversation going to begin with…….have you ever thought that louisville is not as good as their ranking shows? i know a little more about basketball than you think so all i have to say to you my friend is if you can’t stand the heat, stay out of the kitchen so BACK OFF JACK!!!!!!!!!!!

            • Todd says:

              I love the heat and the cats will make you Eat, your words come march, Mr Basketball jones of the back woods!

            • Emerson Biggins says:

              No offense Toney, but UK not making tourney? Louisville not as good as ranking? UK plays in SEC, only two teams have a shot to beat them really, FL and Mizzou. They are the only team in NCAA who doesn’t have one player returning that started at least one game last year, what does it mean, nothing but improvement. Louisville by the way has the best backcourt in country with Siva and Smith. Maybe one of the best shot blockers in country behind Whitten from Kansas, great role players thats why they were preseason #2 with one lose to the #1 team in country. Can UK lose early in tourney, yep, but I wouldn’t want to play them come time for March. And to Bubba started conversation on a blog so it’s a conversation all can be included in, you have your thoughts and so does everybody else, but if you think UK want get in tourney?

              • Todd says:

                Thank you! Very good points, funny how Louisville is not that good when UK almost beats them?

                • TONEY says:

                  i am not being critical of kentucky and i never meant it that way and i was only joking when i said kentucky not making it to the tourney but even though i was kidding it is a possibility and a real one at that unless they improve greatly and coach cal is the coach that is needed for just that but what go all of this started is when todd started making excuses for the way kentucky lost and that was their free throw shooting and i came back and said that missed free throws as well as made free throws is part of the game…just because you all are biased you don’t have to go and cut someones throat…….example, chris tweeted earlier and said bengals defense was for real and i agree….i am a die hard bengals fan but if you are judging their defense against a baltimore team today that left half their starters out of the game then you are not judging them right…..bengals do have a good defense……point is chris didn’t go and cut my throat just because i disagreed with him…….enough said about the matter…..some people just can’t take losing, plain and simple…….i think what every one needs on here is about a 2 foot snow fall to put every one in a better mood.

    • RhondaB says:

      Hey, BubbaG…where is your location? Senility has set in and I can’t seem to remember.

      • TONEY says:

        cute….too cute

      • BubbaG says:

        I live near exit 95. North Richmond, the absolute center of the “D”.

        Well, seems like it to me. Boo!

        • gtwister says:

          My grandparents lived near exit 90. I remember a couple of nice snows in Richmond, but I also recall a warm spell inwhich my grandmother had her bedroom window open a few days before Christmas (I want to say 1984).

          The 74 tornado narrowly missed my grandparent’s house, but destroyed White Hall Elementary. Seeing the destruction was rather scary for this kindergartener.

    • BubbaG says:

      You guys are funny 🙂

  4. MikeM says:

    I was reading the paper yesterday and i think all the leaking chemical weapons in Madison county may be warming up the neighborhood with who knows what kind of gas. In 2020 when they start frying those things not sure how long it will take for Madison county to cool back down. Blame the government conspiracy, not the river. 😉

  5. cjbook says:

    Bubba, where are your ‘abouts’? Love your posts….:) from Morehead area…(Have some 1 inch or so snow, melted alot yesterday)…frozen now…

  6. Andy Rose says:

    looks like another rain event

  7. Coffeady says:

    Well, perhaps we can at least see snow falling mixed in with the rain. BubbaG I am like you. Would really like to see the fence torn down or at least moved further south! Got my tools ready! 😉

  8. Chris Mercer says:

    With two days to go in the month, Lexington, Louisville, Frankfort, Bowling Green, and Paducah (don’t count Jackson–31 years is not enough data to be fair) will end up in the Top 10 warmest Decembers. Cold today but Lexington and Louisville are warmer than last years’ December by a fair margin. Anyone wanna still predict this winter will be colder than normal? (Notice I didn’t say snowier than normal–no bet there–one good storm can produce “snowier than normal”

    • Joey Wilson says:

      This month might have been warm on average, but this last week with two and now possibly three snow chances has made my holidays better. 🙂 I don’t remember the last time we had three chances in a week. I’ve only gotten 2″ total from the first two, but it beats temps in the 50s and no chances of snow.

    • Bjenks says:

      ChirsM…Jan/Feb will be much colder than normal. You said this winter, are we talking from Met Winter of Dec 1 or Winter Solstice Winter from the 21st of Dec. If you are talking from the Solstice we are already average and or colder for this winter.

      • BubbaG says:

        Not to dig up old stuff, but CB said a similar thing last year. Doubtful we will see two warm winters in a row and CBs reasoning is sound, but we do have precedence.

        I am still guesstimating this will be an average of the past two, so winter a 1.5. Next winter will be mega cold 😉

      • Chris Mercer says:

        Met winter. Since that’s how NOAA keeps the records. So Dec 1-Feb 28

  9. blueaddiction says:

    Can anyone recommend a site that has snowfall totals that I will be able to print? We do snow removal and a few companies have to have a weather report, complete with snowfall totals, with the invoices we send.

  10. Joey Wilson says:

    I hate it when it gets really cold with temps well below normal but then warms up just enough to get a very cold rain. Looks to me that’s what KY will be getting with this next event. 🙁 🙁

  11. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    Looks like the models are trending warmer. Prepare yourself for another cold rain Ky. The only bright spot is that the models lately have been warmer than reality.

  12. Jp says:

    Hey Bubba what is the official snowfall for your area in this past event? Im in south lex and we have about 3.5 inches on my back patio. Business has picked up like crazy though for remote car starters!!! That makes Daddy very happy! 🙂

  13. Vinny says:

    OK, I got my 2″ of snow, and now I’m good…
    Come on spring like temps, thunderstorms and grillin’…


  14. Festus says:

    Bring on the rain and cold temps… as long as it rains and then immediately freezes afterwards, its money in the bank for the salt truck drivers!

  15. rolo says:

    man i find the only way to get goingon these Sunday mornings is go to CHURCH or take another shot.

    so guess which I chose, yea and the BEER joints are closed. so the BOOTLEGGERS can still make them sum

    they didnt even sell beer in MANCHESTER on XMAS and all the stores was open.

  16. This is from NWS Paducah and looks like they’re giving a bit of everything:

    Monday A chance of sleet before noon, then rain and sleet likely between noon and 3pm, then rain and snow likely after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 37. South southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.
    Monday Night A chance of rain and snow before 9pm, then a chance of snow and sleet between 9pm and midnight, then rain or freezing rain likely after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 31. South southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    New Year’s Day A chance of rain or freezing rain before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    • Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

      As usual Ky. cities on the Ohio River are a coin flip. Actually at this time I betting Louisville will have more Fz. precipitation than liquid. But the disturbance will lack a lot of moisture this far north. My opinion is subject to change.(lol)

  17. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Can’t really speak for central & northern KY, but you can take it to the bank….cold rain for the Lake Cumberland area. Hate to say it this early in the game, but i can hear the fat lady tuning up at least in this part of the state.

  18. Todd says:

    The Weather channel is saying 1 to 3 inches if snow New Year’s Eve for Frankfort, 4 inches on the ground and more to come, winter has arrived in Frankfort!

  19. Nate in Nicholasville says:

    It’s 360 days until Christmas and some people already have their lights and decorations up…talk about rushing the seasons…

  20. TONEY says:

    chris, i am a die hard bengals fan but i could not help from thinking when i saw your latest tweet about the bengals defense being for real which i do agree with and in the playoffs people are going to find out that the bengals are for real but neither team was playing at full strength today cause they were resting their starters and rightfully so cause really this game did not mean nothing in the seedings.

    don’t get me wrong, i have stood behind the bengals through the bad times and now it is time to stand by the bad times but i do agree with you that cincys defense is for real but today was not a gauge for that for either team………..waiting patiently for the next update… da man!!!

  21. Bengalfan says:

    Where do they play..inthe jungle afraid of noooobody…who dey who Dey, who dey think goin beat those bengals….I don’t care who they play next week, but I have a feeling it will be the texans,,but this year we r the ones w ho are hot, they are going backwards…

  22. Emerson Biggins says:

    Play Texans is a good chance

  23. MarkLex says:

    The extended (after the New Years weather) looks ultra quite across the entire country. I hope that patterns doesn’t last long.

  24. MarkLex says:

    Pattern, not patterns

  25. Mike S says:

    You know it’s bad all over when Mt Rainier’s Paradise Ranger station reports 246.5″ for the season and they’re still below average…Ughh.

  26. joyce says:

    Wonder when we will get an update?

  27. WXman says:

    Well, if you go by the modeling, it’s going to be slightly too warm for any accumulation south of I-64 this time around. In fact, NAM is even warmer than GFS and takes the freezing line to the Ohio River. Having said that…the models could be optimistic on temps. because they didn’t handle surface temps. very well with this past system. So.. fingers crossed.

  28. Disappointed says:

    Are we getting ready to go into a mild pattern? If so, that sucks. :(. What is the official snowfall for the lex area up to this point? Chris predicted earlier for most of the snowfall to be mid January and on. Do you still believe this to be true CB? Ty

  29. Layne says:

    7 inches in Northern Harrison County! Just dug out today!

    • Mike says:

      I can beat that: 0″ in Richmond, so there! (7″ is more than we have had at any time in the 8 years I have lived here!)

  30. chris g in clay county says:

    look for more rain for clay county with a little snow on backside, not enough to matter. way its been last 2 to 3 storms that has came through.

  31. MarkLex says:

    Yea – the snow on the ground definitely seems to refrigerate the atmosphere somewhat.

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