Sunday Evening Quickie

Good Sunday evening, gang.  I wasn’t going to update until I checked my twitter feed and found so many of you asking for something new on here. You guys are convincing! ;) For the areas with snow on the ground, today was a gorgeous winter day. Temps were cold and there wasn’t much snow melt and that will ensure us a white New Year. The question is… can we put some snow on top of snow and give some of the white stuff to those who have a bare ground? The answer is yes and probably so.

Speaking of the snow vs. no with our last storm. You can see the snowpack showing up on this visible satellite shot from earlier today…

Snow SatThat shows the sharp cutoff very well and illustrates just how difficult a job it is to forecast where that line sets up.

Ok… how about the storm system moving in for New Year’s Eve and Day. I’m looking at the models and looking at the setup and I don’t think the models have the best handle on this thing. There’s a decent chance this ends up being a little bigger event than is being advertised and that will be something to keep an eye on overnight into Monday.

As of now… light snow will break out from west to east Monday afternoon and evening. Initially, the radar will be more bark than bite until we can saturate the lowest levels. A wave of low pressure passes by to the south into New Year’s Day. This should send a swath of accumulating snows eastward across the northern half of the state with more of a mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain and some rain in the south. This could get awfully messy across the entire state.

As that low pushes off to the east… don’t be surprised if it leaves enough moisture behind for leftover snow across southern and southeastern parts of the state by New Year’s night.

I will get you guys a first call map later tonight. Enjoy the evening and thank your twitter pressure for this update. :) Take care.


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53 Responses to Sunday Evening Quickie

  1. Britt says:

    Thanks Chris. Been waiting a while for your thoughts.

  2. Neil says:

    Thanks, CB! Although I didn’t take part in the “pressure”, I did check my twitter feed frequently for your updates! Thanks for all you do!

  3. Todd says:

    thanks for the update Chris, you nailed this last storm for the Frankfort area, so what ever you think about this next storm is gold in my book!

  4. Andy Rose says:

    Sounds like another cold rain event for SE KY

    • chris g in clay county says:

      what i was thinking too andy. i actually posted in the other topic that the last 2 or 3 systems have gave us rain, with not enough snow on backside to write home about. hopefully the patern changes and southern/southeastern ky will get in on some snow action by winters end.

      • Emma (Knott County) says:

        I REALLY hope so. I’m feeling very snow deprived here in Knott County. It seems like all we get is a light dusting or rain event!!!

  5. SnowDogLburg says:

    Thanks again for all you do……”Dr Frankenstein”
    …you have created quite the MONSTER!!!!!! :-)

  6. Coffeady says:

    Thanks, Chris. But if we are in for a cold rain or freezing rAin, I will keep the care ground. Don’t think we are ever going to get a good snow with temps cold enough for it to hang around.

  7. Todd says:

    23 degrees in Frankfort, snow pack doing its job tonight, coldest temp so far this winter here has been 18 in the backyard!

  8. pattyversailles says:

    Thanks CB!! You’re the best!

  9. sue(flatwoods,ky) says:

    so happy to still have snow on the ground! That doesnt happen around here very often. Normaly it snows and looks pretty then melts by the next day!!!!!! The temp today never went over 31 deg so very little melting today, Temp is 24 deg at 8:45! Hopefully we can get some more snow to add to what we have now!!!!!!!!

  10. TONEY says:

    joe bastardi at weather bell seems to think they will be a storm come out of the western gulf of mexico next weekend along with extremely cold temps….he stated this yesterday with no model support and then today the european showed something to that effect……he thinks we may even get a super storm out of this pattern before the winter is over….he also thinks that we will get a thaw for 5 to 10 days the middle of jan. then the hardest part of the winter eill be late jan. through feb……..and if my memory serves me correctly, i think mr. bailey said something to this affect in his winter forecast back in november…….correct me if i am wrong.

    • BubbaG says:

      If I had a dollar every time JB has said that in the last few winters (and not pan out) I would have enough money to get a real good dinner at Malone’s. WITH alcoholic beverages. ;)

    • Emerson Biggins says:

      Toney, I find it hard to believe I cut your throat by simply disagreeing with you about UK not making tourney and UL over ranked. Never said anything bad about you or your comments, just simple disagreed. You might want to go back and re ready my comments. If anybody went for the throat it might have been your comments. I for one am a huge UK fan but not a sore losser,UL deserved to win, played a better game than we did, they are a better team than UK. I just think we have more room to improve. So from my stand point no hard feelings and remeber, STAY POSITIVE THINK SNOW AND ROOT ON UK.

      • BubbaG says:

        How much you want to bet Cal will make them shoot a LOT of free throws and run sprints on misses? Get er` duunnnn!

        • Pat says:

          Bubba, it was a great game and i think our little boys became men on Saturday. The only complaint I had with the refs was the walking call on Noel towards the end of the game, that was a foul. If we don’t improve on free throws quickly other teams will play hack a Shaq on us the rest of the season. I know that’s what I would do. As afr as the Cats not making the tourney, that’s not going to happen. The SEC is really down this year and the only team I have watched that can beat us is Florida. We won’t be a number one seed, but we will be in the tourney and you can take that to the bank!

  11. MarkLex says:

    That visible satellite is so cool!!!

    You can clearly see the most urban part of Lexington that is like a “hole” because of all of the pavement. You can see the river too and the snowfalls does stop right at the river……..Very strange

  12. spencerlady says:

    It stayed pretty today with sunshine, cold temps, and left over snow on the ground. Interesting to read what be coming our way again. And, I enjoy reading the comments from the regular and WITTY contributors.

  13. JJTeach says:

    We appreciate the update Chris!
    Here’s to hoping more of the state can see at least some light snows out of this next event. Hope it’s an “overachiever”!

  14. Braden Petry says:

    Could you tell me chris’s email address ? thank you

  15. LilliH says:

    I’d rather have a foot of snow than a half inch of freezing rain/ice; most people are depressed by snow…I’m depressed without it :P I hope some finally makes it’s way to central southern and SEKY.

  16. BubbaG says:

    This quickie from CB is the most gracious. “Yes, the same folks that got shafted for snow on the last one will get the same again” post ever.

    Well played CB!

    • BubbaG says:

      Not to be a downer, but I ma not seeing anything that changes this for any southern fed system. It just is what it is. Until a trend buster happens, watch out for little girls bearing football gifts.

      This last event was NOT a trend buster.

      • Andy Rose says:

        nope as it was same as last anybody south of richmond gets rain

        • Mike says:

          Not “south” of Richmond – you meant Richmond AND points south. I live in Richmond and we got nada – zilch – 0 so far this winter.

      • Teach says:

        7 inches in Harrison County is the most we’ve had in a few years. Not a trend buster, but nice just the same. Bubba, I hope the dome gets busted for you soon.

      • Todd says:

        It was for Frankfort, not trying to rub it in on the snow starved southern ky folks, but back in the day of old school winters the northern half of KY always got the better snow totals with ICE being the main threat south of the KY river!

        This winter might become old school, heck some parts of southern Indiana and Illionois has more than a foot on the ground! That Keep KY colder and the models thrown off for a while!

        • BubbaG says:

          With the exception of residing in England a few times, Richmond got at least three 8″ plus snows in each decade from the 70s through the 90s. Of the big ice storms since 1987, Richmond and south of that have dodged three ice storms. In each one, it was like an ice switch was turned on as soon as crossing the river. Two of the times it was sunny and a sick, but awesome site of heavy ice covering everything.

          I even remember two of those times Fearless Frank Falkner talking about a brutal ice storm on WKQQ and my wife not
          knowing what he was talking about. That is until we drove across Clays Ferry.

          Richmond and on south plus the SE got the big snows every decade until the last one and a half. Several per decade.

          • BubbaG says:

            Point being around four years I was out of the country, so did not personally witness some of the events, though family members did.

          • chris g in clay county says:

            fearless frank. he was awesome.
            i remember him on 36 years ago i think too. or was it 62 before it switched to 36? i cant remember

            i used to listen to frank on 98.1 too years ago, but now i cant pick up wkqq on my stereo in house. 100.1 signal doesnt get into clay as good as the 98.1 signal does.

            i got a aircheck from a 103.5 wimz giving a weather report from the feb 1998 storm, only reason i got that station is the storm knocked out our local 103.1 station, and i could get 103.5 i could pick up very little. the feb 1998 was probley the last awesome storm . the one in feb 18th or 19th of 2012 was a good storm to remember due to i didnt think it would stick but we ended up with 5 or 6 inches, i forget how much exactly. im thinking maybe 5? i could go back read chris’ blog about that storm and tell you cause he nailed how much my area got.

            • BubbaG says:

              The big snows fell off a cliff 15 years ago and we now get our average via a bunch of small “drive by” snows. All they are good for is accidents, gets missing school and salt crusted vehicles.

  17. DougD says:

    Thanks Chris. Keeping my fingers crossed for Snow in the southeastern part of the state.

    • BubbaG says:

      Don’t cross them too hard, you will probably need your fingers to press the umbrella catch ;)

      Of course, the joke is on us south central folks, since SE Kentucky should get some good shots for snow this winter.

  18. WXman says:

    Halo around the moon means snow within 36 hours according to legend. Let’s see…

  19. BubbaG says:

    Too bad the thought does not count for snow totals. Appreciated none the less :)

  20. Andy Rose says:

    if it looks familiar that ≡more cold rain for seky

  21. BubbaG says:

    The good news for Chris is the largest demographic of his followers are getting snow now, so he is off the hook from that regard. Us surfs to the south of the castle keep and the moat/river are now the forgotten ones of winters past.

    Sniff, sniffle.

    BTW, due to the snow pack, if the system tracks similar to the last, I would expect an over per performer for you north of the river snow royals. ;)

    Regardless, south of the river, it is what is and could be standard procedure this winter.

    • Todd says:

      Bubba needs some snow badly, I feel your pain my fellow blogger, I hope this next system shows some love south of the river, But I feel all of KY will be ready for spring by march, Big time snows are a coming!

    • miss kate says:

      poor Bubba. you can always come play in my north of the river snow. i got a whoppin 1.5 inches.

    • BubbaG says:

      It is the statistic that drives me nuts. It seems uncanny, but in reality a 15 year gap is but a blink in the historic cycle of weather. It really is what it is. Meh.

  22. Trudy Kelly says:

    We appreciate all your hard work and blogs. :O)

  23. MarkLex says:

    Bubba………If it makes you feel better, the superstorm 93′ gave Richmond and southern AND eastern KY much more snow than north of the river. I think Lexington got six inches out of that one, while Frankfort received even less.

    Interestingly enough. I looked up the snow totals for Lexington for the 92/93 season was almost 24 inches, so they must have had other snows other than the superstorm that winter.

    • BubbaG says:

      There were two biggies that year. Lex got smacked with one of them. It was the blizzard that got us all and shut I75 down for two days all the way towards Florence. We also had sub zero temps.

  24. pizzaman(nw illinois) says:

    hard to believe its 36 here and 24 in lex and im 500 miles northwest and maybe an inch of snow so far this winter

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