Good Evening, gang. Our extreme pattern is just getting underway across the bluegrass state. This includes near record warmth, thunderstorms, possible high water, cold, arctic cold and snow. Never a dull moment around here.

The first area of low pressure will work across the Mississippi Valley Thursday and Friday and will bring showers and scattered storms to the state. Thursday’s temp map will show a big gradient from north to south, but the warm air will win the battle.

Highs Friday will hit the low and mid 60s after scattered storms end. Saturday will see mid and upper 60s with a 70 degree reading possible. That’s when the next storm moves in by Sunday with showers and storms increasing. That will pull a slow moving cold front into the state and this allows for a heavy rain corridor to set up from southwest to northeast…

GFS Rain

The next wave of low pressure is trending colder on the models for Monday night through early Wednesday. That may up the chances for some wintry stuff during this time. The GFS Ensembles continue to advertise this…

GFS

Those same Ensembles show another storm throwing snow our way toward the end of next week…GFS 2The GFS Ensembles are showing what the pattern has been suggesting for a while, now. The operational model runs of the GFS and European are flopping more than a fish out of water. Forecast the pattern and worry about the details later.

Have a great evening and take care.