Good Thursday to one and all. Our weather is about to take a walk on the wild side over the next several days as the supercharged pattern kicks into high gear. We are tracking everything from heavy rain and near record highs to a serious temp tank and some snow.

It all gets started out there today with a big temp gradient and an increase in showers and thunderstorm activity. An area of low pressure will continue to lift northward across the Mississippi River Valley and will drag a warm front from south to north across the state today. This will mean a heck of a temp swing out there with the northern half of the state struggling in the 40s while the south hits the 60s. The mild air will then win out late today into the evening hours.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will then ramp up tonight into early Friday. A little clearing later Friday will help temps surge into the low and mid 60s.

Those 60s hang tough into Saturday. How high they get will depend on when the next round of showers and storms arrive. Locally heavy rain will be a good bet from late Saturday into Sunday. The good news is the colder scenario appears to play out and that will lessen the flood threat.

Our cold front should sweep across the state Sunday into Sunday night. The GFS is coming around to what the GFS Ensembles have been suggesting and what the GFS was saying a few days back. Take a look at the temp dive…

GFS

The GFS even says the back edge of the rain ends as snow Monday morningΒ  across central Kentucky. For fun… here’s the snow forecast by that time…

GFS Snowfall

Again… don’t take that as the absolute truth. I’m only highlighting it to show how it’s going toward what the pattern suggests. Don’t worry… it will change with each and every run today. πŸ˜‰

The same run of the GFS also shows a colder solution with the next system on Tuesday…

GFS 2

It’s likely a little too disjointed with the precipitation and may be able to put down a little snow for some. The Canadian Model certainly looks the part…

Canadian

It looks like the cold air then continues to sink southward into the middle of next week with the possibility of the first clipper of the year. That should be followed by another push of very cold air by next weekend. There’s the possibility it meets up with something down in the Gulf. The same Canadian Model likes that scenario…

Canadian 2

So, there you have it. A super busy pattern that will feature some big time changes in the next several days and lead us into a very wintry pattern for the rest of the month into February.

Have a great Thursday and check back for updates. Take care.