Good afternoon, folks. Our weekend is off and running on a very busy and warm note across the bluegrass state. We have a lot of different things to track, so let’s get cracking.

The first item up for bids is heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms. Repeat action through Sunday may put down enough rain to cause some high water issues. For that reason, A FLOOD WATCH is now out for the western half of the state…

Warnings

Areas within the watch may see another 2″-3″ of rain through Sunday. To the east of the watch… 1″-2″ of rain will be likely.

The cold front surges eastward on Sunday and this means a 30 degree temp drop from west to east. Parts of western Kentucky will see the rain change to snow on Sunday and we could see some accumulation. The HPC has that area in a slight risk for 4″ of snow…

HPC

See what the HPC is doing late Monday into Monday night across eastern Kentucky? They have outlined that area for a slight risk of 4″ snows during this time frame. That’s with this next wave of low pressure we’ve been tracking. While the track does appear a little farther east, it is not set in stone. The GFS Ensembles…

GFS

The GFS is actually pretty bullish on some snow across southern and eastern Kentucky during this time. Again… it’s early in the game, so don’t get too caught up in it. More model changes are ahead and any deviation will have a big impact.

While we’re at it… the models continue to go gangbusters on the north pole visiting our region the following week…

GFS 2

I will try to update later this evening. Have a great rest of your day and take care.