From the better late than never files, A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 10pm for parts of eastern and southeastern Ky.

Winter W A

The wintry mix will slowly end over the next few hours. Take care.

Previous Update

Good Monday evening, gang. A nasty mix of sleet, snow and freezing rain is working across parts of central and eastern Kentucky this evening. This will be enough to cause some slick spots. This is round one of the wintry mix… round two arrives late Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Anyone notice the tremendous model bust on temps today? The models had it close to 40 and many areas struggled to get out of the upper 20s. The lost art in meteorology is actually looking to see if the models are verifying with their forecasts before trusting them. This is a low level cold air mass and the models are terrible in how they handle it. Blindly following a model and never looking at the actual weather is a bad thing for anyone to do. Yet, it happens… way too often.

While I’m on the subject… kudos to the NWS in Louisville for updating the forecast based on what was actually happening. Jackson decided to pretend the snow and sleet wasn’t happening and turned a blind eye (as of this writing).

The next wave of low pressure swings in later Tuesday into Tuesday night. This means another round of a wintry mix is likely for many areas. There will be more moisture to work with, so the impact may be a little greater than what we have this evening. If the models are as bad with the temps tomorrow as they were today, we may have some bigger issues.

The GFS does show freezing rain…

GFSThat’s the models way of telling us there will be a wintry mix of some kind across the state.

The big arctic plunge is full steam ahead this weekend into next week. Look at all the bitter cold and action showing up on the European Model…

Euro

Have a great evening and take care.