Good Tuesday, everyone. We have another wintry blast moving into the state late today and this one will have more juice to work with. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain will be likely across much of the state and this could lead to some problems.
We continue to watch our stalled out front to the southeast of Kentucky. One more wave of low pressure is developing to our south and will move northeastward along the boundary tonight. There will be much more moisture available and that moisture will impact the entire state.
Low level cold air is already in place across the state. Low level cold and computer models do NOT get along very well. That’s why you saw the models busting badly with the temps and precipitation type Monday. Guess what? They will likely have similar issues with this next system. Here’s what I’m expecting…
I’m growing more concerned about a period a period of freezing rain this evening and overnight. That should set up somewhere within the wintry mix zone I’ve outlined. If that does set up… expect a significant impact for the areas affected. This will be another “nowcasting” system.
Heavy rain across far southeastern Kentucky may cause some local high water issues later tonight and Wednesday morning.
There is another storm system coming from the southwest later Thursday into Thursday night. The models are split on whether this gets far enough north to produce some snow into Kentucky. The NAM continues to be most aggressive…
I am ONLY showing that to illustrate what the model is showing. The GFS keeps it JUST to the south of the state. This may end up being a very close call and another thing for us to keep an eye on.
The first in a series of arctic fronts arrives this weekend as the big temp plunge begins. The core of the coldest anomalies are forecast to settle into or region by Monday and Tuesday…
There will be snow systems associated with the ice box next week. Remember… forecast the pattern and worry about the details as we get closer. If we can put some snow on the ground this weekend or early next week… temps could go below zero.
I will have updates as needed. I will also have rapid fire thoughts via twitter. @kentuckyweather
Have a great day and take care.