A Short Lived Warm Up

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a taste of March air into the bluegrass state today and that will send thermometers soaring. In typical March fashion, it won’t last very long as colder air and showers move in later tonight and Friday. Another up and down pattern is likely this weekend into early next week before winter returns.

Highs today will roll through the 50s and a 60 is possible for some areas. Clouds will be around and a shower can’t be ruled out across the south and southeast.

We have two storm systems that will be working across the eastern part of the country. These two will get together on Friday to form a blizzard across New England. I wanted to show you something I have never seen before on a computer model. The NAM is spitting out 40-60 inches of snow from this storm in the northeast…

NAM Snow

That’s probably going way to the extreme, but it’s an amazing sight to see.

This whole setup will bring showers in here later tonight and early Friday. Much colder air will move in for Friday and a stray flake or to can’t be ruled out.

Saturday will see the sunshine return with temps coming back up. Sunday should be a warmer day with highs back into the 50s, but it comes with a price. The cold front looks to be speeding up and may blow into town by the end of the day with gusty rain developing…


Colder air will then work in for later Monday and that air will grow colder as we go deeper into next week. I’ve been honking about a cold and snowy mid and late February and the models show a very deep trough digging in…

GFS 2That pattern will bring several snow chances our way with the first one possible by the middle of next week. Remember the motto… forecast the pattern then worry about the details as we get closer. 😉

Make it a wonderful day and take care.

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78 Responses to A Short Lived Warm Up

  1. alena says:

    That is a LOT of snow for the northeast. I wouldn’t want to see that here.

  2. Chris Mercer says:

    Chris Bailey:
    I know you usually don’t have time to respond to comments here, but could this be a repeat of Mid-February to Mid-March 1960?

    February 13-14 saw a snowfall of 7.1 inches
    Temps stayed below 40 and February 18 saw 6.0 more inches!
    Temps still below 40, another 3.0 inches picked up from February 19-29. Snow depth of 2 inches or more all the way from February 13-29.

    Then BOOM! On March 2-12 more than fifteen inches of snow with temps falling below zero!

    The Snow cover lasted from February 13 to March 23! Those giving up on winter, take hope!

    • unclesi says:

      gonna be hard to snow when temps in 40s and 50s ….. all we have heard all winter is coming soon …. well guess what nothing comes except maybe some rain and few snow flakes. here’s a brain buster – coming soon, spring !!!!

      • Chris Mercer says:

        Hey–I agree it won’t snow on this 55 degree day. Only pointing out one winter (in 140 years of so) had the best snow and cold from Mid-February to late March. It has happened before, it could happen again!

  3. Sarah H says:

    Anyone who really wants that amount of snow in their community is absolutely out of their mind.

  4. Winter began Feb. the 1st with a flutter,just wait.. those snow totals for the northeast are gonna be close in areas! look out Al Gore winter has started

  5. KeavyMan01 says:

    Wishing I lived in Boston…LOL


  6. OLD SCHOOL says:

    I wouldn’t worry about a big snow …Were in Ky…The land that snow forgot…

  7. Rickie says:

    It was in March of 93 when here in Letcher Co.,we got 30 something inches of snow. The best I remember the temps were in the mid to upper 30’s, due to a noreaster. It’s been 20 years ago so I don’t remember details, but what I do remember is, it was beautiful, but very devastating. We survived. I do love snow! But it don’t take a hole lot to make me happy…. Bottom line is … It’s not to late for a big one!

  8. Snowman says:

    I must be out of my mind, I would like to see 4 or 5 feet of snow in my neighborhood. I can keep hoping, it would be much better than the tornados we saw last march. I sure do not want to see another one of those.

  9. Chris Mercer says:

    Temp has surged to 61 here in Lawrenceburg. With several more hours of heating, could the record high of 67 be in jeopardy?

  10. Woodsman says:

    You guys don’t want that kind of snow, there’s places in WV still recovering from the widespread 4-6ft that fell from Sandy! Power was out until November 31st for some areas. A lady down the road from here was out feeding her dogs during the storm and slipped and couldn’t get up. She was buried under 4ft of snow and wasn’t found until a week later, there’s nothing good about the devastation a storm like that causes.

    • Chris Mercer says:

      Sorry for being ugly towards your post the other day.. Snow jealousy 🙂 I don’t think anyone here wants 4-6 feet. My wife’s family was in Buffalo, NY in the late 70’s. Ask them about that. But 1-2 feet, I think most would take!

    • Shawon says:

      November 31st?

      My Mom’s house got 2 feet of snow in the 1994 winter storm that hit Kentucky. If that happened again I don’t think she would live through it now.

    • Rachel says:

      I honestly think most of us would be happy with a foot of snow… or even 8 inches at this point. I haven’t seen anyone asking for 4-6ft…

      • Chris Mercer says:

        Nope–and I don’t know any record of any place in Kentucky have 4-6 feet. I think the record for one storm is around 3 1/2 feet–that happened in 1950, 1987, and 1993, and all in far Eastern Kentucky. Most locations, the snow of record is 12 to 18 inches, with a few 18 to 24 inch amounts.

        • Woodsman says:

          No hard feelings chris, granted this was a wet snow and yes,”November 31st”. Working to repair miles of downed lines through the woods is no easy task, I work for chesapeake.

  11. KellyinLouisville says:

    Up to 67 degrees with sunny skies here in the ‘Ville. 70 appears to be within reach.

  12. Todd says:

    62 In Frankfort, makes think about gardening, this will confuse the critters if that cold stuff verifies next week?

  13. unclesi says:

    62 here, but snow is coming I tell ya next week, hahahahaha
    coming soon, winter will start ………… hahahaha
    I see end of month winter storm brewing …… hahahaha
    I see a bad moon rising, I hear trouble on the way, don’t go out tonight, it’s bound to take your life, there’s a bad moon on the rise !!!!!

  14. Virgil Edwards says:

    Snow may be pretty, snow may be fun but Snow can be just as destructive if not more so than tornadoes due to the fact that severe winter storms can cover and impact an area so much larger than a tornado could. A tornado comes and goes very quickly a snow storm dropping a foot or more snow takes time to end and even longer to clean up. Mean time you are likely left with no power and no heat unless you have Gas and plenty of it. Could be cut off from needed supplies like food and water and gas for your car..

    You just can’t begin comparing tornadoes to snow.. They are both weather phenomena that much like alcohol no one should take in more than in moderation.

  15. Cole in McCreary says:

    Cloudy all day here, cant seem to get past 55, enjoy your sun!

  16. Coffeelady says:

    Well, I remember the snows of ’76-’77. And I remember the storm of ’93, and ’87 as well. I also remember when ai was growing up of getting big snow into April. We missed one whole month of school because of it, and went on Saturday to make up days. While I don’t want 4-6 feet of snow, 8-10 inches would be really nice to see. I know it causes problems, and I would be happy with one big snow a year. As of this writing, we haven’t even seen more than half an inch here. I have even talked to older people who wish it would come a big snow. Like me, I guess it helps them to remember their childhood, and the winters we used to get.
    I can’t complain about the cold we have had, nor what is coming back. We need that cold to help keep nature in check. Last summer was brutal for bugs, and gnats, and I woul much rather have the cold weather in February and March, than in May. My azealeas spent as much time under wraps last year as they did blooming!
    I feel for the people in the Northeast. Many are still trying to recover from Sandy. They sure don’t need what is coming at them. So, if they want to send a PORTION of it to Kentucky, well, we, being good neighbors, would take some of it off their hands. **Note** I DID NOT say ALL, but, just…some. Not trying to make light of those poor peoples’ plight, so please don’t misunderstand. But I would still like to see us get a big snow. Have a GREAT Thursday, everyone.
    (Sorry this is so long. Didn’t mean to be so wordy today.) 😉

  17. KP says:

    My M-I-L is spending her first winter out of Texas. I showed her a photo of me in the ’98 dusting. She got very worried. 🙂

    The flies are buzzing right above the ground today. I don’t understand how flies emerge as soon as the temp gets slightly warm. Nothing kills them.

  18. KeavyMan01 says:

    Desperately hoping the snow holds off till after Wednesday. As much as I love snow, I would love to be home to enjoy it. I go into the Hospital Monday for surgery and will probably stay till Wednesday, perhaps Thursday. Let it rip and pile a mile high when I get home. Would be awful to get stuck in Hospital a few extra days because of snow. How could I ever enjoy it? LOL

  19. Todd says:

    the models must love the northeast, they never bust when it comes to snows up that way, if we were only that lucky in KY showing a big storm only to fade as it approaches!

  20. Ready4Snow says:

    Frustrating watching others get 3 feet of snow when we cannot get 5 inches anymore…Oh well the life of being a weather weenie in Ky…Ky the land that snow forgot…

    • Bob says:

      I for one DO NOT want 3 feet of snow. Besides the roof caving in we would be lucky to get power on by April where I live!

  21. Weatherdadof2 says:

    Just took a lovely 60 degree hike in the Daniel Boone Forest. Trees are budding, birds chirping and, alas, my son and I both found a tick crawling on us by the time we got home. Need some real cold to zap these bugs.

  22. Todd says:

    The big storm approaching the northeast US has something we in KY will never have that is Atlantic moisture, we get gulf moisture and that means warm air in our part of the world kills alot of our big snow chances, the northeast area is colder and so is the Atlantic Ocean compared to the gulf!

    • Chris Mercer says:

      I Think we had Atlantic moisture in ’98

      • Todd says:

        That was the epic dusting, thinking that dropped in from the northwest and tapped some gulf moisture, but don’t really remember Foresure?

      • Joey Wilson says:

        We did! Got a foot of snow in Owensboro. It was a rare setup where a low pressure system stalled on the east coast and then moved west. It pulled moisture over a cold dome in the midwest and we had a great snow. Only time I can remember that setup!

        • Todd says:

          Yep, I just looked it up, that was a Atlantic fed storm that was not forecast to throw moisture this far west, rare to say the least, or that year the most !

  23. Leeannie says:

    Next two weeks look like a weather snooze fest. Still wishing for snow though! I am now seeing the daffodils up about 3″ in my yard and the stink bugs are partying down in my attic as I type this. Boo. The insects will carry us all off this spring.

  24. KP says:

    Brian Williams on NBC said an asteroid will barely miss hitting earth on the 15th and a huge solar flare is expected to knock out power in some areas. He said we will have 30 minutes to prepare for the flare, “So enjoy your weekend.”

    Those folks trying to put their lives back together after Sandy are about to get knocked down again. It sure seems the northeast gets the worst of it these days.

  25. bjenks says:

    Wish I was in Boston!

  26. barb says:

    Thank goodness that monster of a snow storm aka Blizzard is staying up north. Glad it isnt making its way to kentucky. Bring on spring and the sunshine please.

  27. alena says:

    We always miss out on the snow, so lets hope that asteroid actually does miss us, and could do without power outages from solar flares too. Do you think the “dome” protects us from them too? lol

    • KP says:

      Sometimes a dome that keeps everything away is a good thing!
      Today’s news said “no way” will the asteroid hit earth, but would they tell us otherwise? No, they would not! 🙂

  28. Ready4Snow says:

    Actually the big Blizzard thats about to crush the north East started in South East texas drawing moisture from the Gulf…It then phases with another system up north and stalls out for a while…Some models are saying 6-7 QPF and higher..lol….Who ever gets under some of these strong bands could see possible 4 feet of snow…Looking at the water vapor this is all ready a power house and will only get stronger when it phases…How lucky can you be…”Ky the land that snow forgot”

  29. Bobt says:

    Will be extremely lucky if we get an old school this year. Some folks down in SE Kentucky have not even seen an inch total this year. I know CB posted some maps showing cold, but that was only for three days. What’s going to happen the other eleven days? If I were guessing I would say close to normal temps. Some of the long range models are saying average temps for the next couple of months and then a warm April. There is always a chance in Feb. and March, but I wouldn’t want to spend weeks in below average temps to get one small snow. Give me old school or give me warmth.

  30. Ready4Snow says:

    Lol…GFS say’s what Blizzard….Talk about fingernail biting if living in the north East…

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