Good Sunday, everyone. We have a rainy cold front working eastward across the commonwealth today. This front will produce gusty winds and widespread showers through early Monday. This front will also usher in the return of winter and we’re tracking an increasing snow threat for Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Showers will be common across the western part of the state early today. Those rains will then work eastward across the rest of the region this afternoon and evening. Temps will hit the 50s ahead of the front that will slowly work through here on Monday. Winds will gust up along and behind this front as colder air moves in.

We’re getting back into a busy winter pattern and that means the blog will get back to updating more than once a day. That also means I don’t want to get too wordy with this update.

The forecast models continue to develop a storm across the western Gulf of Mexico and head toward the Carolinas Wednesday. A swath of snow will fall to the north and west of that track. Many of the forecast models show that swath cutting right across Kentucky. Here’s the GFS…

GFS

That’s a track that is usually a good one for a wet snowfall around here. The NAM run (as of this writing) only went out to Wednesday morning and showed a much more robust snow maker pushing in from the west…

NAM Snowfall

At this point, I feel fairly confident of a swath of accumulating snow working through the state Wednesday. Where and how much? Those are questions to tackle over the next few days as the model guidance comes into focus.

We also have to track the arctic plunge and possible end of the week system. Let’s take ’em one at a time for now. 😉

I will have another update later today. Have a great Sunday and take care.