Good Monday, weather weenies. The winds of change are howling across the bluegrass state to start the new work week. These winds will blow winter back into town over the next few days. Snow threats and arctic air will take  center stage later in the week and weekend.

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with temps in the upper 40s and low 50s. Winds will be the main story as gusts may top 40mph at times. Hold on to those hats!

Colder air will then bleed into the state into Tuesday. This air is marginally cold enough to produce snow as the next storm takes aim at the region on Wednesday. The models are beginning to come into better agreement with a farther northward tracking low toward the Carolinas. The NAM and GFS look very similar…

NAM 1

GFS

The models are still trying to figure out the track of the low and are struggling with the thermal profiles. Regardless, temps are going to be touch and go with this system, but I do suspect we will see a swath of wet snow setting up. We will have to figure out exactly where that is as we get closer. The track alone is one that usually produces snow around here.

Arctic air will then plunge southward into our region on Friday and that will set us up for a wicked weekend of winter weather. There is a good possibility of a wave of low pressure developing along this arctic front and then bombing out just to our east or northeast. The Canadian model shows this…

CanadianI’m not really sure how to feel about the pattern  setting up for the rest of the month. I do love my cold and snow, but not so much this time of year. Spring training starts this week and my mind is quickly turning toward the spring months just around the corner.

I will update again later today. Have a great Monday and take care.