Happy Saturday and welcome to the last weekend of February. We will be enjoying some decent weather over the next couple of days as high pressure takes control. That will change in a big way early next week as Old Man Winter flexes some late season muscle.

Temps today will run in the 40s for highs with a mix of sun and clouds. A storm system will continue to skirt to our south and east and may deliver a light shower across the far southeastern part of the commonwealth.

Sunday looks good with readings warming into the high 40s to near 50 with mostly sunny skies.

That brings us to Monday and the development of a strong storm system just to our west. This will be a potent system that will send us a blast of mild air and gusty winds Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will then work in by the afternoon and evening and continue into Monday night.

That’s when MUCH colder air surges in here for Tuesday. That means a mix of rain and snow will be likely as colder winds really crank up. Take a look at how quickly temps crash on the NAM…

NAMThat could make things a little interesting around here on Tuesday as rain changes to snow. Winds are going to howl during this time.

This system will develop into a massive cutoff area of low pressure that deepens as we go through the middle and end of next week. If you want to see the definition of an anomalous trough, check this out…

GFS

That is one heck of a deep trough across the eastern part of the country with a MASSIVE block to the north of it. That keeps the trough in place with a deepening upper level low spinning in place…

GFS 2

That funnels very cold air in here and all the way into the deep south and could lead to frost and freezing conditions into Florida. That’s also a pattern to produce rounds of snow and snow showers and very gusty winds around here. I will be super surprised if most of the state doesn’t have snow on the ground at some point next week into next weekend.

Such an anomalous pattern often produces something big, so keep that in mind as we go through the next few weeks.

I may have another update later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.