Sunday Evening Update

Good Sunday evening. A gorgeous day is wrapping up across the bluegrass state and I hope you got to enjoy it. A lot of winter is coming up during the week ahead and beyond.

A powerful storm will move our way Monday night into Tuesday. Widespread rain and thunderstorms will develop during this time as our winds really increase. Gusts of 40mph+ will be likely as cold air wraps in here from the west and southwest…


Cold air will continue to be funneled in from the northwest as snow develop by late Tuesday and Wednesday. A STRONG northwesterly wind flow will mean a continuous stream of widespread snow showers and squalls through the coming weekend. The GFS puts snow on the ground through Friday…

GFS SnowfallGusty winds and cold air may make this the harshest period of the winter across our region. As a matter of fact, that cold air deepens over the weekend…

Euro 2

And check out the European Model for March 6th…

Euro 3B to the RR.

Have a great evening and take care.

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31 Responses to Sunday Evening Update

  1. weather blog troll says:

    Thanks so much for all you do, Chris.
    I’m ready for another bit of Winter.
    Maybe one of these systems will blow up into a gooder!

  2. Coffeady says:

    Thanks, Chris. Looks like I am not ready to put away the long johns just yet! I know you will be keeping us posted as the storm moves in. And yes, I did get out and enjoy this gorgeous day. The way it sounds, it’s a good thing I did!

  3. Andy Rose says:

    I would be happy for winter to start we have had more days with waps flying and frogs singing that we have had snow chances this yr

  4. prelude says:

    Personally im over it bring on spring

  5. james says:

    Ok, my brain isn’t working good enough now, but what’s B to the RR? Blizzard to the ??

  6. Dale says:

    BRR…gonna be cold.

  7. Michele says:

    Thank you for keeping us up to date on everything. I love this blog!

  8. MJ says:

    I honestly do not understand the reason for posting 850 maps. That Euro picture is for 12Z (7am) on 3/6. -12 to -14 degrees at 850 still yields 20-25 degrees at the surface. Given that the normal low for early March at Lexington and Louisville is 30, we’re only talking 5 to 10 degrees below normal…if those runs are right. Let alone, much of the deterministic and ensemble guidance has temps during the day going above freezing through the extended period. Yes, this is an anomalous set up with below normal temperatures for the period, but its nothing all that harsh.

    • bjenks says:

      MJ..II Understand your thought, although they are forcasting freezing temps in Orlando with snow possible in some areas…If it is going to be freezing in Orlando it will be a little bit colder here in Kentucky.

    • Chris Mercer says:

      What would the maps have looked like in March of 1960, MJ?

    • BubbaG says:

      All great met perspective, but superfluous really, since the root law for Kentucky winter weather now is 90% or more of any significant moisture system falls in the form of rain, or sometimes ice.

      If a small system, we get arch and ankle biters. Well, we got an arch biter. Folks north of the river got some ankle biters.

  9. Weatherdadof2 says:

    Bring on the deep freeze! Kill the ticks and other bugs that are out.

  10. CosmoKramer says:

    What do Texas and Kentucky have in common?
    About the same amount of snowfall and manure for each this winter.
    I’m just kidding everyone….someone have a ruler and a 50′ tape measure?

    Beware the SwathThing….

  11. bjenks says:

    Just enough cold air to confuse all the critters and give us a slow start to spring. Looks like Lou. area will be left out of the snow….

  12. Jpeezy says:

    Love your blog and optimism about winters, but I have two words for us getting snow or cold this week or next: bet not. No reason to believe these models.

  13. Todd says:

    Eastern half of state in the higher terrain might get a ankle biter this week, from I75 west dusting at best, I think I need to head south for a few weeks until this ugly stuff moves on?

  14. Bill L says:

    LOL…Louisville is yet again in a doughnut hole for snow….even in the midst of nothing, we get less…… I’d pay for a decent snow as I am still not over winter. I see these monster storms to the north and feel oddly jealous….

    • WXEMGUY says:

      Bill…it’s only the model GUIDANCE! Personally would not be surprised to see you guys get a little bit more snow than this…just bear in mind it may not all stick…and overall…this is not one single snow storm to affect the Commonwealth, it will be numerous rounds of low pressure impulses delivering rounds of quick hitting snow systems and/or snow squalls. So at times, it may snow like mad, but long term intermittent duration coupled with ground temps will mitigate/negate ground cover. Either way…most to all will see snow in this state.

  15. M Birge says:

    Lv your site despite living in No Va. Especially useful for determining ski weather in Mid-Atlantic.
    BUT your maps just provided lack a legend explaining color codes! Help!

  16. Wes says:

    NWS, is giving rain/snow every day….

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