Tracking A Wild Weather Day & Winter

Good Tuesday, folks. The big change storm system is rolling across the region today and this will bring a little bit of everything to the commonwealth. The biggest change comes in the form of old man winter blowing back into town as our pattern undergoes a MAJOR change.

Let’s break it down with the headlines…

- Heavy rain will be common across the state today. Rainfall amounts should range from .50″ to 1.50″. You may even hear a rumble of thunder.

- Winds will howl with gusts of 40mph possible.

- Temps will spike into the 50s across central and eastern Kentucky into the early afternoon. Cold air will then rush in from the southwest with readings dropping into the 30s later in the day into the evening.

Your tracking toys…

Current Temperatures

The colder air will continue to work into the state on Wednesday. An early day mix of snow and rain will change to all snow later in the day. A disturbance on the backside of our storm will dive in here Wednesday night and early Thursday. This will likely cause widespread snow showers and squalls to develop and that should put down accumulations for many areas.

Rounds of snow will then carry us into the weekend and the GFS is falling in love with this northwesterly wind flow…

GFS Snowfall

You will never measure that kind of snow at any one time. That is showing you the total accumulation through the upcoming weekend. There will be melting in between the rounds of snow. Southeastern parts of the state may do quite well with the northwesterly wind setup.

Another big blast of cold is likely by the middle of next week and that may have another round of snow with it.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.


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48 Responses to Tracking A Wild Weather Day & Winter

  1. KYgal says:

    Some people may be ready for spring, but here in Pulaski County we haven’t even had a real snow. Bring on the snow!!!

  2. Cosmokramer says:

    All this rain and mud lost to pure snow….wish the cold air came in quicker, but that robs the system of moisture in KY…..wait and see…

  3. Bobt says:

    Looks like we will go from a pretend winter straight to summer. Spring is either not going to show up or make a late appearance. I know on the calendar it is not spring yet, but normally temps start to improve quite a bit this time of year. Long range showing well below normal highs until at least the middle of March.

  4. LD says:

    This looks like it might be fun

    http://weatherspark.com/

  5. bjenks says:

    I wish there was one post that did not include SNOW and NEXT WEEK in it. Can’t wait for Spring/Summer weather.

    Thanks Chris for all you do.

  6. BubbaG says:

    To meh, or not to meh, that is the question….. meh.

  7. unclesi says:

    big blast next week —- hahahaha, you know if you say it enough times it might actually happen, but hey, time is not on his side ….
    from the words of a great philosopher George Constanza, “it’s only a lie when YOU believe it is”

    • Jeff Hamlin says:

      I’d like to see you do half the job Chris does instead of being an armchair meteorologist.

      • unclesi says:

        hey I don’t predict the weather jack, I just read his blog and comment on it … hey where’s all this anger coming from, let it go man !!

      • LD says:

        Remember the label of “armchair” as a derogative, the next time you want to talk about *anything* you don’t have first hand experience with doing yourself.

        I guess it’s a good thing none of us have ever criticized the decision making of say, oh I dunno, a local division 1 men’s basketball coach, elected politician, or teacher when we’ve never had those occupations. Right?

        You have to understand that in order to be intellectually honest, if you dismiss the *criticism* of “unclesi” as without merit because they are not a meteorologist, then your *praise* is just as without merit because you aren’t one either.

        However, much like a game of Risk, the better player can beat everyone but can’t beat the dice. I think that’s Mr. Bailey’s dilemma. His strategy is sound, as is his effort, but sometimes you just cannot win when chance is still such a strong element in the outcome.

  8. Ben in Lexington says:

    Buba,you are a-mehhhzing

  9. Wes says:

    Wonder when or if Winter Weather Advisories will be posted….

  10. Woodsman says:

    Unfortunately for me I will have to wade through that amount of snow at one time, ready for the spring peepers.

  11. Marie says:

    The skies are looking like springtime skies today. Looks like a storm could blow up any time.

  12. Wes says:

    NWS still holding to their guns rain/snow highs 35 to 36…

  13. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks, Chris. Got the bootsd out this morning, so I wouldn’t get wet feet. :) So far, we have odged most of the rain, but looking at the radar, that looks to change later on. Are getting the gusty winds, though. They are not too strong just yet, but, I am sure that will happen later, as well. Gonna enjoy the dry while we have it. Everyone be safe out there today, and thanks again chris, for all you do.

  14. Todd says:

    Can we get one more EPIC snow in Frankfort this year? (1 in. Or more)

    • Chris Mercer says:

      The two largest snows I’ve had in Lawrenceburg since 1998 both came in the March 4-8 time frame. March 4, 2012 (5 inches) and March 7, 2008 (7 inches). I also remember March 20-21, 1996 in Madisonville, KY with 12 inches and 4 foot drifts.

  15. MikeM says:

    Snow then melt followed by a little more snow then melt. 10 bucks says we get more salt accumulation than snow.

    • Pat says:

      I hope not! My car still has enough salt remains on it to treat all the roads in Lexington. Everytime I have time to wash it, it’s either raining, most of the time or snowing.

  16. Ready4Snow says:

    This winter and last has surely been Mehmerizing….{How’s that Bubba}…..Still waiting on the rain and 40+ winds…I’ve totally given up on all models…Sunshine and light breeze so far today..lol…Not long to go until this winter will be put out of its misery…Hal la lu ya…

  17. Teacher Nate says:

    Climate Prediction Center has their outlook out…they say above normal temp average for the time fram of March, April and May.

    • Todd says:

      I noticed that to, The march map has way above normal outlook temps for eastern half of country, hopefully just early march will be cold, so ready for spring!

  18. rolo says:

    there not going be any advosorys out, maybe THE MOT COUNTIES in SE KY harlan,letchet etc.

    to warm in the valleys for snow to hurt anything, now u get in on a heavy shower it gfet white but it stop and melt.

    tx BAILEY as some this DUMBARSSSEEE people saying same negative stuff are finally getting on my nerves as well.

  19. Israel says:

    Oh Meh god! I looks like meh is now trending on this blog. The winter of “Meh”

  20. chris g in clay county says:

    Just had thunder and lightning here in downtown manchester. Pretty heavy rain shower with some wind in it.

  21. Todd says:

    Just had a 40 plus wind gust in Frankfort with heavy rain??

  22. Bobt says:

    The depressing weather continues. February can’t end soon enough.

    Eleven days of rain. 42% of the month wet.

    Longest stretch of days with no rain (4).

    Measurable snows (Knox Co) 0

    Bring on Spring.

  23. cdjbook says:

    The goat scream…a good ‘mehdition’ to that song, hah ha! Loved it!
    Ready for Spring…

  24. BubbaG says:

    Frankly, my knee-jerk reaction is to stop reading this blog during winter, but CB’s blog kind of reminds me of a Chicago Cubs blog for a World Series. Replace World Series with snow and kind of the same thing. Both sad and compelling reading.

    Especially all of the snow(Cubs) fans ;)

  25. Cosmokramer says:

    Rain and wind….wind and rain…6:45pm…49 degrees

    Facts, not opinion…..I’m complaining about the complainers who keep complaining about the complaining. Got that?

  26. Missi says:

    Where’s that cold air??? I don’t believe there’s Ky snow anymore!!! Boooooo ;)

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