Good Monday evening gang. Snow is on the way to the bluegrass state as we head into Tuesday and Tuesday night. This is all in response to a storm system rolling out of the south and up the east coast over the next few days.
Rain will develop overnight and will continue into early Tuesday before mixing with and changing to snow as cold air quickly dives in. Light accumulating snows are a good bet for much of the state in the afternoon and evening. There is likely to be a band of moderate to heavy snow working eastward behind the low. This is the ‘deformation zone’ area I talked about over the weekend and this is something for us to watch. Areas getting under this can pick up a quick inch or two of slushy snow.
Northwesterly winds will set in Tuesday night and early Wednesday with snow showers and flurries bringing another chance for a light accumulation across the eastern half of the state.This may even get a little push from Lake Michigan and you can actually see that on the last panel of the NAM…
The GFS Ensembles are very similar…
I will get a snow map out with the overnight update. Temps will dip into the 20s by Wednesday morning and that should cause some slick spots to develop on area roads.
Looking down the road we find a major trough digging into the eastern half of the country as we start the new year. This should provide a heck of a blast of cold with several snow chances next week.
European Model
Canadian Model
Every model is all over a deep trough across the east next week. Every model not named the GFS, that is. The model only shows it every other run… but it’s the GFS. 
I read a discussion from NWS in Jackson calling the European the outlier with no support from any other model. If by any other model they mean the GFS then they are correct. The GFS is actually the outlier with no support period. Well… every other run of the GFS, anyway. Confused yet? Good… that’s how I like it.
I will have a full update later tonight. Until then… track the rain into town…
Have a great evening and take care.
Thanks Chris for update
Bm is giving 54 for next tue???
Well Jackson don’t seem to impressed by the snow chances down here tomorrow. Only a 40%chance of rain/snow mix Tom night. I’ll sure be excited to see that snowfall map later on from Chris
Why is everybody freaking out over a 1 to 2 inch wet snowfall. This is what I expected this year small clipper systems and backside low action. Nickel and Dime snowfalls for the majority of the winter season.
My little boy would love to see snow! Really hope the Bowling Green area will see some flakes fly!
Who’s freaking out?
Just finished swimming with my daughter in a chilly, about 66 degrees, Atlantic Ocean in Daytona. Five to six foot waves and body surfing made the water feel a little bit warmer. I new it would snow in the Lou. area once we left town. Not much better here. Air temp. was low 70’s today. Heated pool and hot tub little better than the Atlantic, but hey if you are traveling 12 hours to FL. you have to hit the ocean. Have a great day everyone and THINK SNOW!
Looks like a little mix action. Nothing more or less, so like the Eagles said: Take it easy, Take it easy…
Hmm. I won’t say it’s not going to snow. But I think our desperation for a snowstorm is starting to show up now because we’re getting all hyped up over a possibility of flakes that will melt on contact. I already saw flakes that melted on contact back in mid-December. Now I’m ready for snow on the ground. Going to be hard to do with a 42 degree high the next two days and moisture pulling away tomorrow evening before the cold surface air moves in. Sigh…
Lol. That’s about our luck!!
I think I am going to evaluate each snowfall in terms of the travel impacts it causes, because i really don’t care about how much acccumulates on the ground or what it looks like after the event is over…I just care how much ice melt I have to apply to the driveway, if any, and if I can drive to/from work (which does not apply this week).
Tomorrow’s event looks to be no big deal at this point. Anybody disagree?
One of these storms is going to pull a 1994. You know, history repeats it self.
..and we are about DUE…;)
You bet your bottom dollar we are! Been a few years since we got popped.