Merry Christmas evening. Here’s hoping Santa was good to you guys and you got everything you asked for. Many of you were probably asking for some snow and it looks like that order is delayed by a few days. Dang lost packages!!

A storm system will come rolling our way from the southwest Monday night and Tuesday. This storm looks to track just to our south and east as it turns into a nice sized storm along the east coast. Rain breaks out by Tuesday morning and should change to snow from the west and north during the day as colder air sweeps in.

This is a setup that’s likely to give many areas a light accumulating snowfall. Is it a coating where you live or a few inches? I will fine tune that later tonight and Monday.

The GFS Ensembles are the most bullish on the snow threat…



The GFS isn’t too far behind…



Most everyone should see snow flying from Tuesday afternoon into the evening hours and I will be watching for  a “deformation zone” to set up somewhere nearby. This would be an area where some enhancement in the snow would be possible.

Northwesterly winds later Tuesday night and Wednesday should keep flurries and snow showers going.

There appears to be another clipper type system that may arrive late Friday into early Saturday and could provide some flakes.

The models continue to advertise a major amplification in the jet stream across the eastern half of the country to start 2012. If this happens… a significant shot of cold air and storm would be the result. The European Model has some eye candy…



A full update comes your way later today. Merry Christmas and take care.