Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a nice warm up pushing into the state for the next few days. This will take our temps toward the 80 degree mark for the next few days. The big question of the week… will the good stuff be able to flex some muscle and hang around into Derby Weekend? It’s may not go without a fight.

Today will start with some fog and end with mostly sunny skies. Thermometers will warm into the upper 70s to around 80 degrees. Wednesday looks even better with low 80s for highs with the sunshine hanging around.

We start to see some changes showing up by Thursday as scattered showers and thunderstorms develop… especially in the west. Temps may still hang around 80 degrees.

The bowling ball area of low pressure across the plains continues to be the pain in the side to forecasters around here and across much of the country. These things have a mind of their own and are tough for the models to figure out until a day or two before. The newest runs of the models are a bit farther west with where this low sets up. Still… that would be a moist flow across our part of the world. That shows up well on the GFS Ensembles…

GFS

That may mean a milder scenario, but a fairly wet one with showers and storms pinwheeling around that stubborn area of low pressure. Again… it’s all about when and where this upper level system hangs out. That will continue to be the focus of the forecast in the coming days.

Once that system gets out of the way… some of the models warm us up ahead of another powerful cold front for the following week…

Euro 2

This continues to be a crazy spring pattern. Have a great day and take care.