Good Wednesday evening to one and all. The final day of fall felt more like spring out there as showers and thunderstorms and temps in the low 60s were noted for some. Now comes another soaker of a storm for Thursday. What about Christmas weekend? Is all hope lost?

Let’s break it down…

– A fast moving system works from southwest to northeast across the state Thursday with heavy rain likely. Many areas will pick up an additional half to one inch of water. Yippee!

– A weak front will be stretched out across the state on Friday and this allows for colder air to bleed in. This is likely to have enough juice for a rain or snow shower into the afternoon and evening. This shows up on the latest GFS…



– What happens after this is still up in the air. The models are awfully close to phasing energy across Texas with energy dropping in from the northwest. If they do this… you get your Christmas Day storm to form. The 6z GFS was doing everything it could to bring this system back…



Let’s see how this plays out into Thursday and Friday as I still don’t think the models have a good grasp on how to handle all the energy that’s out there.

A full update comes your way later tonight, as usual. Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.