Good Tuesday to one and all. The middle of August is starting to look and feel the part this week. Temps are getting closer to normal, humidity levels are rising and we have a daily threat for a shower or thunderstorm. This seems like a perfect time to talk a little bit about the fall and winter ahead.
Over the past few weeks, I’ve been throwing a few hints around about what I was seeing from this far out. I’m in the process of looking at years past that had similar weather to the year we have going on now. Those can sometimes offer clues on how the following fall and winter may play out.
Something is showing up this year that I have not encountered a lot of in all the years I’ve been doing this… some heavyweight winters.
While it is super early in the game… I am seeing the potential for some very cold shots this fall and winter. I’ve already talked about the possibility of 30s during the end of September, but it goes deeper than that. The signs point to a fast starting winter that may offer us the chance to get some big time cold shots in here. Lexington has not set a record low in winter since February, 1996. That’s… a… long… time. Will that streak end this winter?
The latest forecast from the seasonal model from NASA shows this fast start I’m talking about…
We obviously have a long way to go, so take any model or things I say with a touch of salt. A lot can and will change over the next few months. That’s part of the fun… right?
Have a great Tuesday and take care.