Good Friday, all. Things are ugly across western parts of the state and that ugly is on the way to many other areas as the rest of the day wears on. It’s looking more and more like a colder solution will work out for much of the state. That would push the lines from my last map farther to the east in several areas.
The temps at the surface continue to run colder, quicker than the models have been forecasting. Now, we are seeing the depth of the cold air increasing. That means freezing rain will give way to sleet and then likely a longer period of snow by late afternoon and evening.
The NAM is really picking up on this with its latest snowfall forecast through tonight…
That is likely too aggressive as I still expect quite a bit of sleet and ice to cut into the totals. This will also mean the chance for a mix and ice will extend farther east in time this evening.
Travel in the west is already a mess and I expect the same thing to happen into central Kentucky before the day is over.
The Saturday night and Sunday system continues to look the same and there’s another wave trying to deliver another round of snow Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Back to the tracking tools…
Current Temperatures
I-75 @ Winchester Road
Lexington
I-75 @ Iron Works Pike
Lexington
I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond
US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US 127 @ Frankfort
Frankfort
I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I-75 at MP 36
London
I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit
Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Louisville
I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I-24 MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
Take care.
I think it’s absolutely hilarious the way the NAM makes sure to carve out a lower amount of snow for the Louisville area.
Regardless, the NAM is known for overdoing the precipitation so we’ll see if this verifies. Based on the radar, there’s plenty of moisture, but I suspect it will take longer to changeover than many of us hope.
State Football Championship game for Scott County – Meade County has been moved to Saturday. That puts 5 buses of band students and at least 4 buses of players, plus the cheerleaders and dance team getting back into Georgetown around midnight. Will the second round of winter weather impact this? I need some expert opinions here, they will be hauling a lot of precious cargo.
Thank for your help…I really rely on all you guys for my weather updates!
Jen, my understanding is that there will be a lull in the weather tomorrow until later in the night. The next round coming through is supposed to be worse than this. That would be late Saturday through Sunday. Everything should be fine tomorrow during the day if the road crews get the salt down.
My worry is the drive home after midnight…thanks for the info
That Louisville camera is crazy with the icicles frozen on it! Just had a heavy bout of rain move through BG!
I have 31.8 degrees at my house on west side of BowlingGreen.
Clarksville TN now getting freezing rain.
Nashville temp at 35 for the moment.
Now, if I can remember to use my new handle 😉 .
For today, the heaviest ice (and thus greatist risk for power outages) still looks to be from about Memphis to the Land Between the Lakes area in Kentucky/Tennessee. Hopefully central KY will get smaller ice amounts.
This of course does not take into account the possible ice storm from round two for Sat night/Sunday.
33 here in greenup county
I’m in Flatwoods and its still 36* here…feels colder though.
I’m up on a ridge in rural greenup
At GCHS… looks like another big miss for Greenup.
Maybe not..it’s very close to freezing up on our farm
Elevation makes a huge difference for sure. Down to 35* here now and raining steady.
A steady freezing rain falling here in Louisville at the almost noon hour. The roads are just wet but everything else has a nice coat of ice on it. The thermometer at my house says 29 degrees. Here’s hoping it changes over to snow really soon.
Transition to all sleet now in Louisville.
That’s some good news. Better than freezing rain.
Still (freezing?) rain in Middletown area, at least for now.
are other people having problems with refreshing the kymesonet page? Or is ji just me.. I have a feeling we all might have crashed the site lol
I havnt been able to update anything since 10:15 am
Same for me Adam, I think too many hits crashed it.
Heavy sleet now at my house in the Highlands area of Louisville. Glad to see the freezing rain come to an end.
Thanks for the update Chris you are sure the best in the business in my eyes. I am hoping here in Lewis Co. we only get snow and maybe a little freezing rain winter is sure not my favorite time of year hoping everyone stays safe out and if you don’t have to go out please don’t.
Sleet and ice pellets now falling in northeast Jefferson County. My guess is we won’t see snow in Louisville until 4 or 5 which will get us about an inch. The warm air above seems tough to dislodge.
Small window for decent snow late this afternoon for frankfort area, 2 inches might be the best we can hope for but I’ll take anything but freezing rain!
Already have some icing on elevated surfaces here in Lawrenceburg. My thermometer, five feet above ground level says says 32.9. No ice at ground level–but when you get about ten feet up into the trees it is accumulating.
I have no clue why Harlan is still under a flood watch we haven’t had much rain its all stayed just to the west.
Exactly, it’s to your west which means you still have a long steady stream of it to come through there.
Lexington is now at 32 degrees, the airport is slightly warmer.
Who knows what we will end up with but that radar sure looks juicy. Certainly looks like more than an inch or two to my untrained eye. We shall see what tonight brings I suppose. Glad no one in my house needs to be out tonight past about 6:30. Stay safe people!
Temps seem to be stuck at 31-32 degree mark the last several hours in Frankfort, rain is falling but know noticeable Icing taking place yet, this doesn’t give our snow chances much hope! Upper levels not cooling that quickly in this area!
Last I saw John Belski posted that the snow/sleet line was still 40-50 miles north of Louisville. I doubt we get much snow. Maybe I am wrong. Roads are fine just wet.
Nam looks nice. North of Ohio river will fair well. Ice here in the metro. And might be a little to much as well
Far northwest KY in Henderson area now getting pelted with heavy snow!! BeautiFUL sight!
Still freezing rain in Shelbyville. Good coating of ice on everything but the ground and roads.
Chris you do a great job. I like your consistency with your forecasts. At least they seem more consistent than many other places I have looked at.
Seems like some places think that my area will be warmer than it actually is. And we have lost a degree already. Yet they now predict it will be warmer Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. And these predictions are warmer than when I looked last night before going to sleep.
We currently have 35*, total rain last 24 hrs 2.30 inches rain.
At 11:40a, sleet began mixing in with rain in Valley Station
Total ice accum 0.2″
Presently, 30 degrees with lt rain and sleet
Additional light icing will occur in southwest part of Jefferson county
Pavement is wet at time of this writing
Rapid-Refresh model (15z run) has a good handle on sleet; changeover to snow by 3p
Still need to check latest run….
The Louisville NWS doesn’t see a changeover to snow until close to 5PM. The moral of this story is simple. When in doubt, always go with lower snow totals because history shows that’s the right course. Second, it will always take much longer for the transition from rain to sleet or sleet to snow to occur than what is predicted.
Heavy sleet is falling in Louisville right now, but it wouldn’t surprise me at all if sleet remained dominant for the duration with just a few flakes falling at the end. Something similar happened with the 2004 storm. It was expected to turn from sleet to snow, but only did at the very tail end of the event. Warm air aloft is tough to dislodge in central Kentucky.
downtown Louisville has changed to snow as of 2:00pm
Ice forming on trees in Frankfort now and wind picking up some, don’t like the looks of this!
Same in Shelbyville. We’ve had some wind gusts that have made me nervous. Power lines are also coated with ice.
Could be worse. Nearly 300,000 currently without power from ice storm in north Texas, including Dallas/Ft Worth.
My family is in Dallas and the far northern suburbs. I know how bad it is. Hoping it’s not going to get like that here.
Same in Lawrenceburg. It is days like this, I’m thankful for buried utilities. We never lost our power in 2009—one of the few places in Lawrenceburg that didn’t.
We were without power for 5 days. With an infant and two toddlers. It was nightmarish.
Pretty steady at 38-39 degrees in Paintsville all day. The rain is really coming down right now.
Hope to be proven wrong, but I will continue to Hold my ground on the heavy snows 4 and up staying north of the river. South May get there’s sat/sun.
Very heavy sleet falling in northeast Louisville.
I know it just a radar representation, but it’s depressingly humorous to watch the snow/mix line refuse to budge south towards Louisville.
Yeah,definitely a waste. Some sleet with wet roads. Yay!
With these lower hugging events, the river is a powerful thing!
Looks like Paducah is getting hammered by snow right now! I’m jealous, come on snow gods spread the love!
Freezing rain has changed over to sleet in Shelbyville.
It is now snowing at manned observation airports all along the Ohio River with the exception of SDF. PAH reports snow. EVV reports snow. CVG reports snow. The one spot along the Ohio River where the warn air aloft is hanging on is the few counties to the southwest and northeast of Louisville.
Wave 3 just said it’s right across the river. Snowing in Corydon now.
Definitely beginning to see sleet/snow mix.
Coming down hard in Corydon thats where i live.
Yeah, I’ve got a mix at my house in Shelbyville, too. Seems more rain than sleet, though.
Every once in awhile the sleet tries to mix with some snow in Louisville. The sleet is pouring.
The Weather Channel is showing the Sunday event changing to rain just about everywhere so what does fall will melt away Sunday Night!
1st mistake weather channel. They also show no precip saturday
They do flip flop from one hour to the next, the local mets are saying this one could be worse and more widespread Sunday and these folks are seeing a big warmup??
NWS was as well they were talking all rain for the Monday system for SE Ky
Still all sleet/freezing rain in Florence, KY south of airport by 5 miles
It just started snowing. I live near the river in the metro and it just started with big flakes. Had an intense sleet episode that really made the streets slick in a matter of 10-15 minutes.
Got snow in Louisville now.
Send it 50 miles east please!
Unfortunately, four tenths of an inch of ice reported near Clarksville TN. Heads up to the northeast into south central Kentucky.
Roads mainly seem just wet, but bridges could be icy.
I’m in st matthews in louisville. Only sleet here.
Just started mixing snow in with the sleet in Valley Station; arrived earlier than expected (3p according to RAP). Maybe more snow accumulation then?
Not only is the weather channel saying it will change to rain Sunday, but the NWS does too. Just look at the forecast, I think the high is mid 30s with whatever happens sat night changing to rain. You would think if there is snow cover from the heavy snow sat night, that the temps would have a hard time rising. I have no clue.
If we get a decent snow cover today temperatures will be colder Saturday and Sunday no doubt.
I believe that is possible for Madison and other areas with nothing yet. Snow tends to beget snow. Feast or famine kind of thing for second waves sometimes. Still almost all rain in Richmond with an occasional particle of semi frozen stuff.
Got to pick the wife up at 10PM in Winchester, so no accumulation is a good thing 🙂 Ice sux anyway.
Wishful thinking perhaps, but not a fan of ice.
And yes it is snowing like crazy here in Louisville now.
Just switched to snow in Woodlawn Park/ St Mathews in east Louisville. Nice pouring flakes
Heavy snow in NE Louisville now!!
I still think my 3-6″ will verify in Louisville! lots of moisture behind us and rates at 1″ per hour sometimes will no doubt give us 3″ at minimum.
It’s raining in Pittsburg….while at the same time it’s snowing in Paducah. LOL!
And…….there’s almost a 50 degree temp difference from Cincinnati to Atlanta
Solid sleet in Shelbyville now.
It’s snowing very heavily in northeast Louisville right now. In a short span of time, the roads have gone to heck. This is probably the heaviest it’s snowed here since February 2010.
Now the snow has changed back into sleet in eastern Jefferson County. According to the radar on WDRB, it’s just an eastern Jefferson County thing. Unbelievable!
I have moderate snow in SW jefferson county
It’s changed back now.
It did the same thing here. I am near Iroquois Park. Wait 10 minutes and it will be giant flakes again.
Sleet mixing with the freezing rain in east Frankfort!
We’ve had rain most of the day here in Bardstown/Nelson Co., but just walked out and everything is freezing up FAST! Power lines have icicles and are starting to sag a bit. And my dog just slid off the back porch going to pee…lol!
Sitting at 32 here in rural greenup county!
Ice in Western Georgetown. Stay safe and off the roads folks.
Road in front of my house near downtown Shelbyville is glazed in ice. Salt truck just came by. A bit late for that, don’tcha think?!
No
Andreewww! Stop it! 😉
Raining ICE on the N. Woodford/E. Franklin Co. line! All trees are glistening with ice and we can hear it “ping” on the windows. Hubby is testing the generator, just in case. Stay safe and warm, folks!
mR from NWS Louisville shared this resource today:
http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/ping/display/
People send in reports from a smartphone app and they get displayed on this map. Seems really useful to see where the changeover in precip is occurring.
The back edge of the precip showing up in north east Arkansas and moving fast to the Neast, frankfort area might run out of moisture before the snow change can happen! I would say by 8 or 9 pm the good moisture will be gone!
Yep. Still freezing rain here in Lawrenceburg. This is a repeat of December 2004. Only this time the higher snow totals were slightly north and west. Southern Illinois looks to pick up 12-18 inches. Paducah 4-8. Here–I bet we get a trace to 1 inch at best.
Time to move back to the northern part of the state. Anyone who wants to suggest that London/Corbin and surrounding areas receive more snow than the rest of the state are full of crap. This place is the armpit of Kentucky
Big, fat flakes of snow in Shelbyville.
Still a cold rain in Burgin…..
Woke up to Lighting and Thunder and heavy Rain this morning about 6 and now it has dropped to 38 and the coldest Rain I have ever felt.The River is rising.My sister in Indy got the snow.Congrats to all who are getting your snow maybe someday we will.
I am sitting in traffic on West Broadway Louisville. is going to be a long six mile drive back to my house. I would say downtown has between an inch and a half maybe 2.
I’m at 2 inches of snow and it’s coming down very hard right now in the Highlands of Louisville. It’s a very beautiful scene out my front window. This makes more snow than I got all of last winter combined.
At 4pm – Lt to Mod Snow in Valley Station
1.3″ snow and sleet accumulation
We are getting SLAMMED here in Bardstown w/ Frz. Rn./Sleet right now!!!! It changed over about 45 min’s/hr. ago and it’s really coming down HARD right now. Total ICE STORM! (I’m used to it…)
SLEET is relentless in Frankfort hoping for a change to snow ??
Very heavy snow still in the ‘Ville. Looks like 4 or 5 hours of 1 inch per hour snow ahead of us. It’s been a long time since I’ve had one of these. Is the trend broken for Louisville?
Still freezing rain in Lawrenceburg. At least you have sleet! 🙂
Bad here in Bardstown, Todd. Been rain most of the day up until about an hour or so ago, now we’re getting hammered w/ sleet & Frz. Rn…?! Roof’s are white w/ sleet…no snow yet, that I can see?! And just before it hit, I had a whole backyard FULL of Cardinals-both m/f- a SURE SIGN that snow is on the way! 🙂
Snow is really coming down hard in Shelbyville. Big fat flakes too.
The NWS upped our totals in Louisville to 7 inches. I don’t know about that.
Cards fan. Do you ever have anything positive to say? First you say it won’t snow and then you get snow and say you don’t think you will get what they are calling for. Fresh.
Meant geesh and not fresh. You sound just like my ex mother in law.
I never said it wouldn’t snow. I believe I doubted it would change over. It’s a miracle. We got about 2-3 inches. There’s plenty of others on here who know all to well never believe until you actually see it. How’s that for fresh? Geesh.
http://scontent-b-ord.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/s403x403/1484192_563933910357772_1646642758_n.jpg
Officially the snowiest day on record in Louisville for Dec. 6th. 2.3″ so far and still coming down.
Is the moisture coming to an end looking to the west?
Yeah that’s the end of it.
If all of the ice around Lex doesn’t prove the temp at bga is not exactly accurate, nothing will.
No snow in Frankfort I guess the cold air stopped at Shelby Co!
A few flakes showing up now, maybe my complaining is working??
Flood Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory out for Laurel County. Nasty weather, I think I’ll be ready for spring in about a week or so.
This is spring weather 😉 at least for our neck of the woods
Now snowing lightly on top of about 1/8″ ice in Millville. The branches on my pine trees are bent to the ground from the ice!
Finally starting to snow in Lawrenceburg.
If this doesn’t switch to something soon in the Lex area, we’re gonna end up with our usual whole lotta nothing!
Looks like we’re running out of moisture. Really will have to come down for Lex to get anything
Louisville sets a daily snowfall record that was established in 1977. If this proves to be a harbinger that January might turn out like 1978, then I’m excited. I know it won’t, but I like seeing references to that period of time.
Snowed for about 5 minutes in frankfort now the dry slots are rushing into frankfort, SURPRIZE ! If we get 1 inch it will be EPIC??
It’s not snowing, really … it’s “sneeting” (snow + sleet) as someone said earlier! Snow is quiet but this stuff isn’t — you can hear it hit the ground!
Thanks Chris for waching out for us in Se Ky.You have been spot on with the forecast.Heavy rain Thunder and in the 30s,its crazy.I am very concerned with rising river.I just heard Chloe Road in Pikeville near the School is under water.Be careful.
Everything is icing up here in greenup county
Rain with a tiny bit of sleet mixing in, in Flatwoods, KY
Hope Rolo and his goats are safe..Getting scary out there..
Snowing big’ole flakes in Lextown, USA… Marehaven Subdivison… Leestown Road area!
Perhaps the river is a buffer to Richmond. Still no ice yet on plants, trees, cable lines or surfaces that I can tell. Not even metal ones. Our fence and mail box are usually iced first and zip yet but cold rain.
Willing to bet right across the river there is ice.
Snow winding down at my house in Valley Station
2.2″ with light snow
Looks like Louisville Int’l had more snow than my location again.