Good Monday, folks. Our week is starting off on a soggy note across the commonwealth as rounds of showers and storms rumble through.  The action we are seeing today is all part of a very active weather pattern that looks to continue through much of the spring. Moral of the story… I don’t see a shortage of rain and storm chances ahead.

Today’s action is along an area of low pressure working in from the south. This will lift across the state this afternoon and we are likely to fire up a few strong storms. These could be hail and high wind producers to go along with heavy rain.

Let’s track the day…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

That low will lift to the north this evening and that allows for a break in the action. The upper level low will then swing in on Tuesday and that could deliver more hail producing showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be very gusty as chilly air moves in.

Temps will rebound toward 70 for Thursday and Friday. That’s when a weak front settles in from the northwest and brings the next shot of showers and storms…

GFS Temps will then crank up over the weekend and could make a run at 80 degrees on a strong southwesterly wind. This warm air will meet much colder air pushing south across the northern part of the country by late this weekend into early next week…

GFS 2That could produce some big storms and heavy rain across our region. There is even a hint of a taste of winter following that up for a day or two.

I mentioned this is part of a stormy pattern that has a lot of rain with it. Check out the 2 week rain forecast from the GFS…

GFS 4Enjoy your Monday and take care.