Time posted: 2:55 am

Tracking Heavy Rain To Start The Day

Good Sunday, everyone. Heavy rain continues across parts of the state to begin our day, bringing a local high water threat to some areas. Once the rains taper off later today, our focus turns toward a quick-hitting taste of winter for Monday.

Severe storms across the deep south REALLY helped us out on Saturday, zapping the energy and taking our severe threat away. Still. heavy rains may cause local issues early today. Here’s what you need to track the potential…

The rain will taper off from west to east today, with much colder air blowing in. That same cold wind may produce some flurries or snow showers later tonight into Monday. Watch the action wrapping in on the NAM future radar…

That’s a very cold wind blowing all day, keeping highs around 40 or so. Wind chills will be even colder. Ugh.

Another hard freeze is coming Tuesday morning, with readings in the middle and upper 20s.Highs by Tuesday afternoon hit the 60s for many.

Another cold front moves through later Wednesday, bringing a small chance for a thunderstorm, and another drop in temps. That should be followed by another system for next weekend. This one is taking on a chillier look, which may limit the strong storm potential.

Overall, the pattern continues to skew colder than normal for the foreseeable future..

 

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

4 Comments

Time posted: 1:19 pm

Heavy Rain Threat Increases

Good afternoon, everyone. As expected, a dying band of showers and thunderstorms is kicking off the afternoon, but the focus is on additional development later today and tonight. Heavy rain is becoming increasingly likely, especially across central Kentucky. This may lead to some local flooding issues tonight and early Sunday.

The overall severe storms threat is lower, but the high water threat is now higher. Look at the rain numbers coming from the models…

NAM

GFS

Most of that will fall within a 12 hour window. Given our soggy spring, let’s keep a close eye on water levels overnight and early Sunday.

The heavy rains will taper off quickly from west to east later Sunday, with much colder air sweeping in from the northwest. That northwesterly flow will touch off some snow showers and flurries from late Sunday night into Monday. There is even the chance for a rooftop coating…

At some point you just have to laugh to keep from crying. 🙂

Here are your tracking tools to get you through the rest of the day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great rest of your Saturday and take care.

8 Comments

Time posted: 2:00 am

Storms Rumble Across Kentucky

Good Saturday to one and all. We are kicking off a busy weekend of weather, with rounds of showers and storms targeting the bluegrass state. Some of the storms may be strong or severe, with local flooding issues a possibility. All of this comes from another winter vs spring battle.

The Storm Prediction Center has our region in a risk for severe storms through tonight…

The main threat comes from damaging winds and large hail.

In addition to the severe threat, these will be slow-moving storms that can dump enough rain to cause some flooding issues to develop. The best threat of that happening appears to be across western and central Kentucky.

Much colder air sweeps in on Sunday, shutting the heavy rains down from west to east. A strong northwesterly wind flow may spit out a rain or snow shower by Monday. Highs may be hard-pressed to get much above the 40 degree mark.

A big temp rebound comes our way by the middle of the week, but I’m already watching another possible severe weather signal showing up for next weekend.

I will have another update later today, until then, let’s do some storm tracking…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:40 pm

Tracking Big Storms Toward Kentucky

Good afternoon, folks. We continue to track a potent storm system toward the bluegrass state for the weekend. This system will bring high winds, a severe weather threat, the potentially for flooding and a big temp crash. Heck, we will even see a few flakes fly by Monday.

Our first line of storms works into western Kentucky later in the evening, with the potential for severe weather…

That line works eastward tonight and weakens. Central and eastern Kentucky will get in on some dry times for Saturday, but showers and storms will redevelop across the west and move eastward through Sunday. Given the setup I am seeing, we need to be on guard for  a few severe storms showing up on Saturday and Saturday evening. Damaging winds and large hail continue to be the main threats…

The storms will be slow-movers, potentially putting down several inches of rain, especially in the west and central parts of the state…

Much colder air then sweeps in behind the front on Sunday, with some wraparound rain and snow showers for Monday…

A rooftop coating is even possible in a few spots. Highs on Monday may not get out of the 30s for some. What the what?

Temps rebound quickly by Tuesday and Wednesday, with 70 a possibility. Another front then sweeps in, dropping temps by the second half of the week. That’s ahead of what may become a severe weather maker next weekend.

Speaking of severe weather makers, let’s track the one that may impact western Kentucky this evening…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a good one and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:33 am

Tracking The Stormy Setup

Good Friday, everyone. It’s another super windy and super warm day across the Commonwealth, but things are changing for the weekend. Rounds  of strong thunderstorms will roll in here, ushering in much colder air by later Sunday and Monday.

The setup for this weekend has been detailed here on the blog for more than a week, so I don’t have much more to add. But we can have a quick little review. 🙂

Highs today may hit 80 in many areas as southwesterly winds reach 40mph or greater. As a powerful plains system continues to strengthen, it throws a line of thunderstorms our way later tonight. Some of those storms may be strong or severe, especially in the west. Here’s the current Friday severe weather risk from the SPC…

After an early day line of storms weakens across the state, we may break out into partly sunny skies. That won’t last long with additional rounds of showers and storms going up during the evening into Saturday night. Some of those may also become strong or severe…

That severe weather risk will then move east on Sunday…

Rainfall numbers for the weekend are impressive, with some areas potentially picking up greater than 3″ of rain…

Flash flooding is a real potential, especially across parts of central and western Kentucky.

Temps crash on Sunday with gusty winds and rain continuing. Those gust winds will become northwesterly through Monday, with some rain and snow shower action likely on Monday.

Temps will rebound quickly by Tuesday and Wednesday and may hit 70. A slight chance for a thunderstorm moves in Wednesday night and Thursday, knocking our temps down some.

That won’t last long as another big severe weather look shows up next weekend…

Since February, I’ve been touting this as a potentially explosive spring for severe weather and I continue to think that. Some major outbreaks are possible through May.

Let’s get back at looking into what’s going on with the severe threat to our west today…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

I will have another update later today. Enjoy your fantastic Friday and take care.

6 Comments