Time posted: 2:09 am

A Cold Front Moves In

Good Friday to one and all. We have a cold front on top of the state today, bringing some showers and thunderstorms to the region. A few of the storms may even be on the strong side. The air coming in behind this is nothing short of magnificent for the weekend.

Gusty winds and small hail will be the primary players with any storms that go up. In addition to the local severe threat, heavy rains may cause some high water issues.

Track away…


The cold front responsible for the storms will push in here tonight and may slow down into early Saturday. This could keep a few showers and storms in the mix across the south.

Here’s where the NAM says will see the best chance at some rainfall…

The Canadian is a little more robust with the Saturday rain chances…

Outside of any showers or storms, the air feels much, much better than in recent days. Highs will generally run in the low and middle 80s.

Temps on Sunday will be in the 80s with mostly sunny skies and gusty winds. Those winds are ahead of a weak cold front dropping in here from the northwest. That brings a broken line of showers and storms in here by Sunday night and early Monday.

The setup for the middle of next week will try to turn pretty steamy once again, but another northwest to southeast stormy setup looks to evolve across the Ohio Valley. Last week it was right on top of us. This week was barely to our north. The models for the  next few week have the next setup right on top of the region…

That certainly fits the wet pattern this summer across our region. The drought worshipers are hating this…

Don’t worry… The Agenda driven “Drought Monitor” will always show us in some kind of a drought. 😉

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Storms On The Increase

Good Thursday, everyone. Thunderstorms will begin to increase today as we track a couple of cold fronts toward the region. The first front arrives later Friday, with another entering the picture by late Sunday. In tandem, these two will knock our temps back down, with a few below normal days likely. Are you shocked this summer? Didn’t think so.

Today’s storms will crank later this afternoon and evening and a few could be strong. The best chance for stronger storms will be across the northern half of the state…


Temps will still be toasty outside the storms, as upper 80s and low 90s rule the day. Humidity levels will be off the charts, with a heat index from 95-100 at times.

The best threat for strong to severe storms comes Friday as our cold front drops in from the northwest. Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center…

Temps will only be in the low and middle 80s for highs as winds gust up.

Saturday looks awesome with lower humidity and temps generally in the 80-85 degree range for many.

Our next front arrives later Sunday with a line of storms that takes us into early Monday morning…

MUCH cooler air is likely to sweep in behind that for early next week. Here are the forecast temp anomalies from Friday through Tuesday…

 

 

Make it a great day and take are.

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Time posted: 2:00 am

A Steamy Day Before Storms Increase

Good Wednesday, everyone. Today is likely the hottest day of our wimpy summer, so far. Widespread 90 degree temps should be noted across the region, before more storms sweep back in for the next few days. A few of the storms may be strong.

Highs today will generally be near 90 for much of central and eastern Kentucky, with low 90s in the west. Humidity levels will make it feel several degrees warmer and western Kentucky could see some 100 degree heat indices.

The clusters of storms will stay to our north, but we will still need to be on guard for isolated storms going up during the afternoon and evening hours.

Showers and storms will increase on Thursday and carry us into Friday ahead of a cold front moving in. Highs will generally be from 80-85 on Friday. That front moves to our south, giving us a pretty nice Saturday with temps in the low and middle 80s for many.

Another front then shows up for later Sunday into Monday, with another chance for showers and storms. You can see both of these systems on the new version of the GFS…

The models are all trying to get a handle on the pattern for next week. I’m watching the new GFS to see what biases are showing up with the model. It has a cooler look for next week…

While I do think this back and forth pattern does continue a while, it is likely to start skewing warmer than normal for a decent period. I just don’t know when that period actually kicks in.

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:57 am

Toasty Temps and Scattered Storms

Good Tuesday, folks. It’s a nice little battle going on for weather supremacy across the bluegrass state. Storm clusters will continue to make a run at us from the northwest, while toasty temps fight in from the southwest. Each will have something to brag about this week, before the storms win the battle later on.

For today, low 90s are likely in the west with the central and east ranging from mid 80s to 90. A few storms will again work across the northern part of the state and could be strong. Just how far south than these get? We won’t know that until we fully see where they set up radar.

Your Tuesday tracking tools…


Wednesday has a chance to be the hottest day of the summer, so far. Of course, that’s not saying much this year, but most areas should top 90 degrees if storms and clouds stay away.

Storms will increase Thursday into Friday as a cold front drops in from the northwest. Those storms will be slow-movers and could put down a lot of rain. A few may even be on the strong side. Here’s the GFS…

There is a new version of the GFS about to take over… Yes, ANOTHER upgrade is coming to this model. It shows something similar later this week, but cuts the system off on top of us through next week…

Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Watching The Northwestern Sky This Week

Good Monday, folks. It’s a brand new work week, but not a whole lot is new in the weather world. A few clusters of showers and storms will dive into the region from the northwest. Between these boomers, typical July steam will fill the air.

I’ve also got a look into some of the longer range models… All the way into winter. 🙂

Let’s start with today and roll ahead. Highs out there on this Monday will be deep into the 80s for many, but some low 90s show up in the west. Watch the northwestern sky for a storm or two moving in, with the best chance across the central and east.

A few of the storms in the far north may be strong. Here are the tracking toys for the day…


Highs over the next few days climb into the upper 80s and may hit 90 on a day with full sun. The west will be the warmest with some low 90s showing up. Still, a few storms will try to press into the region from the northwest.

A greater shot for strong storms and heavy rain will move in for Thursday and Friday. That’s ahead of a potent cold front that will also drop our temps.

By this time, we are past the midway point of meteorological summer and rolling downhill toward fall. The latest CFS seasonal model for the 10 day period to end July into the start of August looks like this…

That has a cooler than normal look for much of the country and the model shows it continuing into the second half of August…

Let me say, I think those are too cool. I actually expect a few surges of typical summer temps to help balance things out at times.

For a little summertime fun, let’s expand that WeatherBELL model run all the way out into fall…

If we are out through fall, we might as well see what it says for the winter ahead…

Don’t get too carried away with seasonal models from this far out, but the CFS did a pretty good job with our current wet and slightly cooler than normal summer.

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

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