Daily Archives: March 13, 2017

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. The change to winter is underway from west to east across Kentucky. This is complete with crashing temps and a band of light snow working in. This band of light snow will then give way to snow showers and a few squalls over the next day or so.

Low pressure is working across the state tonight, with cold air and a band of snow coming in behind it. This can put down some slushy accumulations in some areas through early Tuesday. With temps dropping into the 20s, a few slick spots can develop…

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

I-275 at Mineola Pike
Near Covington
I-275 @ Mineola Pike

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

A strong northwesterly flow will then kick in tonight through Tuesday night. That should produce a few bands of snow showers and squalls diving in from the northwest. The super hi-res NAM shows a plume of action coming straight off Lake Michigan and into central and eastern Kentucky…

That may especially kick in on Tuesday evening, and those bands can be underplayed a bit by the models.

Highs tomorrow and Wednesday may not get above freezing for some areas. Lows hit the teens Wednesday and Thursday.

This is a far cry from a historic blizzard ready to shutdown the mid-Atlantic states into New England. A general one to two feet of snow will fall with winds gusting near 50mph in that part of the world.

It’s overdone, but it’s fun to look at one of the snowfall forecasts using the Kuchera algorithm…

The cold coming in behind this is going to be absurd for this time of year. We should easily be in the teens for lows Wednesday and Thursday, with the Canadian model still showing near record breaking temps…

Temps recover a bit by the end of the week, but another ugly weather maker moves in late Friday and Saturday. This should have some rain for Friday with some rain and snow on Saturday…

Told ya this was going to be one ugly pattern!

Will it end? The European Model tries to warm us up a bit, but watch the cold try to overwhelm the pattern again next week…

Make it a great day and take care.


Time posted: 1:29 am

Ugly March Pattern Rolls On

Good Monday, everyone. Our cold weather is about to turn absolutely frigid in the coming days as a major blast of winter engulfs the eastern half of the country. This will be complete with a historic east coast blizzard that largely bypasses the bluegrass state. Still, some snow showers and squalls develop tonight and Tuesday.

We have a system rolling across Kentucky today, bringing a mainly cold rain, but a mix of some rain and snow is possible at times…

The system moving across Kentucky will join forces with a monster of a storm off the east coast late tonight into Tuesday. Before that happens, let’s keep an eye on eastern Kentucky to see of some dynamic cooling can produce a band of wet snow this evening. Most of that will be in West Virginia, but it may be a pretty close call.

From there, the monster along the east coast turns into a blizzard, shutting down the mid-atlantic to New England. This is a travel nightmare with some areas picking up close to 2 feet of wind-whipped snow.

Northwesterly winds should produce some snow showers and squalls around here late tonight through Tuesday night..

It’s possible for that to put down some light accumulations and cause slick spots across the region. Winds will be gusty and it’s going to feel frigid because it will be frigid, and not just for us…

That’s one amazing look for the middle of March and will send below freezing temps all the way into Florida…

For us, near record lows are possible Wednesday into Thursday. The Canadian Model continues to be the coldest of the bunch…

Even if we add a few degrees to those numbers, that’s a big old case of OUCH! Our premature start to spring is going coming back to haunt us in a major, major way. This is some big time trouble for growers and green thumbs.

Looking down the road, another system dives in here this weekend and could bring another shot of ugly…

If we look long range, we still find the pattern skewed colder than normal over the next few weeks…

This is the pattern I saw coming back in January when I started talking about the potential for another backloaded winter. Well, the overall pattern recognition was correct, but the timing was way off on my part. We just had a decent snow system to our south a few days ago and now a monster blizzard is ready to shut down the big population areas of along the east coast. Seeing those close calls is frustrating from a seasonal forecasting standpoint, but what’s a friendly weatherdude to do? 🙂

I will throw you some updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.