Daily Archives: November 19, 2017

Time posted: 5:31 pm

Weekend Wrap Up

Good evening, everyone. We are putting the wraps on a wild weekend of weather across the bluegrass state. Temps out there today felt nearly 40 degrees colder than Saturday, as a few snow flurries dotted our skyline. Now we focus on our Thanksgiving week.

The week as a whole looks to average much colder than normal. One thing many of us forget is, normal highs this time of year are still in the 50s.

Readings tonight drop deep into the 20s, with wind chills hitting the teens at times. The rest of Monday finds partly sunny skies with highs in the 40s.

A cold front takes aim at the region Tuesday night, bringing another shot of cold behind it. Just ahead of the front, winds are gusty as temps on Tuesday make a run at 50. As the front sweeps in, the European is trying to bring some light rain or snow showers into northern Kentucky…

The air behind this is much colder than normal for our big travel day on Wednesday. Several models keep us in the mid and upper 30s for highs…

Winds will be gusty, so it will actually feel quite a bit colder than that,

Thanksgiving looks mainly dry with 20s in the morning and afternoon temps from 40-45. Winds will still be rather gusty, adding a bit of a chill to the air.

Temps for black Friday shoppers will be in the 20s for the wee hours of Friday morning.

The numbers briefly return to near normal to start the weekend, but another cold front moves in from the northwest. The GFS Ensembles have done a fantastic job showing our “bookend” cold shots for the long Thanksgiving holiday weekend. You can see both showing up on this animation…

The operational models continue to be confused by exactly how to handle those shots, so you’re going to get some big swings. I recall saying the same exact thing a week ago about the big storm system that just moved through here. Remember how many of them lost the intensity of the storm and the cold coming behind it? You just have to realize operational models are going to do that. It’s the nature of the beast and that’s why it’s so important not to waffle with each run. Are you guys tired of hearing me say that, yet? 🙂

I will be back tonight for a much bigger update on the pattern as a whole.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Much Colder Winds Take Over

Good Sunday, everyone. Our Saturday was as wild as advertised with high winds and severe thunderstorms sweeping across Kentucky. As the storm continues to pull away, it’s a much colder wind blowing out there today.

This wind has a chance to spit out a few snow flurries across parts of the region. The greatest threat should be across the east. The Hi Res NAM shows the flake potential on a strong northwesterly wind flow…

A few flakes, people. That’s it. 😉

Here’s regional radar to see what’s out there…

Gusty winds will make it feel like the 20s for much of the day, with wind chills in the teens showing up for some tonight into early Monday.

Thanksgiving week looks colder than normal with another front dropping in here on Tuesday. That continues to look mainly dry with a seasonal brand of cold behind it. Watch how the trough splits, allowing for a big eastern Gulf low to develop…

What happens with that system in the southeast could complicate the model forecasts in the coming days.

Temps bounce back for a day or so by Friday, ahead of the next cold air surge coming in here over the weekend. Here’s the European Model…

The European Ensembles also look frigid across much of the eastern half of the country…

I will update everything later on today. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.