Monthly Archives: August 2018

Time posted: 1:47 am

Scattered Storms Through The Holiday Weekend

Good Friday, everyone. Rounds of showers and storms will continue to flare up each and every afternoon through the Labor Day Weekend. These storms can put down some very heavy rains, but outside of the storms the steamy temps will be the main player.

Our recent cold front is turning into a warm front and slowly lifting back to the north, touching off a few storms this afternoon and evening. Just like we saw on Thursday, any storm that goes up can put down enough rain to cause quick rises on creeks and streams…

Saturday into Sunday will also find a few afternoon and evening storms going up as temps and humidity levels continue to rise.  That same tropical air means those showers and storms will have some pretty good downpours with them. The GFS is the most robust of all the models in terms of rainfall through Labor Day…

This increase in the steamy air is going to carry us through Labor Day and the first week of September. Daytime highs next week will range from the middle 80s to low 90s, with a heat index deep into the 90s on several days.

For the past few weeks, I’ve been getting your ready for what is likely to be an increase in tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin. That is in the process of ramping up for, what looks to be, a pretty busy September. Here are the current systems being watched by the National Hurricane Center…

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

Scattered Storms and Steamy Temps Keep Rolling

Good Thursday, folks. It’s another day with scattered showers and thunderstorms blowing up across the bluegrass state. This is a trend likely to carry us through the big Labor Day Weekend that is just about upon us. This scattered action will also come with more in the way of VERY steamy temps. Moral of the story: It’s more of what we have seen for much of the summer.

Our cold front is slowly working across the state today, firing up scattered showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of it. The best threat for some boomers is across the south and east, where some storms can put down very heavy rains…

As I mentioned, a scattering of showers and storms take us through your unofficial end of summer that is your Labor Day Weekend. This action will be more prominent during the afternoon and evening hours…

There is no reason to cancel any outdoor activities, but have a backup plan just to be on the safe side. Temps over the weekend are well into the 80s for highs, with the high humidity making it feel toastier than that.

Temps next week may wind up similar to what we’ve had this week. It’s going to be a super tropical feel during this time, as we watch the Gulf of Mexico to see if a tropical system can develop. The GFS is catching on to something and taking it toward Texas…

That’s an interesting look and track, keeping us in the heat and humidity with scattered storms around.

There’s a little bit of 2002 in this pattern as we roll into September.

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:48 am

Storms On The Increase

Good Wednesday, everyone. We are officially on the downhill slide toward the Labor Day Weekend and we are doing so with an increase in showers and storms. This action is along and ahead of a cold front sweeping into the region from the northwest.

Will the showers and storms hang around into the holiday weekend? That’s a possibility and one I will touch on in a bit. I will also take a look deeper into fall, courtesy of the European Model.

Let’s begin with where we are today and roll forward.

Showers and storms increase across the state, especially this afternoon and evening. A few of the storms may be strong or locally severe. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC…

The front slows down on top of the region for Thursday and is likely to hang around through the upcoming Labor Day weekend. The end result would be for, at least, scattered storms around on a daily basis…

We will need to watch for the potential for too much rain to fall in some areas, leading to a local high water threat.

You notice a lot of action rolling across the Caribbean toward Florida and into the Gulf on the above animation. Neither the GFS or Canadian Models develop a full blown tropical system out of that mess, but the European Model has a different attitude.

Notice the Labor Day system rolling into south Florida…

That system crosses Florida and continues to develop into the Gulf and heads toward Louisiana a few days later…

It’s interesting to note that the European also has a hurricane heading toward Hawaii at the same time. We shall see how all that plays out over the next week or so.

In my last post, I showed how the CFS Seasonal Model was showing a cooler change really kicking in for the middle of September and carrying us into the beginning of October. The European is going in that direction too. Here’s the look for a 10 day period in the middle of September…

Here we have the opening 10 days of October…

The model gets there by developing some pretty anomalous troughs for so early in the fall season…

That’s a pretty interesting look that, if true, would argue for an early season frost threat.

Let’s get back to where we are today. I have your storm tracking toys for this Wednesday…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:32 am

Summer Sizzle Before More Storms

Good Tuesday, weather weenies. Meteorological summer is about to wrap up in a few days and Mother Nature is going out with a little sizzle that will give way to thunderstorms. These rounds of storms will increase later in the week and may hang around through the Labor Day Weekend.

Highs today are back into the upper 80s for many, with some low 90s showing up in the west, especially. The oppressive humidity will make it feel much hotter than that. Isolated showers and storms will also be noted today.

A cold front moves toward the state on Wednesday, bringing an uptick in the amount of showers and storms. That front then slows down and hangs around our region for the rest of the week and into, at least, part of Labor Day Weekend. The end result is rounds of showers and storms…

Locally heavy rains will be a good bet during this time and that may have an impact on some holiday weekend activities.

As this happens, we need to watch the tropics because some action is very likely to develop. We are heading toward the climatological peak in the hurricane season and the pattern is going to become conducive for activity.

The tropics will obviously play a big role in the overall weather pattern across the country in the coming weeks. Still, it’s interesting to note how the CFS starts September with above normal temps, then goes below normal my the middle of the month…

Let’s get back to where we are today and track a storm or two…

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:17 am

Summer Steam Starts The Week

Good Monday, everyone. Oppressive humidity is back in the bluegrass state to start the week, with increasing amounts of storms to end it. All of this leads us into, what appears to be, more of the same for Labor Day Holiday Weekend.

Temps today are generally in the upper 80s to around 90, with some low 90s in the west. Humidity levels are the big story with a heat index well into the 90s with local 100 numbers showing up.

This comes in the closing days of a month that has been very nice in terms of temps, especially with the highs. Check out how weird the month has been for temps, with highs well below normal and lows above normal…

The year as a whole has been very wild, with record cold months evening out record warm months. Still, you can see how the lows have been much warmer than the highs…

Year to date has been normal across Kentucky, but in a very abnormal way.

Let’s get back to where we are this week. Tuesday will be very similar to what we have out there today, so take some breaks if you’re outside for any prolonged period of time.

Wednesday will find scattered showers and storms increasing as a cold front drops in from the northwest. This front will put the brakes on across the region and hang around through the end of the week and into, at least, the start of Labor Day Weekend. The end result will be more in the way of rounds of showers and storms…

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

Labor Day

I leave you with your isolated storm tracking tools for the day…

Make it a good one and take care.

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