Daily Archives: September 15, 2018

Time posted: 4:20 pm

Florence Moves In Sunday

Good evening, gang. Florence continues to move very slowly and it’s also slowly weakening as it moves across South Carolina. This will move into Kentucky late Sunday and early Monday as a Tropical Depression. This is the third tropical system of the season to move into our region.

Here’s the latest from the NHC on Florence…

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That depression should roll right on top of central and eastern Kentucky over the next 48 hours. Watch the south to north movement, before it turns northeast and then east across Ohio…

Some quick headlines:

  • Rounds of showers and storms will be common Sunday through Monday night.
  • A general 1″-3″ of rain is possible for much of central and eastern Kentucky. Thunderstorms are capable of dropping a little more.
  • Local high water issues are very possible during this time.
  • Wind gusts Sunday into Sunday night can reach 40-45mph at times. Gusts may still hit 30mph behind the departing low on Monday.

Scattered storms are going up this afternoon and evening. Here are your tracking tools to follow along…

I’m actually working on WKYT-TV tonight, so tune in. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:57 am

Tracking Florence Toward Kentucky

Good Saturday, everyone. Florence continues to slowly work across South Carolina, dumping a tremendous amount of rain along the way. This system begins to turn to the northwest later today into Sunday, then will pass right on top of us Sunday night and Monday.

My overall thoughts with this system have not changed much at all this week. This continues to look like a heavy rain and gusty wind maker over the next few days.

Let’s start you out with the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

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The interactive radar is a work of art for storm trackers. Do some exploring with it and you’re going to find all kinds of neat tools…

The Hurricane Models have been VERY consistent with the forecast track so far, and they are locked in on the Florence to Kentucky scenario…

The GFS Ensembles are also doing really good work in the track department…

Some thoughts on the next few days:

  • Scattered showers and storms will be around this afternoon and evening. Temps are pretty steamy and tropical feeling.
  • What’s left of Florence moves from south to north across the eastern half of Kentucky later Sunday into early Monday. This could still be a tropical depression as it moves in.
  • Given the relatively fast movement of this system, it shouldn’t be able to come close to rain totals from last weekend.
  • A general 1″-3″ of rain is possible across central and eastern Kentucky with locally higher amounts. Some areas of the west may not see very much rain, if any. Here’s a rough outline…

  • Given the recent rains, local high water issues may develop across the east.
  • Winds will be fairly gusty as this system moves through. Gusts of 30-40mph will be possible Sunday and Sunday night. A few gusts can top out near 45mph.

 

I will hook you up with another update later today. Until then, let’s track today’s scattered storms…

Make it a good one and take care.

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