Good Sunday, friends and neighbors. We have a quick hitting system rolling into the region later today into Monday. This begins what looks to be another fun filled week of weather, complete with arctic and a messy winter system by the end of the week.

Let’s roll up our sleeves and get after it.

The day starts cold with some flakes flying in the north.

Later today, precipitation increases from west to east and really kicks in this evening into tonight. The low levels are very dry so, even with temps going well above freezing, the initial surge of precipitation can be in the form of sleet. That would quickly change to rain as the temperature and dewpoint meet in the middle.

Rainy weather will be with us into Monday with chilly temps dropping as the day wears on.

This is when we await the arrival of another big arctic front. We have had this one on the blog for a long, long time now. A fast moving band of light snow may introduce this arctic air at some point late Tuesday or Wednesday.

The air behind this is icebox stuff for much of the country. The Canadian model lows…

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Look who is back to showing this arctic outbreak, our old friend the GFS…

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Check out the forecast highs for Thursday…

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And now you see why I didn’t post the warmer runs of the GFS from the past few days… they didn’t match the pattern or the other models.

This brings us to the late week potential winter weather system. This is going to be one interesting system. We will have arctic air in place with a deep and expansive snowpack just to our north. It is my experience that the models don’t see that very well until a few days out. Would that be enough to force a colder and father south solution of such a system.

The overnight European Model didn’t think so…

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Taken verbatim, the European Model shows snow and ice to start, then a change to rain and then back to some snow and ice as another arctic air mass pushes in.

The Canadian Model appears to be sensing the Arctic cold and snowpack because it went a little south and colder…

canadian

The Canadian also has another arctic blast following that system. Check out the cool animation of the cold temperature anomalies over a long period ahead of us…

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I will have another update or two later today. Things are busy, but I always drop by for at least one more update. 🙂

Have a great Sunday and take care.