Good evening, everyone. We have a wild temperature swing on the way as we head into the coming weekend. This will bring some wicked temperature swings and everything from thunderstorms to snow and ice. Buckle up and let’s get after it.
Temps slowly rise all day Friday into Friday evening with a light wintry mix switching to light rain. Readings by Saturday morning can hit the low 50s. Wow. Afternoon highs on Saturday can reach into the mid and upper 60s. Double Wow. Those same temps then drop more than 40 degrees Saturday night and Sunday morning as the arctic front pushes through. Triple Wow!
High winds will also be an issue during this time with gusts of 40mph possible. Showers and thunderstorms will then transition over to a period of sleet, freezing rain and some snow.
The GFS Parallel…
Winter weather accumulation…
Icy roads are a strong possibility later Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Looking down the road, we find this arctic cold pattern retreating next week. That said, we are going to have to watch for a couple of systems to impact our weather in the lead up to Christmas weekend.
The European Model suggests a system putting down a little snow Thursday and Friday…
The GFS Parallel is similar…
Most models have been hinting at a big storm system late Christmas weekend or a day or two later. This could have a surge of mild air ahead of it, but would give us the potential for winter weather as it moves through…
Both of those systems are something for us to keep an eye on.
Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.
Cold dry air followed by mild wet air followed by cold dry air.
Good by drought and hello wet again…some areas may approach 10 inch monthly totals if this pattern continues…3.27 here at the house to date 3 miles east of Harlan!
Terry, on Wednesday the drought monitor index came out for Kentucky over 95% of Kentucky still in a moderate drought or worse. 56% of Kentucky in a severe drought, in your neck of the woods your still falling into moderate drought category.
Well hey Mike M. good to see you’re still around!
I can’t shake the blog. Still hope for snow like a little kid. Hope you and your family are doing well.
Well, so much for “The December To Remember” ideas that I’ve heard about on the internet. Other than these two systems, I don’t see much of a white Christmas chance here. But statistically it’s not high anyway.
Bastardi is a Pennsylvania met and his area and points north of Indianapolis are having a December to remember. Considering ones in recent past have been rather mild.
Cannot wait to see the festive snowflakes coming down during Christmas.
Long time readers of this blog will get it.
Yea that’s not happening.
Festive flakes! That is normal for here: Most of moisture falls as rain and the scraps are snow. That said, a lot of us had three HUGE abnormal events with record and back breaking (shoveling) snows in the past two winters.
CB called those chances for those winters though, but not for this one. Placing my odds on CB.
What’s your definition of a big snow?
Hey…you all want snow? We have had over 28 inches the last 2 weeks in West Michigan. Good old Lake Effect. There is nearly a foot of measured snow depth on the ground. And wind chills are below zero. The White Christmas of your dreamsis here.
Hm? My definition of a big snow would be 8+ inches
And all these years of reading the blog, I’ve never heard of the GFS Parallel until recently on here. Is this something new?
MarkleX…..I would go with 4-8 for nice snow 8-12 as big and 12-18 Oldskool. Not sure what the GFS parallel is. My only thought is a new version of the GFS.
Give me an ole 93 blizzard or 94 old school 20 inch storm any day! …that would be my definition of a HUGE storm…had dome decent storms in 2014 to 2015 season but nothing like those here in SE KY.
Some not “dome”…phone messaging.
Suppose to be some sort of upgraded high def version of the GFS
With as bad as the mid 2010s computer models are for flip flopping and inconsistency, maybe we should down grade to all paper map predictions…1800s style with no satellite data using good ole barometric pressure, historical observations and visual look at the sky methods for good measure!!!
Given how warm September, October and November were.I still had pear trees full of yellow leaves two weeks ago. I am very surprised how cold it is now. I think today was colder than any day last Winter. However I think the warmer air is going to return to ruin any chance at Holiday snow.