Good Saturday, everyone. We have some wicked weather pushing across the region over the next couple of days. By wicked, I mean big temperature swings to go along with thunderstorms to be followed by some sleet and snow.
Overall , my thoughts on the whole setup have not changed. Here’s a quick breakdown of how things look to play out this weekend.
- Highs today surge into the low 60s on a strong southwesterly wind. Showers and thunderstorms will develop into a line by afternoon and evening.
- Arctic air diving in behind this line will undercut it, leading to a quick switch to sleet and some snow. That’s not going to last more than a few hours, but can put down some light accumulations…
- Icy roads will be possible as temps drop into the low 20s Sunday morning.
- Temps will hold steady and may drop into the teens during the afternoon in the west and central. This air mass is arctic and coming off a deep snowpack to our northwest. The GFS and your apps are about to get crushed on this.
- Readings by Monday morning have a shot at single digits in a few spots in the west and north…
I leave you with regional radar to track the action moving in today…
I will update things later today. Make it a good day and take care.
Thanks Chris! Could we actually get 4″ or so of sleet/snow accumulation s?
Maybe for the whole year. LOL
in 1/2 inch increments
Lol
That’s not happening
It is looking very mild going into the month of January…sigh…but on a positive, lower heating costs!
It may lower heating costs for some. I have a gas well so it will have little affect on me either way.
Well I sure hope this is not a December to remember in weather that is because I would sure not want to remember this December cold for a few days and no snow only to warm up for Christmas that’s just our luck here in good old ky but thanks Chris for everything you do for us I guess if we want weather to remember we need to move way north
Were you not living in Kentucky the past couple of winters?
I know what you’re saying but in my opinion this is already getting old.
If it’s going to become miserably cold for a few days without any decent snowfall to show for it, I will be rooting for above temperatures.
I no the winter season is in its infancy but it is behaving like a spoiled brat.
Honestly, I don’t think the NAM above will pan out but time will tell in about 24 hours!
Think of that NAM run posted as a carrot.
Awesome, a nice warm up for more leaf work before the rains arrive.
Any snow we get is a bonus.
Looking forward to Chris’s take on Christmas weather.
Go Big Blue!
Thanks Chris. Hoping to get out and get some errands and shopping done today before the steadier rain gets here. I’m more concerned with the quick change over to sleet and freezing rain. Either can get slick in a hurry with temps dropping that rapidly. Have a great Saturday everyone.
Be thankful for the non-ice event.
Usually we have bad luck with those.
Stay hopeful for Xmas but plan for rain.
This month is pretty frustrating though.
Yeah, one down and only 2 to go unless we have a March surprise.
It seems like about once every 7 to 10 years or so, March ends up taking on a winter look with some snows but generally winter is over after the end of February in our part of the country.
Personally, I am still thankful for this more active pattern after the never ending period of boring that ended a few weeks ago, even though this December has turned up rotten winter weather wise.
Rodger’s surprised Mr Bailey isn’t make more of an “issue” about the stripe of 3-5″ snow showing up on that map for western into central KY. Maybe he believes it won’t happen. Rodger in Dodger
I was thinking the same thing! no mention, so he must not believe it! 😉
He may touch on it later this afternoon. This is three runs in a row with virtually no movement on the heaviest band. The pink are shrank somewhat, but the NAM is trending, not flipping back and forth. It will be an interesting evening/overnight period in Kentucky.
The SPC has both Kentucky and Tennessee with low chances of severe thunderstorms later today. Mainly strong damaging winds. But there is at least some threat of isolated tornadoes, especially in western Tennessee.
As others have alluded to, the freezing rain threat on Sunday is thankfully low even if only a millimeter on the roads is dangerous enough. But at least no big ice accumulations on the trees and power lines.
We are under a WWA here in Nelson County.
Same for Fayette County.
Most of Kentucky is back on the fence for winter. The fence shifted some for two winters and a lot of us got record breaking snow for areas. Likely not the case this winter.
Fencetucky seems the theme.
Yep.
Me’s beginning to think ol man winter is on hiatus still. Suits me just fine. All hype and nothing to show however is a different matter.
Here’s to hoping winter shows up in 2017.
December is usually a wasted Winter month in our part of the world. Brief cold spells little if any snow. I have noticed for some time now, that our Winters are starting later and later each year. December probably shouldn’t be considered a Winter month anymore. Winter seems to start around here mid January and end the first week of March. Figures to be the same this year.
You are totally correct. Noticed winters starting later myself. I kid you not…the leaves on my Bradford Pears only fell last week …they were still green through the week before Thanksgiving. That’s roughly a month late. Climate change is real whether it be a totally naturally occurring cycle or helped along by mankind, the science can’t be denied.
Totally agree with this post!!!
Solstice speaking December is not really a winter month. I personally like the chances we have been delt this month. Any December snow is bonus snow in my book. Historically speaking the Lou area only averages 12 inches of snow a season. Most of that falls mid Jan into Feb. Winter has not even started and people are already writing it off. I agree with BubbaG. The fence is back especially with the SE ridge coming into play.
Quite a few Kentucky counties are under a WWA and people are still complaining.
I think this storm will surprise many.
I’m actually surprised at the lack of a mention of the models showing very hefty amounts of ice accumulation over the state