Good afternoon, everyone. Strong to severe thunderstorms that rumbled across the state this morning are the opening act of a potential significant severe weather outbreak. Rounds of severe thunderstorms and possible tornadoes will sweep across the state tonight into Wednesday.

The tornado risk continues to increase this evening into tonight. There’s the potential for strong tornadoes to develop across the western half of the state, and along the Ohio River from Covington to Paducah. Here’s my current thinking on the tornado risk…

Special 2

This matches up with the SPC’s new Moderate risk across some of these same areas…

In addition to the tornado threat, damaging winds and large hail will also be significant players. The entire threat area will then focus on central and eastern Kentucky late tonight into Wednesday. Here’s the latest outlook from the SPC…

Flash flooding is also a major concern during this time. Much of the state is now under a Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday.

Our interactive radar is the best tool you will find to track severe weather. You can zoom in on any storm, get the latest warnings, current conditions and watch live streams from storm chasers across the land…

The rest of your tracking toys are below…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

I will try to update things later today. Keep track of the latest from my @kentuckyweather twitter feed and with me on WKYT-TV.

Have a great day and take care.