Good evening, gang. It’s a spring evening across the bluegrass, but all the attention is now focused on a weekend system that can bring a winter weather threat to this region. The models continue to be locked in on this potential from late Saturday into Sunday.

The first system of interest actually moves in early Friday. This introduces a much colder brand of air to the region from north to south. While it’s mainly a chilly shower maker, the models now show some flakes trying to get in…

The main storm system then follows that up Saturday night into Sunday. The models currently show the track of this storm from west to east across Tennessee. If that is indeed the track, this would put Kentucky into a swath of significant winter weather. Again… that’s IF the track is across Tennessee. If the track is farther north, then you know the drill. Farther south, and you know the drill.

Here’s the afternoon run of the GFS…

The swath of snow associated with that track…

That’s not too dissimilar from the run this morning…

The European Model first sniffed out this potential last week. Here’s the current look of the model…

The European Ensembles Control…

 

The individual members that make up the GFS Ensembles are spread between a direct hit on us and one just to our north…

It’s still very early in the game, but there is a real potential for a significant winter system impacting our weather this weekend. This may very well be our one and only “threat” of the entire winter… coming during the middle of March.

None of this makes the springtime version of your friendly weatherdude very happy. I will say this to Old Man Winter… Either go big or go home. I’m sure most of you would agree with that. 😉

Regardless, this will make for some interesting tracking in the days to come.

I will update things later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.