Good evening, gang. It’s a spring evening across the bluegrass, but all the attention is now focused on a weekend system that can bring a winter weather threat to this region. The models continue to be locked in on this potential from late Saturday into Sunday.
The first system of interest actually moves in early Friday. This introduces a much colder brand of air to the region from north to south. While it’s mainly a chilly shower maker, the models now show some flakes trying to get in…
The main storm system then follows that up Saturday night into Sunday. The models currently show the track of this storm from west to east across Tennessee. If that is indeed the track, this would put Kentucky into a swath of significant winter weather. Again… that’s IF the track is across Tennessee. If the track is farther north, then you know the drill. Farther south, and you know the drill.
Here’s the afternoon run of the GFS…
The swath of snow associated with that track…
That’s not too dissimilar from the run this morning…
The European Model first sniffed out this potential last week. Here’s the current look of the model…
The European Ensembles Control…
The individual members that make up the GFS Ensembles are spread between a direct hit on us and one just to our north…
It’s still very early in the game, but there is a real potential for a significant winter system impacting our weather this weekend. This may very well be our one and only “threat” of the entire winter… coming during the middle of March.
None of this makes the springtime version of your friendly weatherdude very happy. I will say this to Old Man Winter… Either go big or go home. I’m sure most of you would agree with that. 😉
Regardless, this will make for some interesting tracking in the days to come.
I will update things later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.
Lol, yes it would be comical to get a crushing snow storm after the “springtime” weather we’ve had the last three months..
Go big or go home…..love it. Agree.
I’ll take e13 for $1000 Alex
Right now it looks pretty good for snow for Southern Ohio where I live. But as Chris said it can still move North or South.
Exciting, but I’m guessing the models will shift and lose the storm by the end of the week
Those pinks and reds are colors that you don’t want to see on a winter storm map…
(Referring to the 6hr GFS model run. Not the ensemble snowfall amounts)…
It looks like BG is not in the sweet spot and that is more than okay to me! 🙂
Probably best to not get too enthused for the weekend until Thursday. This is the first potential biggish snow to make it inside of a week on the models. Will CB be able to pull the threat mode alert trigger, or will we have CB’s first threat mode-free winter blog season?
I`ll take e-15, or e-13. Like Chris said Go big or go home.
Right now it looks pretty good for snow for Southern Ohio where I live. But as Chris said it can still move North or South.
My bet is on E5 or E15
It ain’t happenin. Spring is here to stay.
Time to go get milk and bread…lol
If I had to bet, I would go with an I-70 storm. I just don’t think it is our year. But I hope I am wrong, would like to see Old Man Winter go out with a bang.
It’s still winter, and could snow. However, when a Friday model shows snow, then my family will be excited.
IIt would definitely be a nice snow but we’ve seen these maps before this season and they have yet to play out.
Also of note, Joe Bastardi is also beating this drum…yet another reason I’m inclined to believe this won’t happen.
Noooooo….
This West Virginia farmer does NOT want heavy snow in March!
For a snow lover that has waited all winter for this, BRING IT!!!
Areed! Bring it!
00z GFS crushes Kentucky with snowstorm
Like how much snow? I know it’s not a forecast. Just curious….
latest gfs is a tab further south, smothers everyone in snow but the very southern part of the entire start. But the trend is our friend, Holding out hope for for southern ky
00z holding the course. Here`s hoping it continues its trend South.