Good Tuesday, fellow weather weenies. We continue to keep a close eye on a potential wild setup for the upcoming weekend. This will come from a powerhouse of a storm system that can bring high winds and strong storms, before unleashing a winter pattern.

Before we make it to the weekend, we have one more cold front to go through. This arrives on Wednesday with a quick increase in gusty showers during the afternoon and evening. Rainfall amounts could top a quarter of an inch in some areas…

This front passes through here Wednesday night and knocks the temps down several degrees for Thursday. The NAM shows a healthy high temp gradient, with some areas struggling to get to the low 40s…

This brings us to the weekend and a powerful storm system taking aim at the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. The models continue to have their usual differences, with the European being especially bad. It sometimes struggles with energy ejecting from the southwest, and it’s doing it right now.

The GFS has been fairly consistent, but the Canadian shows the same thing run after run…

That setup brings the potential for strong to severe storms Friday night and early Saturday. With or without strong storms, winds are going to be a major player. Gusts of 40-50mph will be possible during this time.

Temps crash on Saturday as the coldest air arrives Saturday night into Sunday. That’s when we have the chance for a few flakes, though that all depends on the exact wind flow.

The Canadian continues to show a few flakes around here through Monday…

Again, that all depends on how much of a true northwesterly wind flow we can get.

This air is frigid and the winds will be very gusty, regardless of the exact direction. Wind chills are going to be way down there from Saturday night through Monday. Teens look to be a safe bet at times for wind chills, but a few models give us a fighting chance at single digits…

Another shot of cold arrives as we head into Thanksgiving week. The models go back and forth on whether or not to develop a storm system in the eastern part of the country. Some of the latest runs show this system centered on Thanksgiving Day…

We know the cold shots are coming, but can they produce flakes across Kentucky? That’s the question going forward, but you have to like the odds of, at least, seeing flakes fly at some point through next week.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.