Good afternoon, everyone. With our major temperature drop pressing across the state, freezing rain, sleet and snow are taking over, as our winter storm starts to crank.
Overall, I don’t have any significant changes to my thought process on the evolution of this storm. The actual low doesn’t deepen until later today into the evening as it passes through east Tennessee into West Virginia. That’s when we see the increasing band of snow, resembling a comma head, really crank up. This will sweep eastward across the state through early Saturday.
As I told you earlier, the snow part of this for central and eastern Kentucky doesn’t come until the evening hours. The quicker the change to snow, the more accumulations where you live. The slower, the lower. Regardless, snow will blanket the state tonight, with several inches for many. Travel conditions will continue to worsen from west to east, and really get bad this evening.
I have your tracking toys to carry you through the day…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington
Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington
I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington
I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond
US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
Louisville
Bardstown
I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown
Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead
I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
Winchester
Georgetown
Stay safe and take care.
No mention of the dry slot that will lower totals?
He just said the low doesn’t start cranking til later…which means it will fill in….
Matter of fact…its already doing so
Except that NWS and all Louisville Mets lowered their totals because of the dry slot.
Love the snow can’t wait
This is a good winter storm by Kentucky standards. Enjoy what you get. Monday could bring another nice round of snow. Finally, we have some fluff to go with the cold we’ve had. Rodger in Dodger
Depending on location it maybe a good storm but not for everyone.
That’s awesome I love the ice sickles
In hindsight just think if this storm would have hit last week when the ground temps in the lower 20โs. We would all have been up a creek without a paddle.
Thanks Chris! I am hoping the trend on the models toward the upper end of your ranges continues. Latest RAP and HRRR are both showing a band of heavier totals to the south and east of Cincinnati. I am hoping that trend continues!
16z RAP http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/rap/2018011216/021/sn10_acc.conus.png
Would love that here in Walton!
This was a brief to the point post.
I think tired of people saying when is it going to start, dry slot, etc…
His forecast and even on this blog stated snow wouldn’t get going into late afternoon for CKY.
I think a general 2-6 is a good bet for cky
I would like to hear more about Monday/Tuesday,,but I guess that well have to wait.
I live in central Kentucky and the storm is ending. we only received about one forth inch of ice. As for the next storm Monday / Tuesday will not be anything except for a few flurries from an Alberta Clipper. SAD
Literally hasnโt even started yet….
Eagerly waiting to see the beautiful white stuff blow around!!
All rain here in Crittenden. Looking forward to the snow later today. Thank you CB for all you hard work. Be safe out there!
Wow, I am new to this site and new to lex. Nola, transplant. I thought watching and predicting tropical systems was fun and erratic. This being my first winter storm and first time I will probably see frozen precipitation fall is exciting. I am glad I found this site and a good meteorologist. We had a few great ones in New Orleans. Sorry imposter this before the update.
New 16z HRRR goes out to 5am Eastern Time. Shows the same Heavy band in Northern KY. I noticed the NWS office in Wilmington, OH just upgraded themselves to WSW. Maybe they should do the same thing for some of us Northern KY counties? Lots of short range models over last few hours are showing 4-8″ for NKY.
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sn10_acc&rh=2018011216&fh=18&r=us_ov&dpdt=
I agree, I live in NKY and the Wilmington NWS is always very conservative. I don’t understand why we began in a WWA to begin with.
The 17z run now shows about 2 inches for Central KY.
Sounds about right. The temp has gone up two degrees in northern Lincoln, from 33 at noon to 35 now. Major bust potential?
Andy, Troy…what do you all think? Are we going to get our inch or not? The storm is starting to really strengthen. I think Andy has the best shot out of us three at getting an inch or more do to his slight NW proximity to the low this evening. We shall see…we only need about a 50 mile path farther east to bring us a much better snowfall.
We will have a inch of something or combined but we will hit that inch. Sitting at 0.25 of rain since midnight so that will help.
Terry, its possible you will reach your inch year to date total. Andy night get “close” to an inch of something frozen. As for myself, we might get an inch of rain and a dusting of something frozen at best. Almost 5 o’clock and sitting at 56 degrees here…most of the moisture will be long gone before our temps bottom.
All rain right now in Crittenden. Looking forward to the snow later today! Thank you CB for all of your hard work. Be safe out there!
Praying for a huge hit of snow for Burgin !!!! I am like everyone else waiting patiently…….
u going get you some snow Joyce!!!! hang in there. its starting to strengthen
Thank you Rolo!
All 4 major METS in Louisville ate scaling back their snow totals, including NWS. 1-2″ and 2-4″ is the highest range for anyone now.
Are***
I think the timing of the storm for the Central/Eastern part of the state will make their totals closer to projected. Getting a middle of the day snow storm is always a close call due to changeover.
We will see
Normally I’m usually stingy when it comes to predicting snow totals, yet I’m still looking at 3-4 inches for Louisville, of course closer to 3″ in Valley Station
Any snow accumulations will be more than last year.
BTW I hate backside Lows to unpredictable with snowfall projections.
Without sleet and rain and dry slots, it would be easier to forecast.
I think 3-4″ is still possible, too.
The snow line appears to be halfway between O.Boro & Louisville.
Looks like the dry slots are feeling in I can still see the metro receiving near 4″.
When we see totals coming out of W.KY we will then have a good since of what is in store for us locally.
Donโt think anyone really knows what will happen. Just need to enjoy the day and see what happens.
I don’t understand all of the NAM/16z/etc talk, but could someone who knows about all that, please tell me if/what they think Madison County, KY will get? I really hope we’ll get enough snow to play in a little!
Snow in Western Kentucky, dry in Central Kentucky, Raining in Eastern Kentucky and so far very little change on the radar for hours. We will have to see what tomorrow looks like. Thanks Chris, for your continuing updates.
Just check the water vapor loop and dry air is now moving into western Kentucky ending the precipitation. The snow has moved well north into Indiana. All eyes now on eastern Kentucky as a lot of moisture is pouring into that area.
Wrong
Look at the current radar, it’s over. Most of the snow fell in southwestern Indiana. They received eight inches in my home town.
Now there is a few back side flurries to go with the ice on the trees. SAD STORM for my area.
Does not seem that you are on the same page here.
Anyone got a link to the new Euro Chris recently posted about?
I’m at the tail end of the snow in middle tn. the dry slot is eating away at the last little bit of what’s trying to wrap around. Thinking now we may not even see a flake. Hope other spots do good on this cause it’s about the biggest let down of a storm I can remember in a while
New 17z HRRR – High Resolution showing much lower snow totals:
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sn10_acc&rh=2018011217&fh=17&r=us_ov&dpdt=
UNDERPERFORMER
Use Kuchera ratios not standard 10:1. More realistic ratios
Finally broke the snow drought here in far western,ky. Coming down hard and visibility is low.
After a 26 degree temperature drop from 59 to 33 in Georgetown between 6:30 and 8:30 AM, the temp has gone back up to 35.
It has gone from 30 to 32 in East Louisville the past couple hours. Freezing rain falling.
Been snowing in Fern Creek for the last 40 minutes. Almost a quarter inch so far. Wondering if The Hill will post soon and give us an update on northeastern Bullitt County???
Hubby just called, on his way home from work in Shep-Ville, and wondering about that,because they’ve NEVER let work out early-they just pay for nearby hotel rms. if the roads get bad. Still not too bad pavement-wise here in Bardstown’ Waiting for the snow-this mud is wreaking havoc on cleaning dog feets!
Up 2 degrees in Lancaster, Ky. Now that is according to my phone so take it for what it’s worth..lol
That’s correct, the Mesonet site in north Lincoln is up two degrees since noon. Can you say COLD RAIN?
Sounds like you need a new phone, or that is Celsius ๐
Feeling sad…..not even precipitating here in Frankfort. All of you serious weather watchers are making me nervous…been waiting for this for a while and it sounds like we won’t really get much? :/
My god you people.are so.depressing…this blog used to be so.much fun but you people suck the life out of it…get a dang grip
This. It is supposed to be fun. Why talk negatively. Someone else mentioned that five days into winter some were writing it off. Just see what comes and relax. Happiness and joy is not based on precipitation. Enjoy life, snow, sleet, rain, heat, or cold.
THANK YOU!!
100% agree. I understand getting frustrated, but being a downer on top of it is a no win situation for everyone.
This is absolute sunshine compare to the Cleveland Brown’s sports forum. Now THAT”S depressing ๐
Following this storm is just like following UK football. High hopes that ultimately lead to a disappointing let down, with lots of drinking and cussing along the way.
Guys, Despite the myth, Chris Bailey doesn’t actually control the weather. He isn’t to blame if you don’t get a foot of snow. He isn’t to blame if computer models don’t live up to their predictions. Filling this blog with your complaints is just down right depressing and sad.
ok as a OG of the BLOG its time for some of you WET BEHIND THE EARS meaning 4-6 years bloggers to calm down and have a drink, or take a deep breath and have a cup of coffee. its ok its going to SNOW OK, you don’t need a SHUT DOWN snow Sweethearts, 3-4 inches of snow this weekend then 2-4 more Monday evening and Tuesday and guess what u got plenty of WHITE STUFF with zero temps. then you better get u a side job moving snow to pay the electric bills. just imagine if u had a SHUTDOWN STORM with ZERO WEATHER with that. ok once again this old timer who help build this blog says why all the sad faces we got a NICE little WINTER SNOW MAKER just now CRANKING UP moving TOWARDS/INTO the viewing area that going to put down anywhere from 4 upwards of 10 inch localized totals hence said localized not everywhere. Bailey Boy update and SPOON FED u WET BEHIND THE EARS Bloggers to the point Ray Charles could understand. its ok OG ROLO LOVES U STILL. WATCH THAT RADAR FILL IN as that LOW starts to stregthen
Huh?
Great post, Rolo. Share that experience and wisdom. ๐
The “legend” if you can read what he writes lol
Yo the man, Rolo! ๐
I’ve been around a long time too. Stopped posting on this and other sites cause was taking too much time. Fun to be back though. Always loved this site with Chris’s winter forecasting that is second to none. Rolo a mainstay from as long as I’ve been around always with good perspective too! Enjoy what we get and with the temps and additional chances early next week its gonna be around awhile. It appears the storm is indeed rotating and re-strengthening just in time to roll through Central and eventually NE KY. Gonna be a great weekend for a fire and sit back and watch NFL and the Cats play too. Have a great weekend all!
Yes Rolo is back!
It has been crazy raining in Barboursville, WV (near Huntington) area for last hour… tons of moisture.
Probably rain itself out before the cold air catches up. That usually happens in the Huntington area.
I don’t think so. Temp already dropping.
18Z HRRR – High Resolution is out. Bumps snow totals a little, but not much…
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018011218&fh=12&r=us_ov&dpdt=
Correction: This is the proper link
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018011218&fh=18&r=us_ov&dpdt=
That looks right. A lot of western KY will end up with about 4 inches. Rodger in Dodger
Bumps them “up”? That does not even make the low end of CB’s forecast.
Still have light freezing rain/drizzle here in East end of Louisville. As a teacher, Iโm enjoying this extra day home with my daughter. We have made a couple of grocery runs for elderly neighbors who didnโt want to get out on the roads today. Weโve played board games, baked bread, and done some reading. Please be safe fellow weather junkies. Thanks for everything you do CB!
Snow is holding on in Paducah and actually backfilling. Starting to transition to snow @ I-65, moving east slowly.
Heavy sleet in Louisville now
I say we may have 2-3 inches here in union.co and snow is still falling.
6 inches of snow being reported in Paducah.
Looking at radar they had a very good band set up on top of them
Heavy sleet/Snow now in Middletown
It looks as though the storm hasn’t move eastward much in the last couple of hours. Covington has been on the edge of rain/freezing precipitation since before noon. I hope the moisture keeps streaming up from the gulf and the storm eventually slowly deposits lots of snow in my neck of the woods.
It just switched to sleet here in Cinci, but I am just across the clay wade from Cov and it looks like it’s there too.
Actually the moisture is going north NE and the cold air coming from the NW is what creates the frozen precipitation with the flow of moisture as it flows SE.
Heavy heavy sleet here in South Warren county, the transition to all snow is very close. Rooflines are becoming covered quick.
Started snowing in Louisville at 3pm.Quick change from sleet/freezing rain.
Holding at 58 here in knott county. Pretty good temp spread across Kentucky
Sleeting good now in shelbyville
Do we think that the airport will shut down most of the flights tomorrow?
Change over much later in the metro than forecast. Lower ice totals so we have to hope that the systems slows so more snow will fall. Took until after 2:30 for the streets to get slushy and still not slick.
At least schools got a snow day!
CB, I just read your โabout meโ information. Not sure why I waited so long, but I think it is a God given gift when someone loves something from childhood and then works hard to develop that gift as you did with meteorology. Keep on doing what you are doing and remember Who gave you the gift. Thanks for all you do.
Whoever measured 0.24″ freezing rain in Valley Station is wrong. Ice accretion on small limb I measured came to 5/32″ on one side but 3/32″ on other side for a total of 0.25″, but you average the two measurements to get the ice accumulation. Therefore, we’ve had a little over 0.1″ (.125″)
Rolo, thank you for your reminder…I mainly ‘lurk’, but have enjoyed your banter on here for years!!! ๐ Rain and 36 in Morehead…hoping to wake up to a couple of inches of snow! Stay safe everyone! Love our Chris Bailey! He is such a hard worker…always has been.
Great post! Encouraging words go far.
Is the storm getting stronger or weaker as it moves to eastern ky? Looks like northeastern ky could get 6 inches or so. Am I wrong?
thanks u all for the comments, yea I need to proof read and actually not be so sorry, but then I wouldn’t be the true ROLO would IT.
Took advantage of daylight hours and temps near freezing to clean off all ice on vehicle…Now, I just have to deal with the snow
Howโs it looking in Valley Station?
0.4″ snow and sleet, wet pavement to slushy and ice accumulation of a little more than 0.1″.
Been snowing in Fern Creek for the last 40 minutes. Almost a quarter inch so far. Wondering if The Hill will post soon and give us an update on northeastern Bullitt County???
Still sleeting in Bardstown.
Starting the changeover to snow right now! Where ya at in town, SHAAK?
Storm seems to be rotating. I am in Sellersburg, IN.
I believe that is the comma shape CB was referring to earlier.
I’ve got a little more that a dusting here in the Portland area of Louisville. ๐
Temp is 30, wind out of the NW at 5 MPH.
Wind chill is 25
Reports of around 4″ in Evansvlle, Per. John Belski.
I pray that we get enough snow for me to use the snow thrower that I bought 3 years ago.
A good indicator of this system will be how it is performing to the west. At this time, Louisville was supposed to be a travel mess by now. If it is, that is sign it is doing what was forecast. If not, that could cut down on totals for a lot of folks. Seems it is slower than expected. that said, just takes a few heavy bands of snow to offset that.
NWS didn’t upgrade the WSW areas beyond Fayette, so apparently they are still not impressed FWIW. Madison as example is still WWA.
Will the NWS be even more smarmy after tonight, or will CB have the last laugh?
Next model run…much the same.
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018011220&fh=18&r=us_ov&dpdt=
Curious if CB revises his map or stays with it.
Looking like this was way over blown in the predictions for North Central Ky….thank goodness…may get 1inch, 2 in some areas tops
I think the NWS called for low snow totals Thursday early. Only thing is that they said the change over would happen earlier than it did.
Looking like NWS might win this forecast battle, or be the least incorrect.
about 5 inches for bourbon county! Hope this is correct
Could of had school in LouMetro today. Forecast for bad roads early in the day didn’t happen. That’s Mother Nature!
If we go by CB and the timing he noted and that this is not exactly panning out so far as the system flows east, seems totals are getting cut. Not my conjecture, but what CB said last night. Timing is critical and this slower than expected.
Looking forward to CB’s update to see if the maps stays the same. Maybe the low building up will offset the slower timing.
I teach here in Louisville and our pre-k students don’t get on the buses to leave school until right now… I’m glad we canceled rather than banking on the weather to cooperate. Better safe than sorry, especially because folks here can’t drive on the best of days.
Burst of moderate snow in Nashville TN, temperature down to 24. Roads are a mess, especially untreated bridges and flyovers as they are iced over. Parts of I-40 between Nashville and Jackson TN shut down to wrecks…..same with I-65 between Nashville and Bowling Green.
– – – – – – –
On today’s date in 1918 (100 years ago), Nashville’s high was just two degrees which is the lowest daily maximum temperature on record. At one point, the Mississippi River at Memphis was frozen over.
Where is the actual low tracking? Seems farther west than forecast?
Thus WKY getting all the snow and rain central?
Seems more west and north, but will see CB’s update later. NWS did not increase the counties in the WSW and even they would have updated by now. At least they haven’t downgraded ๐
Another met just said โ35 degrees, the bane of meteorologistsโ winter forecasts.โ
Will be surprised if CB sticks with his map.
He is on TV right now but it will require some heavy snow bands, I think. Time will tell.
Seems needs to be cut in half for a lot of areas.
Thatโs what I posted yesterday, due to the dreaded dry slot just cut everything in half. Still hoping for 2 or 3 in Lex.
CB mentioned a comma of snow, but seems more like a question mark right now ๐
CB’s low end might be higher than the actual result.
Dang if Lex isnโt in a dry area again. Grrr!
Louisville pretty much in a dry slot right now. Maybe 1/4 inch so far
With new info, how much snow will ashland get?
Louisville mets lowering totals, but seems like there is a heavy band still coming and itโs rotating. This has been an odd storm. I donโt think anyone predicted Paducah getting six inches.
CB’s evening update should be interesting, but perhaps not in the manner snow fans would want. Seems a decent bet the map is not being increased. Also, does this bode well for the Monday/Tuesday snow?
Heโs telling everyone to relax central ky, and north still going to be fine. Just watched his update on tv . Everyone chill lol
38 light rain in western Gallia County in SE Ohio.
Looks like from CBโs weather cast Burgin is out of the red zone.
Snow started in Covington about an hour and a half ago. Already have 1 inch. Temp drop from 33 to 28 in that time.
Where is rolo at? All you guys saying the snow is not going to be what was expected but rolo has been saying itโs cranking up and 4-8 inches will be seen from Lexington east! Have you changed your mind rolo?
Nws bumped up my totals over here In Athens from 2-5 to 4-6, temp down to 33 with heavy mix
Athens OH or Athens KY?
Thanks.
Ohio
I think everyone is going to be surprised by the time this is over..
That could be good or bad ๐ ๐
As example, I will be surprised if we hit the low end of 4″, yet alone the high end of 8″.
At 7, I would have called this a bust.
3 hours and 2 inches of snow and a solid radar forthcoming, it’s not.
Secondary low formed east of us and kept temps above freezing in central and eastern KY. Can either look at is as kept us from freezing rain or robbed us of snow.
Iโll believe several inches here in Lex when my son is shoveling it in the morning! ; )
Yep, the much advertised, super huge temperature gradient was about ten degrees off from actual. Hard to freeze stuff. The good news is no ice as forecast and the bad news is snow totals. that is if we go by CB last night who noted this current scenario would cut totals.
But I didnโt think it was even forecast to get below freezing in EKY until in the evening (??).
Central should have been already, but is about eight degrees warmer than forecast- hence no frozen stuff yet.
Gotcha
Less ice and less road issues (for now) seems a good thing to me ๐
. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a 5+ total Louisville and west and 5+ let’s say Morehead east. Leaving central ky in the middle of the “snow sandwich” with 2″-3″, with this dry slot. As our low continues to make that more NW track early. Guess time will tell. Everyone be safe,,Doc
It better get busy. LouMetro has very fine snow blowing around now. I have about .75 inches of ice and snow total. Not overachieving at all. Advisory criteria now.
This storm has really had some strange characteristics hasn’t it?
It has. It’s spinning and looks like it’s moving at a snails pace. Love the snow.
Andy, Troy and others in SE KY…..close call as it looks like the comma part of the storm might get us which COULD push our totals up! This is going to be a sharp cut-off. Either us or Northern TN will be the cut-off for nothing vs a good few inches +
Don’t let it fool ya Terry. By the time that rotates around to us, the low will be pulling and skirting it just to our north. Also, a dry slot will form in the middle of that comma which will also weaken our chance. I still think you’ll get a half inch or more in Harlan with only a dusting here in Middlesboro.
Bailey hinted it was going NE . Laurel maybe the cutoff we will have to watch the radar
41 here in knott county at 630
I’m surprised… that’s for sure. dry slot ate my area alive down here in Lewis co TN. Thought we’d get at least 2 or 3 inches. Finally getting a few flurries now. GFS was the only one that stuck to its guns and kept that western track. Low tracked right up middle tn on the eastern side of it. Way further north and east than what Euro kept showing. Kudos, I guess. I’m not much of a GFS fan
North and west. not north and east
It’s over folks…..The Dry Slot dropped the big one.
Eight years of Meteorology down the drain! Seriously, in Lincoln & Garrard I just don’t see anything but a very slight dusting. Looks like that dry slot is still there & the snow is lifting north. We know what wrap-around weather does. Nothing.
Agreed
This storm is a dud unless you live north of the Ohio River. If you donโt like snow just come over east of the Big Sandy and south of the Kanawha. The Dome!
CB Tweeted “It’s coming”, though that perhaps he’s keeping hope alive.
Well I think the slow movement may be beneficial but it’s sleet and fine snow at my place in Luahvull.
From Midwest weather blog GFS and NAM models showed the dry slot in central KY pretty well this morning. Check it out
http://www.midwestweather.org
positive snowfall depth change > 10.1 total snowfall
CB pointed out that it is just starting.
Check out southern Ohio. They are in the money!!!
I’m. In Athens. Ohio, and we are absolutely getting hammered by sleesleet and ice
Columbus with about 3โ and models show another 6โ to come.
32 Freezing Rain and Sleet in Olive Hill..
Snow is coming down hard in Bullitt County right now.
Sideways Mix/mostlysnow in Corbin, Band just popped up on the radar out of nowhere
The cold air is struggling to cross the Ohio River into WV. It will cross over as soon as the storm is over.
Dude, the sleet line is already almost in WV. Chill (pun intended!).
I agree. The moisture is pulling away to the northeast. Very hard to scour out the warm air in WV.
Ok people that lives in central or Eastern ky the snow is headed your way we’re on the end of edge of the snow band in which we got 4- 5 inches here at my neck of woods
Is it me but looks radar Is filling in
Filling in where?
Sleeting in Barboursville, WV off and on now.
Couple things…first off, Chris Bailey is 2nd biggest trend on twitter with #WKYTRULESWINTER. Also, seen where NWS out of Louisville has once again bumped totals back up to 4-6 inches, and they included Lexington in this update.
I didnโt see that on NWS. Link?
http://twitter.com/NWSLouisville/status/951994520350154752.
It’s 4-5 updated as of 8:46EST
Somebody turned on the snow machine in Luahvull. I thought it was a bust but it’s coming down now. 2+ inches and maybe an hour or more to go. Got a heavy band. Tribute-Hammer of the Gods. I come from the land of the ice and snow.
3″ here NW of BG.
Just waiting to see some dimwit call this a bust or overhyped.
Lol
Yes Hamlin, we know….you’re ready to pounce…
One person’s dimwit is another’s nowcaster ๐ This has not panning out as expected. I am surprised, since agreed with CB’s forecast. Seems the NWS will have a few giggles, given the critique they got. Last laugh appears theirs for this event. CB himself stated if the warm air hung around longer it would cut into totals. The colder air and ice layer would have provided convection and accelerated the snow accumulation. The temperature was off by about eight degrees in regards to timing.
Of Course this was hyped by every met, since it is their job to keep the public aware ๐ As far as bust…. At least not for the west and NW. I am glad the ice did not happen, since safer roads, safer walkways, less power issues and less snow means probably no shoveling my huge driveway ๐ Win Win Win Win!
Oh yeah, on the bust potential… Seems just as much a stretch to call this a bust as a perhaps a true winter true storm for most. That’s a pragmatic view ๐
That was a very rude comment Jeff Hamlin and uncalled for. You need a lesson in good behavior. Please think before you type your comments. Remember, Chris Bailey has provided this blog for people who enjoy talking about the weather. Not insults. Try and have a great day.
Latest High Resolution Computer Model snowfall amounts.
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018011300&fh=18&r=us_ov&dpdt=
Started snowing in Knoxville an hour ago. Been steady and already whitened up elevated surfaces. Overperforming considering we were expecting flurries.
31ยฐ and incredibly heavy sleet falling in Flatwoods right now. Charleston NWS upped our Winter Storm Warning to 4″-6″ (from 3″-5″). We shall see!
38 and rain in knott county and 9pm
Ended up with 5.5″ in Hopkinsville. Was a nice surprise after the way things were initially looking. NWS had us in the 2″-3″ category for their forecast. Chris had us in the 2″-6″, pretty bad when an eastern Kentucky meteorologist puts out a better forecast than our local NWS team. Was a long duration event as well for us, sleet started around 3:00 A.M. and main snow band didn’t push out until 7:00 p.m. Still getting some light snow showers that don’t show up on the radar.
3 1/2″ NW of BG.
9pm High Resolution model.
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018011301&fh=9&r=us_ov&dpdt=
Just like UK football everyone wants to believe it will overperform, but in the end weโre left with disappointment and unrealistic expectations. Like UK football, itโs mediocre at best.
Performing right on schedule at my house east Louisville (Eastwood). 2.2 inches so far and still coming down. Should easily hit 4-5 inches at this rate.
Yeah…mediocre at best.
West and NW appear to be the main places, just as the models said several days ago. Though a fraction of the total originally out-looked (and lot less ice), but still probably the relative most for the system.
My kind of snow storm, a storm without snow. Happy camper here
Here’s come the mother of all dry slots..Is that low started cranking yet..lol
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/southeast-region/satellite-wv?play=1
Meh. It won’t last.
End of the storm. Not a dry slot. Thatโs all folks.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDAmPIq29ro
In order for something to end, it must first start ๐ ๐ Some getting a storm and others, not so much.
Got maybe a whopping .10″ in Berea. Dry slot been on us all day. Doesn’t want to give in to the moisture.
IF we get whats coming on the radar here in Southeastern Kentucky we shall name this the Comma Head Storm of 2018 Lol
hoping that snow band stays together just east of bowling green, that could put down some good accumulation for SE KY
38 and still rain in my part of Knott County. I said last night we would be lucky to get an inch. It never switches to snow here from rain. Another bust looks like.
Not a surprise. Exactly what the computer models predicted. Weโre you expecting something more?
34 and just switched to snow on my end of knott co
4″ just NW of BG.
Here on SE side of Lex I have maybe a quarter inch of snow. Really counting on those snow bands holding together if weโre going to get more than an inch out of this.
Correct, since the system is gone tomorrow ๐
Oops, this was for Hammy.
Did CB adjust his snow map, or leave it alone?
Iโve got 3 inches on my deck and 4 inches on my driveway. Western Franklin County.
North Richmond has half an inch so far. Most of us not more west NW will probably not get near the low end of the snow map.
Im not going to be disappointed at all if we get less than 2 inches in Richmond, I got stuff to do tomorrow and I have a 2 wheel drive car so let’s hope that happens!
Not to mention no shoveling ๐ Snowman building and sleigh riding will be kind of lame though.
There’s about 1/2″ snow on my driveway and deck here in east Lexington and I don’t see any ice on the trees or deck railings (happy about that!). Judging from the radar, I figure there’s another 1/2″ or so left in this storm before it moves out of the area. I guess the NWS was on the right track when they downgraded the WSWatch to a WWA yesterday.
The mets are STILL calling it a “storm” tonight. Plausible deniability? ๐
Last call here in Eastwood…3 inches fell. Didn’t quite make the low end of CB’s 4-8 inches.
Troy, Andy and others… I have a sugar coating in Harlan at 11:30. It is right at 32 now and will snow at a good clip for about 2 or 3 minutes then stop and start again on a repeat cycle like lake effect. I noticed the comma may still graze us between 1 and about 5 tonight, so I might get an inch or so, MIGHT! Looks like a moderate snow rate between London and Monticello moving ENE.
starting to see the southern band break up ๐
Very light dusting here in knott co at midnight
A dude just tweeted there is three inches in Richmond. Either he is a bad measuring, caught a drift, or just left a bar. Been out and about and there is NOT three inches of snow. Fake news!
i was thinking the same thing, lul
That dude should know that you should not text and drink, since you get imaginary snow totals ๐
i mean they might get it in the end, but in no way did it they have it then.
I have maybe a half inch in Teas Valley WV. And it looks like the snow band is drying up or disappearing over eastern KY. Tonights meager amount should put me over an inch for the season.
Pitiful in SE KY….I am hoping that the wrap around can produce an inch in Harlan but the bands are both drying up and moving NE of my area…just a sugar coat here so far at 12:20 with some heavy bands just a little NW of me:(
Well, there’s always “next week” Terry! Lol. Honesty, our area was never in play so no let down at all. At least we wasnt forecast for 4-8″ and ended up with an inch or two like has happened to many today…
It’s so sad though to see at least a chance to cover the ground miss:( Leslie, Clay and other counties just to our North are getting a decent edge of snow, all be it probably just an ice or two. It looks like the cut-off zone was us instead of East TN after all. Boo and hiss…LOL
Not ice but “inch”
Good news: 3.4″ of snow recorded at the CVG Airport and looking outside my window I’m going to take a wild guess and say I’ve got around 3″, so kudos to the NWS in Wilmington, OH for sticking to their guns and keeping us here in Northern Kentucky under a Winter Weather Advisory…
Bad news: my street is supposed to be plowed when more than 2″ of snow falls and that has not happened yet. I know, where would one go after midnight but still…
Update: a plow finally came through, although much later than normal for a snow of this magnitude. Looks like many folks across KY will not require such services.
ground temps played a huge roll in totals, onto the next one. hope hope the monday/tuesday systems holds together long enough to blanket the state.
Also the snow that fell was very powdery due to the extreme cold, if the precicip had fallen with ambient temperatures of upper 20 30s measurement totals would be higher
Everyone was about right on forcast for the TN/KY state line. We will end up with 1.5″ or so. very pretty