Good Tuesday, folks. It’s a very active weather day across the state, with storms to start and a potential severe weather outbreak to end. Sandwiched in between is a warm and windy afternoon that can feature temps making a run at 80 degrees.

Here are some thoughts on the day:

  • Strong storms will rumble early this morning across the northern half of the state. Some of these storms may produce hail and high winds.
  • The main threat from the early day storms is flooding. We can’t hold much rain, so flooding and flash flooding is possible. Watch the streams north of Interstate 64, especially.
  • Winds are going to crank all day long and could reach 45mph at times.
  • Temps by the afternoon surge deep into the 70s, with the chance for an 80 to show up with enough sunshine.
  • Warm, moist and unstable air will clash with a much colder air mass moving in behind a front by evening. That will lead to a squall line of thunderstorms rolling eastward.
  • Strong to severe storms are likely, with damaging wind as the main threat. Large hail is also possible, with a small tornado risk.
  • The potential is there for this to become a significant damaging wind event.
  • Here’s the current risk outlook from the Storm Prediction Center that has much of the region in an Elevated risk

Much colder air sweeps in behind the front, with 30s in here by Wednesday morning. A few snow flurries will also be possible.

Thursday looks nice, but Friday and Saturday continue to look interesting. Rain and snow are possible across our region. Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian is even more amped up and has a follow up system…

I will have updates throughout the day. Until then, here are your tracking tools to start the day.

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Winchester

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Bardstown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

US 41A Gate 5 Fort Campbell Entrance
Fort Campbell
US 41A @ Gate 5

I-24  MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

Updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.