Good Friday to one and all. As we get ready to close the books on one of the wettest September’s on record, Mother Nature is actually sending the month out on a very nice note. The weekend weather looks nothing short of awesome, but storms are lurking for early October. That may lead us into a healthy early season cold shot by next weekend.
Let’s start with this weekend. Temps will be in the upper 40s to middle 50s across the state to start our Friday. A lingering shower quickly moves way from the east, with partly sunny skies taking control. Highs today will be in the upper 60s and low 70s for the central and east, with mid 70s west. One word of caution on the temps… If clouds linger, the numbers will be quite a bit lower.
Saturday will feature temps very similar to what we have today. Those numbers will rise well into the 70s by Sunday as we hang on to dry weather. Basically, this is a great looking fall weekend in Kentucky.
Temps are above normal next week, with a couple of systems working into town. Scattered showers and storms will flare up from time to time…
Typhoon Trami continues to recurve in the western Pacific…
As mentioned, that typically forces a trough to dig into the eastern half of the country a week or so later. Sure enough, check out the European Model temp departure late next weekend…
On a related note… Watch the tropics in the Atlantic. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple of October systems making a run at the coast.
Have a great day and take care.
My bold prediction #1: We have about a month or less of fall temps and go straight to winter just like we had about a month or less of spring and just survived 5 months of summer and tropical rains!
My bold prediction #2: Most of the state reaches an annual rainfall of 70 inches or higher by 12/31/18!
Seriously, the Harlan mesonet is approaching 70 inches year-to-date. Although Black Mt is an outlier due to extreme elevation for both temps and precip, most of the state is now well over 50 inches year-to-date and we have over 3 months to go⚡
So, we are basically working towards 2019 rainfall now since we are exceeding the annual 2018 average–kind of paying it forward☺
Terry, I agree with your predictions. The warmest October day was 97 degrees in 1999 which was followed by a record cold December with little or no snow cover. The rest of the winter of 2000 the temperatures went way above normal and stayed there well into spring.
Chris, I do not agree with any weather model as the atmosphere is constantly changing ever second. Maybe someday in the far distance future, meteorologist will be able to predict the weather at any given location with pin point accuracy. The time I spent typing this comment the overall weather has changed again.
I understand your reluctance to believe computer models – but they don’t make the forecast – people do. All the computer models can do is aid the meteorologist in making their forecast. They were never supposed to actually be the forecast.
I’m sure glad you know more about the weather than Chris does. I just get on here to read what Schroeder says it’s going to do and not Chris.
Yeah, I do too. I don’t know why even bother with Chris and his expertise in Meteorology. We have Schroeder and his ability to log in to his computer and read the Accuweather long range forecast
That’s not true !
You just insulted Chris’s hard work. If you can’t discuss weather, why are you on here ?
He didn’t insult Chris Schroeder. You constantly disagree with what Chris says on almost a daily basis and you come off as a real condescending know it all when you do. It’s one thing to talk the weather, but you basically tell Chris he’s wrong every day. Prove to me you don’t because I can use proof from your prior statements that you do.
Since the first few days of October looked to be unseasonably cool just a few days ago…i’m not buying what that map is selling. Thelma Lou’s bold prediction is for much warmer than normal temps through the end of the year. upper 60’s again a week before Christmas.
I’ll stick with real meteorologists like Chris.
Maybe you and Thelma Lou can join Schroeder’s #climatechange troll group.
It’s climatechangeevents
As good as any long range weather forecast I’ve heard lately.
SMH
What does SMH mean ? I’m not literate in internet lingo.
TO ALL : No one on Earth that I know of can predict what the condition of the atmosphere is going to be by using and relying on computers. So many factors of nature are at play and Man can only give us a general idea of what the weather will be. Meteorology is advancing forward towards obtaining more accurate forecast everyday, but it is going to take a long time, a very long time before this becomes reality. To all the young people out there, meteorology would be a very good field to study for your future career. I’m too old and I regret that I won’t be around to see all of the advancements that I predict will take place in the field of meteorology. Thank you for reading my above comment.
Some people love to hear themselves talk.
Some love to read what they have wrote.
I’m betting you fall into both camps.
Why don’t you write something about the weather ?
I think for any future meteorologists out there, this is a great site to follow, because Chris is giving us great insight into all of the ways he uses the weather data to compile an actual, good forecast. This past Wednesday is an example of the kind of post I love to read… a re curving Western Pacific typhoon tends to provoke a cold trough in the Central/Eastern US. That’s great stuff. So naturally some weather models are going to advertise cold but Chris would never put that out as a “forecast.” The models are just a guide. Or to put it another way…when he puts something out like that I wouldn’t plan my October 7th around it, but I would make sure the jackets & blankets are ready to go.
I think i’ll stick to what Chris is forecasting.
How many times has Chris said and harped on other TV Meteorologists for relying on any one run of computer models for their forecasts? Then people have the unmitigated gall to come on here and accuse Chris of doing the same. Its completely repulsive behavior.
Meteorologist Chris Bailey works hard on all his presentation forecast everyday and then writes a blog at a very early morning hour for all us who are interested to read and study. He presents various weather models for you to study and to help you to understand what is going on at the present and a possible weather event that may be in our future. He is excellent at what he does and I can tell he really loves what he does and I wish him well.
But yet you constantly disagree with what Chris says!
I agree to disagree on the models presented not Chris’s hard work. Now lets end this argument. OK Jeff K. ?