Good Sunday to one and all. September is going out on a very fine weather note, but October looks to come in on an all too familiar note. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in the week ahead as we eye some very cold air to the north and west, and an increase in tropical action.
Temps today are in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Those clouds thicken later tonight and Monday as scattered showers and storms rumble back in. Watch how this action rolls right on into Tuesday…
Temps for the week ahead are above normal with many days in the upper 70s to low 80s. Humidity levels are also up and that’s likely bad news.
We are coming off the wettest September on record and the month ahead looks like more of the same. Hopefully, nowhere near the extent of what we just had, but October looks to be much wetter than average.
The next round of showers and storms arrives later in the week and may carry us into the weekend…
It’s at this point the tropics may have a lot to say with what happens to our weather. Some big time cold fronts make a run at us during this time…
Fall weather loves REALLY need the tropics to calm down before we can get sustained chill in here.
Have a great Sunday and take care.
In my county of Taylor, for the month of September rainfall total was 8.59″ with numerous days of fog, and clouds and warm night temperatures. Now that we have that behind us we have to look forward to more of the same for October ? My weather theory on why we are having an extended late summer weather event is that the Atlantic ocean surface sea temperatures along with the Gulf of Mexico and the south Pacific are almost equal in temperature. The North Atlantic has significantly cooled off so there is definitely contrast there. This I strongly believe is going to delay our Autumn again and maybe Winter ? I have giving up on an El nino event for this Autumn and Winter. Now I expect ENSO- neutral will prevail through Spring ? This does not mean that we won’t have at lease one good snowstorm this Winter ?
Here’s an interesting thought. When a weak El nino forms in the late summer as it did in 1976 you can expect an early Autumn and winter that will last well into March. If you have a moderate El nino event you can expect the Polar jet stream and the Subtropical jet stream to carry a positive charge so the two jets never come in contact and the resulting weather is a drought. This happened in the late 1980’s. In a strong El nino event the Subtropical jet stream is stronger that the Polar jet stream and you tend to have more severe weather in the Ohio Valley in the Spring months. The above scenarios don’t always occur as all long term weather events differ to other natural factor effecting them such as climate change.
Here’s another thought, go create your own blog. You constantly undermine CB, and your attempts to veil an obvious troll job is pitiful.
Also, get lost with the climate change crap, you’re just trying to push a debate on this blog.
Get a life Bryan …geez
Schroeder doesn’t agree with Chris, so I guess that means Schroeder is correct and Chris is wrong. For someone who claims not to be well educated on weather you seem to be VERY opinionated on the subject and constantly disagree with Chris.
The best way to deal with a troll is to ignore it. Would be nice is there was a block button on this site. ‘Til then, just gotta read over certain people.
Thanks Bryan for reading my post. This is information that I have learned over all the years of studying meteorology, for fifty four years to be exact. I like to share this information with the ones who are really interested. I have no intention of undermining Chris’s wonderful blog. You mention that I should start my own blog. I take that as a complement. But I am not really that well educated with the internet to start a blog. I would rather see younger people get more involved in the field of meteorology than myself. I enjoy talking about the weather and I’ve know many meteorologist which have past away. I will probably quit posting on Chris’s blog because my eyes are beginning to deteriorate according to my doctor. I’m going to hang it up for today as my eyes are getting tired.
You’ve been “leaving” the blog for the past year.
SMH at this guy
I agree with Bryan