{"id":16265,"date":"2015-11-14T19:02:40","date_gmt":"2015-11-15T00:02:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=16265"},"modified":"2015-11-14T19:02:40","modified_gmt":"2015-11-15T00:02:40","slug":"saturday-evening-update-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=16265","title":{"rendered":"Saturday Evening Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, gang. We are in the middle of a gorgeous weekend across the bluegrass state. A seasonal chill is in the air as skies stay clear through Sunday. All of that changes early next week as a powerful storm system impacts our region. That will likely unleash a pattern that looks a lot like winter as we head into Thanksgiving week.<\/p>\n<p>I have no changes on the evolution of the first storm system heading our way. The initial rains come our way late Monday into early Tuesday. After a breezy and mild break in the action Tuesday afternoon, heavy rain and thunderstorms sweep in Tuesday night and Wednesday. Heavy rainfall is a good bet during this time.<\/p>\n<p>Once this storm goes by, we see things starting to really change up. It&#8217;s an overall pattern change across North America that&#8217;s coming from blocking across the eastern Pacific. That&#8217;s something we have seen a lot of since the fall of 2013. To me, it was the driving force that led to our back to back brutal winters here in Kentucky. That doesn&#8217;t mean we can expect the same this winter per say, but it&#8217;s trying to flex some early season muscle.<\/p>\n<p>As that blocking gets established, the pattern across the United States trends colder and, likely, much colder. The first system to watch for will be a cold front next weekend. That front crosses the region and several models have been showing a low pressure developing along it or just to our southeast. The latest GFS has this&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS19.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16264\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS19.png\" alt=\"GFS\" width=\"572\" height=\"893\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS19.png 572w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS19-192x300.png 192w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 572px) 100vw, 572px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And the air coming behind that is COLD&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-46.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16263\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-46.png\" alt=\"GFS 4\" width=\"361\" height=\"363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-46.png 361w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-46-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-46-298x300.png 298w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 361px) 100vw, 361px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That cold takes us through Thanksgiving week into the holiday weekend. If anything, it may try to trend colder&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-39.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16262\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-39.png\" alt=\"GFS 3\" width=\"463\" height=\"1135\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-39.png 463w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-39-122x300.png 122w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-39-418x1024.png 418w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 463px) 100vw, 463px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not just the operational forecast models showing the cold. The GFS Ensembles 5 day mean temperature anomalies for Thanksgiving week show a cold country&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-214.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16261\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-214.png\" alt=\"GFS 2\" width=\"1024\" height=\"692\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-214.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-214-300x203.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again&#8230; that&#8217;s a 5 day average of several different model runs. That&#8217;s a cold look.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m very confident we&#8217;re going to turn much colder as we roll into Thanksgiving week. Can we actually get some snow out of that pattern? It&#8217;s certainly possible and I do think the first flakes fly before we leave November behind.<\/p>\n<p>I really didn&#8217;t mean to write this much, but that shows you I like what I&#8217;m seeing. \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<p>Another update comes your way later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, gang. We are in the middle of a gorgeous weekend across the bluegrass state. A seasonal chill is in the air as skies stay clear through Sunday. All of that changes early next week as a powerful storm system impacts our region. That will likely unleash a pattern that looks a lot like [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}