![\"GFS](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/GFS-227.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\nThe end result on the GFS is a lot of rain from the Mississippi Valley into our region…<\/p>\n
The latest run from the European Model is much worse than that. It shows wave after wave of low pressure working from southwest to northeast across our region into the middle of next week. That puts down a ton of rain…<\/p>\n I got to looking at the upper air charts on this model run and kept thinking… now, where have I seen this look before?<\/p>\n The answer was the first week of December 1978 (Geek alert… I research old patterns in my spare time.). Take a look at the similarities…<\/p>\n The December 1978 scenario gave us a major flood event. I’m not saying that’s happening this go around, but it’s interesting to see a model run look so similar to that exact setup and the exact same time of year. Just something to watch.<\/p>\n I had noticed 1978 popping up frequently on the medium range analog list over the past few weeks. Interestingly enough, the overall progression of that winter isn’t too dissimilar to what I will show you in the winter forecast later today.<\/p>\n The weekly long range European Ensembles run is out and takes us through Christmas Eve. Here’s what it shows for the average temps from now through then…<\/p>\n Precipitation…<\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n