{"id":16836,"date":"2015-12-25T01:55:53","date_gmt":"2015-12-25T06:55:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=16836"},"modified":"2015-12-25T01:55:53","modified_gmt":"2015-12-25T06:55:53","slug":"flood-threat-increases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=16836","title":{"rendered":"Flood Threat Increases"},"content":{"rendered":"

Merry Christmas, everyone! I’m not going to spend a lot of time on this particular post, but will have a bigger update later in the day. The main point to emphasize is the same point I’ve talked about for a week… this is a setup for a flood event for the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys.<\/p>\n

Heavy rain and some thunder returns to the area today. This will continue into tonight and, at least, early Saturday. The Hi Res NAM has some ugly totals for a many areas during this time…<\/p>\n

\"NAM\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The regular run of the NAM is more widespread with the heavy rains, but not as off the charts with the totals. This shows a widespread 1″-3″ rain today and Saturday…<\/p>\n

\"NAM<\/a>Even there, you can see the model is still trying to indicate a corridor of heavier rain across the central and eastern parts of the state. Flooding and flash flooding will be possible today and Saturday.<\/p>\n

The same can be said for Sunday and Monday as our storm system works into the region with a ton of rain…<\/p>\n

\"Canadian\"<\/a><\/p>\n

A setup like that can easily put down 1″-3″ with locally higher amounts. That’s on top of what we pick up on today and Saturday.<\/p>\n

Between now and Monday night… much of the state could receive anywhere from 2″-8″ of rain. Significant flood issues are a possibility for some areas over the next several days.<\/p>\n

Last weekend I posted about this setup and how I didn’t like what I was seeing… especially with a large temperature gradient possibly setting up around here. That wild temp gradient is about to become a reality…<\/p>\n

\"GFS<\/a><\/p>\n

That setup during the cold weather season is how you get flood events across the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys.<\/p>\n

This is also the type of setup that leads to a pattern flip and that’s exactly what happens as it exits. Winter flips the switch. I would love to focus more on that because there is a lot to talk about with that, but nothing should be taking away from the potential high water issues we could be facing.<\/p>\n

So much for me not writing much in this post. Seems to be a habit. I leave you with your tracking toys…<\/p>\n

I leave you with your Christmas Eve Trackers\u2026<\/p>\n