{"id":25697,"date":"2017-11-12T02:14:35","date_gmt":"2017-11-12T07:14:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=25697"},"modified":"2017-11-12T02:14:35","modified_gmt":"2017-11-12T07:14:35","slug":"tracking-a-super-active-week-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=25697","title":{"rendered":"Tracking A Super Active Week Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Sunday, folks. The weather pattern for the upcoming week is about to kick it up a notch or ten. We have several systems to track, including the potential for a late week severe weather maker. This leads us into a much more winter looking setup as we turkey roll our way into Thanksgiving week.<\/p>\n

Today will feature lots of clouds with scattered showers developing from west to east. This action isn’t overly impressive, but looks like a nuisance rain this afternoon and evening. Track away on regional radar…<\/p>\n

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Clouds will linger into Monday with seasonally chilly temps.<\/p>\n

Another cold front quickly approaches the state by Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will have more widespread rains than what we have out there today, but the totals will diminish the farther east it gets…<\/p>\n

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From there, it’s time to focus on a big storm system working into the region Friday into Friday night. This system will have a temp spike ahead of it, with a temp crash behind it. Winds are going to be VERY gusty and we face the potential for storms…<\/p>\n

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Cold winds have a chance to catch up to the back edge of the departing rains, and that may be something for us to keep an eye on. A blast of winter air follows for the weekend…<\/p>\n

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The European Model continues to show massive blocking developing in all the right places if you want winter weather in the eastern half of the country…<\/p>\n

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That’s pretty amazing to see at any time of the year, let alone in the days leading up to Thanksgiving. The end result on the same run of the European Model is to bring another cold blast in here early Thanksgiving week…<\/p>\n

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If that setup does develop, some winter threats may also come calling into the eastern half of the country.<\/p>\n

The\u00a0GFS Ensembles\u00a0agree with the overall theme of the European Model. Watch\u00a0the\u00a0cold shot next weekend and the one that carries us into Thanksgiving week\/weekend…<\/p>\n

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This upcoming week is winter weather week on WKYT-TV, with my winter forecast coming Thursday during the 6pm news. Nothing wrong with a shameless plug. \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n

Speaking of winter, it’s interesting to see the new seasonal run of the European Model. The height anomalies (not temperature) show a front loaded winter with a healthy trough across our part of the world…<\/p>\n

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You can clearly see how the trough pulls back west, allowing a big ridge to develop across the east and southeast. Taken verbatim, that’s a colder than normal December and January with a warmer than normal February and March.<\/p>\n

Precipitation anomalies increase with each passing month…<\/p>\n

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That’s a healthy signal for a ton of precipitation around here and is something I have already touched on countless times before.<\/p>\n

The European is saying we have nice run of winter weather for December and\u00a0January, but show an abrupt end to that for February and March. This run would argue for heavy rain and strong storms threats during this time.<\/p>\n

I can neither confirm nor deny that the above model is close to my own winter forecast. \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n

Another update comes your way later today, so check back. Have a great Sunday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good Sunday, folks. The weather pattern for the upcoming week is about to kick it up a notch or ten. We have several systems to track, including the potential for a late week severe weather maker. This leads us into a much more winter looking setup as we turkey roll our way into Thanksgiving week. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25697"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25697\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}