{"id":25787,"date":"2017-11-14T19:29:59","date_gmt":"2017-11-15T00:29:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=25787"},"modified":"2017-11-14T19:29:59","modified_gmt":"2017-11-15T00:29:59","slug":"tuesday-evening-update-44","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=25787","title":{"rendered":"Tuesday Evening Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by for an update on the busy weather pattern taking shape for the next few weeks. It&#8217;s a pattern that throws several systems our way, with more of a winter look coming late this weekend into Thanksgiving week.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with the rain coming in for Wednesday. As we get closer to the front arriving, rain totals on the models are edging up a bit, especially across the northern half of the state. Local amounts of a half inch are possible in a few spots&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25788\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25788\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25788\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-Rain-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1100\" height=\"826\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-Rain-3.png 1100w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-Rain-3-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-Rain-3-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-Rain-3-1024x769.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Chillier air then dives in here for Thursday, with all eyes shifting toward the weekend storm system. This will be a very strong storm system, but it&#8217;s not looking like the powerhouse it was a few days ago. Winds are going to be the main problem around here, with gusts of 40mph or greater from Friday evening through Saturday morning. That&#8217;s when the front slams in here with showers and some low-topped thunderstorms&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25782\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25782\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25782\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-16.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1259\" height=\"486\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-16.png 1259w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-16-300x116.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-16-768x296.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-16-1024x395.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1259px) 100vw, 1259px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That strong northwesterly wind really kicks in for a very cold Sunday. Depending on the exact direction of that wind, a few flurries will be possible, especially in the east&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25785\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25785\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25785\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-2-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"760\" height=\"329\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-2-7.png 760w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-2-7-300x130.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Wind chills with this may drop into the teens at times late Sunday into Monday morning.<\/p>\n<p>Another cold shot then shows up by Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day of next week. We are about a week away from that cold shot, so the delivery method of that cold will change. The latest GFS shows some cold turkey&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25786\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25786\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25786\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-8.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"786\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This particular model run has some frigid wind chills to start the big holiday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25783\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25783\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25783\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-TEMPS-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1100\" height=\"804\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-TEMPS-1.png 1100w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-TEMPS-1-300x219.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-TEMPS-1-768x561.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-TEMPS-1-1024x748.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I mentioned earlier how the European Model seems to be having issues in hot it&#8217;s handling the pattern over the next week or so. It was a model that was the first to show the upcoming cold shots, then all the others came aboard. Now, the Euro has really scaled things back.\u00a0 Normally, I side with the European, but drastic changes in a model family, tend to make me a little skittish. Plus, the troughs ejecting from the southwest would seemingly play into the bias of the model.<\/p>\n<p>To illustrate the point, compare and contrast the snowflake potential from the Ensembles over the next 2 weeks&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>GFS<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25784\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25784\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25784\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-snow-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1057\" height=\"635\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-snow-4.png 1057w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-snow-4-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-snow-4-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/GFS-snow-4-1024x615.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1057px) 100vw, 1057px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>European<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=25789\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-25789\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25789\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"924\" height=\"839\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-7.png 924w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-7-300x272.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-7-768x697.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 924px) 100vw, 924px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Fight, fight, fight. \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll see you guys later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by for an update on the busy weather pattern taking shape for the next few weeks. It&#8217;s a pattern that throws several systems our way, with more of a winter look coming late this weekend into Thanksgiving week. Let&#8217;s start with the rain coming in for Wednesday. As [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25787\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}