{"id":26118,"date":"2017-11-28T19:37:28","date_gmt":"2017-11-29T00:37:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=26118"},"modified":"2017-11-28T19:37:28","modified_gmt":"2017-11-29T00:37:28","slug":"updating-the-big-changes-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=26118","title":{"rendered":"Updating The Big Changes Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Tuesday evening, gang. While the milder air continues to rule the pattern in the short-term, it&#8217;s the longer term that&#8217;s getting all the attention. We have a MAJOR pattern change coming to North America as we head into next week. It&#8217;s a pattern that will then try to lock us into a very wintry setup.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s interesting to look at the closest analogs to the current pattern being forecast on the GFS. Some heavyweight December&#8217;s show up&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26122\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26122\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26122\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ANALOGS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"667\" height=\"700\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ANALOGS.png 667w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/ANALOGS-286x300.png 286w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 667px) 100vw, 667px\" \/><\/a>The top 3 analogs are from similar patterns in 1989, 1963 and 1989. 1989 is on the list a 3rd time,\u00a0 1989 is the coldest December on record for Lexington. 1963 comes in at 3rd. 1983 is also on the analog list and is the 7th coldest. Those 3 years had something else in common&#8230; They all featured temps hitting the upper 50s and low 60s in the first week of December. Also, every year on that list checked in colder than normal.<\/p>\n<p>Whether or not we can get close to any of those winters remains to be seen, but the pattern has the look.<\/p>\n<p>The European Ensembles show a deep trough that doesn&#8217;t budge because of\u00a0 mega blocking showing up to our north&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26120\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26120\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26120\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-16.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1642\" height=\"1317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-16.png 1642w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-16-300x241.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-16-768x616.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/Euro1-16-1024x821.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1642px) 100vw, 1642px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The seasonal model known as the CFS continues to head toward the ideas we have been talking about for a while. Look at the 5 day average temperature departures showing up on the run from December 9-13&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26114\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26114\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26114\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-11.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-11.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-11-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-11-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Keep in mind, those are in Celsius!!<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s skip ahead to the 5 days surrounding Christmas&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26115\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26115\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26115\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-2-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-2-3.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-2-3-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-2-3-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>New Year&#8217;s&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26116\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26116\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26116\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-3-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-3-2.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-3-2-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-3-2-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The first 12 days of January&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=26117\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-26117\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-26117\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-4-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-4-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-4-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/CFS-4-1-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Locked and loaded? It&#8217;s a heck of a look and matches up with the analog years I&#8217;ve thrown out there since the summer.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy your evening and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good Tuesday evening, gang. While the milder air continues to rule the pattern in the short-term, it&#8217;s the longer term that&#8217;s getting all the attention. We have a MAJOR pattern change coming to North America as we head into next week. It&#8217;s a pattern that will then try to lock us into a very wintry [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26118","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26118\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}