{"id":31257,"date":"2018-09-12T19:26:32","date_gmt":"2018-09-12T23:26:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=31257"},"modified":"2018-09-12T19:26:32","modified_gmt":"2018-09-12T23:26:32","slug":"updating-the-florence-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=31257","title":{"rendered":"Updating The Florence Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, folks. Hurricane Florence has weakened some today, but is still a major hurricane on a collision course with the Carolinas. The storm will likely have a direct impact on our weather late this weekend into early next week.<\/p>\n<p>This storm has a chance at a double landfall&#8230; One south of Wilmington, NC, with the other in South Carolina. The latest National Hurricane Center forecast reflects this possibility&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"coneimage\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/storm_graphics\/AT06\/refresh\/AL062018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png\/203346_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png\" alt=\"cone graphic\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The various hurricane models are in very good agreement with the forecast track of the storm into the Carolinas and then all the way into Kentucky by early next week&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.tropicaltidbits.com\/storminfo\/06L_tracks_latest.png\" width=\"768\" height=\"801\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The various members of the GFS Ensembles share a similar line of thinking&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.tropicaltidbits.com\/storminfo\/06L_gefs_latest.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The latest GFS is very similar to the tracks shown above, bringing rain and wind into Kentucky Sunday and Monday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=31261\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31261\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31261\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/GFS-13.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"786\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That clearly brings the remnant low right on top of the state.<\/p>\n<p>The European Model has corrected itself from last night&#8217;s extreme solution that took this system south of Savannah. The model now shows the double landfall scenario. Here&#8217;s the North Carolina hit&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=31254\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31254\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31254\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1822\" height=\"681\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-10.png 1822w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-10-300x112.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-10-768x287.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-10-1024x383.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1822px) 100vw, 1822px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Followed by the South Carolina hit&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=31252\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31252\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31252\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-2-10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1852\" height=\"1255\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-2-10.png 1852w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-2-10-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-2-10-768x520.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-2-10-1024x694.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1852px) 100vw, 1852px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>From there, the Euro takes this system across central and eastern Kentucky&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?attachment_id=31253\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31253\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-31253\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-3-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1714\" height=\"2035\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-3-4.png 1714w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-3-4-253x300.png 253w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-3-4-768x912.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Euro-3-4-862x1024.png 862w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1714px) 100vw, 1714px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Some thoughts on how all this may play out:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Scattered showers and storms will go up over the next few days, with an increase Friday and Saturday. Tropical downpours will be possible.<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0The remnants of Florence begin throwing clouds our way by late Saturday into early Sunday.<\/li>\n<li>The first rains from this storm should arrive late Sunday and continue through Monday. Showers and storms will be common across central and eastern Kentucky. Heavy rainfall may cause a few issues.<\/li>\n<li>Unlike Gordon, this will likely produce gusty winds across our part of the world.<\/li>\n<li>None of this is set in stone. \ud83d\ude42<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I will have another update later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, folks. Hurricane Florence has weakened some today, but is still a major hurricane on a collision course with the Carolinas. The storm will likely have a direct impact on our weather late this weekend into early next week. This storm has a chance at a double landfall&#8230; One south of Wilmington, NC, with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31257"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31257\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}