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<\/p>\nGood afternoon, folks. My time is rather limited for this update, but I’m gonna get as much information into this post as I possible can. Obviously, it’s all eyes on the weekend and a potential winter storm impacting the bluegrass state.<\/p>\n
This system moves in late Saturday through Sunday and Monday, but the exact areas of impact and extent of those impacts are still in question. More on that in a moment.<\/p>\n
We have a cold front dropping in tonight and it will have a band of light snow along and behind the front. Some very light accumulations are possible overnight for some areas. Here’s the radar…<\/p>\n
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I had hoped to have a better handle on the weekend winter storm potential, but I’m still doing a balancing act based on some big model disagreement.<\/p>\n
Half of this storm system is now within the range of the NAM. The model only goes through early Sunday evening, but has the evolution of this storm being similar to what most models had been suggesting until the past few days…<\/p>\n
That run of the NAM has a mega cutoff to accumulating snow on the north side, but puts a smackdown across the southern half of the state…<\/p>\n The new version of the GFS is getting back to what it had been showing up until recently and is very close to the NAM…<\/p>\n The average of the 21 members of the GFS Ensembles continue to hammer southeastern Kentucky with snow, but is also farther north and west than the current operational GFS…<\/p>\n The operation GFS, which is about to be replaced by the new version,\u00a0isn’t too dissimilar to the above models, but it’s having issues with the thermal profile across the state. It’s really the only model showing a ton of freezing rain…<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/NAM-3.gif\")
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