![\"\"](\"http:\/\/sirocco.accuweather.com\/nx_mosaic_640x480_public\/sir\/inmaSIRKY_.gif\")
<\/p>\nGood Wednesday, everyone. Our super-active weather pattern shows no signs of letting up as we track 3 systems between now and the weekend, with the biggest rolling in this weekend. That one will throw everything our way, including heavy rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow. Oh… and a shot of arctic cold temps.<\/p>\n
Today’s system is light, but can pack a few rain or snow showers…<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
The Thursday system works in here with mainly rain, but the snow pack to our north and west will keep temps colder across areas of northern Kentucky. That may mean some light snow or a mix on the leading edge of that early Thursday. The NAM fam is trying to show some light accumulations in the north and northeast…<\/p>\n
As we\u00a0get closer to this system, the forecast numbers from the model have come down and I suspect it’s because they are just now sensing the extent of the aforementioned snow pack.<\/p>\n Just because they’re colder for this first system doesn’t necessarily mean they will have the same issue with the weekend setup. But, it does give us something to think about and that’s why I’ve thrown that out there for the past few days.<\/p>\n As of this writing, the NAM only goes through Saturday morning. While it’s not terribly reliable from this range, it is showing the storm starting much farther south than many medium range models have been suggesting…<\/p>\n My thought process has been that we get two lows out of this weekend system. One develops and works into southeastern Kentucky Saturday, with a second low developing east or southeast of it by Saturday night. In that scenario, we would have the potential for flooding rains Saturday, with mix threat north, then a quick change to freezing rain sleet and snow Saturday night and Sunday morning. Snow showers and squalls would then be around Sunday afternoon on a strong northwest wind. Even if that theory is correct, it’s still too early for any specific totals of each precipitation type. Any amount of snow or ice depends on a ton of variables, so let’s just hang tight and watch the trends of the next few days. Do not short change the potential for high water ahead of any frozen stuff.<\/strong><\/p>\n The European Model is back to showing what it had a few days ago, which is a colder solution that basically follows the outline I just gave…<\/p>\n The latest GFS also came a little farther south and has the 2 low scenario…<\/p>\n The UKMET only gives us 24 hour increments and doesn’t spit out the fancy maps like the other models. Still, it continues with a farther south storm track. These maps represent Friday evening, Saturday evening and Sunday evening…<\/p>\n The Canadian Model is not on board with the farther south scenario, but is showing some weird jumps with the low pressure…<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/NAM-4-3.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a> <\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/a><\/p>\n