{"id":44068,"date":"2020-10-06T15:47:19","date_gmt":"2020-10-06T19:47:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=44068"},"modified":"2020-10-06T15:47:19","modified_gmt":"2020-10-06T19:47:19","slug":"tracking-the-weekend-threat-from-delta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=44068","title":{"rendered":"Tracking The Weekend Threat From Delta"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good afternoon, folks. Hurricane Delta continues to grow into a monster storm as it churns toward the Gulf of Mexico. This system is going to be a major hit across the central Gulf Coast and is then likely to have a big impact on us this weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Before we get to Delta, let&#8217;s talk about another frosty morning without a frost advisory&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">It was another frosty morning for much of the region with temps in the low and middle 30s. Here are the top 10 coldest numbers from the Kentucky Mesonet. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/kywx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#kywx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/U34zznZwsC\">pic.twitter.com\/U34zznZwsC<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Chris Bailey (@Kentuckyweather) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Kentuckyweather\/status\/1313496345433513986?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 6, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The numbers for Lexington have been historic&#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">How unusual is this early season cold snap? Lexington has hit the 30s on 4 of the first 6 days to start October. This is only the third time in recorded history that&#8217;s happened. 1935 and 1974 are the other two years. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/kywx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#kywx<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Chris Bailey (@Kentuckyweather) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Kentuckyweather\/status\/1313505985286279169?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 6, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>All of this and not a single Frost Advisory from our friends who work for the taxpayers.<\/p>\n<p>Ok, let&#8217;s get to the star of the weather show and that&#8217;s Hurricane Delta. This storm will slam ashore in Louisiana later this week and, what&#8217;s left of it, should move our way for the coming weekend. I have made only minor changes to my earlier line of thinking&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44074\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"953\" height=\"601\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/SPECIAL-MAP-1.png 953w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/SPECIAL-MAP-1-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/SPECIAL-MAP-1-768x484.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 953px) 100vw, 953px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This would bring heavy rain, gusty winds and the potential for a few strong storms into Kentucky starting Friday night and going through Sunday. Obviously, the exact timing and track is still not set in stone and I&#8217;ll be providing updates as needed.<\/p>\n<p>The latest from the National Hurricane Center shows just how powerful this storm is&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/storm_graphics\/AT26\/refresh\/AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png\/210558.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>They are just a little slower with this storm than before and that&#8217;s certainly a possibility, but there&#8217;s likely to be a plume of tropical moisture well ahead of the center of circulation.<\/p>\n<p>We are now getting to within the range of the high powered hurricane models&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>HWRF<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/HWRF.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44073\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/HWRF.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>HMON<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/HMON.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44072\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/HMON.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Notice both of those are slower with the storm and likely the reason the NHC has slowed this down a bit.<\/p>\n<p>As far as the operational models are concerned, we find the EURO doing what it did with Sally and Laura and is forecasting the farthest west landfall&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURO-5.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44071\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/EURO-5.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>You will notice just how painfully slow it is after landfall, too. That allows for it to merge with a deep trough moving in here early next week. This time, the EURO does have a dancing partner in the Canadian&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Canadian-5.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44070\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Canadian-5.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a>It&#8217;s not as slow as the EURO but has the farther west track just ahead of the trough coming in behind it.<\/p>\n<p>The GFS has done a better job of handling tropical systems this season and is farther east and faster&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GFS-6.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44064\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GFS-6.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The GFS Ensembles spaghetti plot is also a bit west&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weatherbell.com\/tctracks\/gfs-ensemble\/delta26l\/\/1601985600\/1601985600-1VIBeCRsd4k.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Hurricane Model spaghetti plot has been slowly inching back to the northwest, with the majority into Kentucky&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weatherbell.com\/tctracks\/atcf\/delta26l\/\/1601985600\/1601985600-6B7sAqW5yGc.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This will be interesting to see how the track plays out and that&#8217;s what will keep me busy this week. I may even drop by for a rare third update this evening.<\/p>\n<p>Make it a good one and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good afternoon, folks. Hurricane Delta continues to grow into a monster storm as it churns toward the Gulf of Mexico. This system is going to be a major hit across the central Gulf Coast and is then likely to have a big impact on us this weekend. Before we get to Delta, let&#8217;s talk about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44068"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44068\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}