{"id":4460,"date":"2012-10-25T03:13:56","date_gmt":"2012-10-25T07:13:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=4460"},"modified":"2012-10-25T03:13:56","modified_gmt":"2012-10-25T07:13:56","slug":"first-taste-of-winter-possible-next-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=4460","title":{"rendered":"First Taste Of Winter Possible Next Week"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Thursday everyone. The gorgeous stretch of weather we’ve been seeing across Kentucky is about to come to a crashing halt over the next few days. We’re going into a wild weather pattern that may deliver the first taste of winter to parts of the state as we get close to Halloween.<\/p>\n

Fans of the warm temps should make it a point to spend as much time as possible outside today. Our readings will be in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees with mostly sunny skies. The warm air gets kicked from behind on Friday as a strong cold front sweeps in from the west. We will likely see a 30 degree temperature swing from one side of the front to the other. The numbers from the NAM prove the point…<\/p>\n

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That is a heck of a temp drop and it will be accompanied by gusty winds and an increase in showers and some rumbles of thunder. Those showers will hang around behind the front on Saturday as our temps struggle to get to 50 degrees.<\/p>\n

By this time we have a deepening trough being carved out across the eastern half of the country. Hurricane Sandy will be working northward off the east coast and our trough is likely to catch the storm and pull it westward. Exactly when and where that happens is yet to be determined. The models are all on board with the trough and Sandy hooking up… but they differ on the details. Let’s review their status:<\/p>\n

The European Model continues to hold as steady as a rock and continues to slam the Mid Atlantic coast with Sandy…<\/p>\n

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The model then takes the storm into\u00a0the eastern Ohio Valley suggesting there could be a heck of a swath of snow\u00a0with it\u00a0for someone.<\/p>\n

The Navy NOGAPS pulls the storm inland across the Mid Atlantic and also works it into the eastern Ohio Valley…<\/p>\n

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The above models are getting good support from the leading Hurricane Model…<\/p>\n

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All the models above show an extreme event unfolding with a raging snowstorm on the west side of a landfalling tropical system. Those even suggest the possibility of extreme weather into our part of the world. Again…\u00a0I am ONLY breaking down what the models are showing you. This is in NO WAY a forecast I’m making at this point. There is still a lot of time to play with and it’s impossible to ask the models to be correct from 4 days away.<\/p>\n

That said… other models aren’t as extreme with the solutions they are showing.The Canadian Model takes Sandy all the way toward the New England Coast before pulling it westward…<\/p>\n

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The GFS Ensembles Goes the New England route…<\/p>\n

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That brings us to the ever changing GFS. The latest run of the model takes Sandy on the scenic route and is way north of anything else. Still… the model catches the storm and pulls it back to the west.<\/p>\n

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There’s\u00a0a lot of moisture being thrown into the cold air. The GFS precipitation map shows many areas getting in on some flakes…<\/p>\n

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If you take a look at every model I posted… you will see they all give us the CHANCE of seeing the first snowflakes of the season (if not more) by Halloween. We know it’s going to be cold… we know it’s going to be windy. I just don’t know yet if we will see precipitation around here that falls as snow. I will say we are certainly in the ballgame and it’s going to be fun tracking that possibility over the next several days.<\/p>\n

I will have updates later today. Have a great Thursday and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good Thursday everyone. The gorgeous stretch of weather we’ve been seeing across Kentucky is about to come to a crashing halt over the next few days. We’re going into a wild weather pattern that may deliver the first taste of winter to parts of the state as we get close to Halloween. Fans of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4460"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4460\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}