{"id":47775,"date":"2021-02-12T20:10:12","date_gmt":"2021-02-13T01:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=47775"},"modified":"2021-02-12T20:10:12","modified_gmt":"2021-02-13T01:10:12","slug":"updating-the-winter-storm-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=47775","title":{"rendered":"Updating The Winter Storm Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by for one more update today as some of the late afternoon model data went toward a colder and snowier winter storm Sunday night through Tuesday. That would, obviously, be the best outcome, but it&#8217;s still too early to say it&#8217;s a true trend.<\/p>\n<p>The afternoon GFS looks like this&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-35.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47770\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-35.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s colder and a little farther east with the low.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the snowfall forecast from that run&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-18.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47774\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-18.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"958\" height=\"764\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-18.png 958w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-18-300x239.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-18-768x612.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 958px) 100vw, 958px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sleet&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-2-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47771\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-2-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"963\" height=\"760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-2-7.png 963w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-2-7-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-2-7-768x606.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 963px) 100vw, 963px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Freezing rain&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-3-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47772\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-3-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-3-5.png 960w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-3-5-300x238.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-3-5-768x608.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This matches more of what the new version of the GFS has been suggesting. The following map likely is too high because it includes some sleet in there&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47773\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1093\" height=\"801\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1.png 1093w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1-1024x750.png 1024w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1-768x563.png 768w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-snow-4-1-1080x791.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1093px) 100vw, 1093px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The average snowfall from the 21 member GFS Ensembles (based on 10-1 ratio) look like this&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47779\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"963\" height=\"762\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS.png 963w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/GFS-768x608.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 963px) 100vw, 963px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the average snowfall (10-1 ratio) from the 51 member EURO Ensembles&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-20.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47778\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-20.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"967\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-20.png 967w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-20-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-20-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 967px) 100vw, 967px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>EURO Control&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-2-12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47777\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-2-12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"967\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-2-12.png 967w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-2-12-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Euro-2-12-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 967px) 100vw, 967px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again, the ensembles are based on a 10-1 ratio which this will not be. This will be at least 15-1 for many.<\/p>\n<p>The late afternoon run from the EURO only goes through 7am Tuesday&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-20.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47782\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-20.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"984\" height=\"808\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Snowfall&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-2-13.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47781\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-2-13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"766\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-2-13.png 960w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-2-13-300x239.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-2-13-768x613.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Freezing rain&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-21.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47783\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-21.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"964\" height=\"760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-21.png 964w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-21-300x237.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/EURO-21-768x605.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 964px) 100vw, 964px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The ice potential in the east and into West Virginia could get really, really ugly. How in the world are these areas NOT included in the Winter Storm WATCH?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Chris-Special-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-47765\" src=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Chris-Special-8.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"914\" height=\"512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Chris-Special-8.png 914w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Chris-Special-8-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Chris-Special-8-768x430.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 914px) 100vw, 914px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m already getting folks in those areas thinking this isn&#8217;t going to have an impact on them. Many within the NWS simply do not understand how to properly convey the weather message to the general public. Folks in eastern KY and WV should NOT be seeing this map and thinking they&#8217;re out of the woods. Period.<\/p>\n<p>BTW&#8230; pockets of light snow and light freezing rain continue across areas of central and eastern Kentucky right now and will through tonight.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by for one more update today as some of the late afternoon model data went toward a colder and snowier winter storm Sunday night through Tuesday. That would, obviously, be the best outcome, but it&#8217;s still too early to say it&#8217;s a true trend. The afternoon GFS looks [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47775"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47775\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}