{"id":47814,"date":"2021-02-13T13:18:47","date_gmt":"2021-02-13T18:18:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=47814"},"modified":"2021-02-13T13:18:47","modified_gmt":"2021-02-13T18:18:47","slug":"winter-storm-alert-sunday-night-tuesday-morning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=47814","title":{"rendered":"Winter Storm ALERT Sunday Night-Tuesday Morning"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good afternoon, everyone.\u00a0 Winter Storm ALERT for the entire state and surrounding areas from Sunday night through Tuesday. A major winter storm is set to slam the region with significant amounts of snow, sleet and freezing rain. This storm is likely to, effectively, shut down parts of the region.<\/p>\n

The issue continues to be figuring out precipitation types and totals for any one location across the state. This will continue to be a work in progress as we still have a decent spread among the models.<\/p>\n

One thing to watch for will be today’s temps. The models are all busting too warm with the numbers and this shows how the arctic air is flexing some muscle to our west and northwest. This likely means we find the coldest models and give them more credence than the others. For instance, the NAM is busting by more than 5 degrees too warm as of this midday writing.<\/p>\n

So here we go with the First Call for Ice\/Snowfall that is likely too conservative…<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Again, that’s the first call and not the last call. I will likely make many adjustments to totals and locations between now and Sunday evening. The most likely trend will be to bump snow totals up if I continue to see the cold air winning the battle.<\/p>\n

The forecast models continue to try to hone in on exact amounts and locations. The most consistent is the GFS…<\/p>\n

GFS SNOW<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

GFS SLEET<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>GFS FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The new version of the GFS is even heftier with totals.<\/p>\n

NEW GFS SNOWFALL<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

NEW GFS FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

That version of the GFS is now matching the new run from the EURO…<\/p>\n

EURO SNOW<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

EURO SLEET<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

EURO FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The NAM appears to be overdoing the warm air advection, which is something the model has a history of doing at times. That likely overshoots the temps which in turn pushes everything a bit west of reality…<\/p>\n

NAM SNOWFALL<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

NAM SLEET<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

NAM FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

CANADIAN SNOWFALL<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

CANADIAN SLEET<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

CANADIAN FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

SHORT RANGE CANADIAN SNOW<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

SHORT RANGE CANADIAN SLEET<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

SHORT RANGE CANADIAN FREEZING RAIN<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

I will have updates later today, but those may be a little slow because I will be on the road for a bit doing daddy duty. I will still be burning up Twitter, though. 😎<\/p>\n

BTW, for those having trouble or getting declined when trying to sign up to leave comments… send me a message with the information you submitted and I will go in and manually approve you guys. The site is trying to weed out the bots and sometimes hits real people instead.<\/p>\n

Have a good one and take care.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Good afternoon, everyone.\u00a0 Winter Storm ALERT for the entire state and surrounding areas from Sunday night through Tuesday. A major winter storm is set to slam the region with significant amounts of snow, sleet and freezing rain. This storm is likely to, effectively, shut down parts of the region. The issue continues to be figuring […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47814"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47814\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}