{"id":50293,"date":"2021-10-05T02:13:55","date_gmt":"2021-10-05T06:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=50293"},"modified":"2021-10-05T02:13:55","modified_gmt":"2021-10-05T06:13:55","slug":"more-heavy-rain-on-the-way-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kyweathercenter.com\/?p=50293","title":{"rendered":"More Heavy Rain On The Way"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Tuesday, everyone. A potent low pressure is slowly wrapping up to our southwest and this will lift northward through the region over the next several days. The end result will be rounds of showers and storms that put down heavy rainfall. This may lead to some local high water issues before the week is over.<\/p>\n

I’ve also got some winter talk, so buckle up for a long post.<\/p>\n

Today finds a mix of sun and clouds with temps well into the 70s. Scattered showers and storms will go up, but this action starts to increase later tonight. As the low pressure moves across the western Tennessee Valley into the western Ohio Valley Wednesday and Thursday, this sets the stage for some pretty good rains. I have no changes to the overall setup…<\/p>\n

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The models continue to increase rain amounts as we get closer. The NAM did fairly well with the weekend heavy rain and it’s latching on to the idea of more heavy rains through Thursday night…<\/p>\n

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You can clearly see how the bands of showers and storms work to the north and northwest. Again, local flooding issues will be possible.<\/p>\n

Showers and storms will linger into Friday before ending and giving us a fair looking weekend. Another system may bring rain in here by early next week…<\/p>\n

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The temperature pattern will continue to skew above normal through next week, but the western part of the country is a different story with some headline making snows possibly showing up at the same time.<\/p>\n

I’ve been pointing toward a pattern flip during the second half of the month and most of the seasonal models have been picking up on this well. It’s interesting to note how similar the latest control runs from the EURO Weeklies and GFS Extended are.\u00a0 Check out the banana blocking high in Canada with a mega cutoff in our region…<\/p>\n

EURO<\/p>\n

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GFS<\/p>\n

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That’s pretty crazy at how similar they are and are only a few days apart from one another in the week or so before Halloween. Have I mentioned the big cutoff low potential for the fall and winter?<\/p>\n

On a related note, the EURO Weeklies continue to show early season flake potential into the first few weeks of November…<\/p>\n

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Speaking of snow, if you’re a believer in folklore forecasting…<\/p>\n

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Not a good sign if you don\u2019t like snow \u2066@Kentuckyweather<\/a>\u2069 pic.twitter.com\/bsJmcW56ZH<\/a><\/p>\n

— Michael Staton (@mstaton3) October 4, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n